C Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 38 trades in period
+69.59%
Last Year Return
$17,643.31
Current Value
55%
Win Rate
$10,403.68
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
+0.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
35
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
9.0/35
Total Return
15.7/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
36.3/100
× Confidence 0.97
= 35.2
30-Day Momentum
32
+8.6%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.9
Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,328
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
262 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$10,403.68
Current Value
$17,643.31
Period P&L
$7,239.61
Max Drawdown
-29.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.37
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
21 /
17
Best Trade
+6.86%
Worst Trade
-3.74%
Avg Trade Return
+1.56%
Avg Hold Time
7.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,109,972.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$7,239.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$7,239.61
Gross Return
+69.59%
Net Return (after fees)
+69.59%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 C Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 262 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $10,403.68 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 25, 2025 1:45pm ET | $68.22 | 148 | $10,096.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 10:30am ET | $71.67 | 148 | $10,607.16 | $10,655.30 |
+$510.60 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 9, 2025 10:40am ET | $71.63 | 148 | $10,600.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 9:35am ET | $75.38 | 148 | $11,156.24 | $11,211.04 |
+$555.74 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2025 12:50pm ET | $75.94 | 147 | $11,162.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2025 2:00pm ET | $73.66 | 147 | $10,827.29 | $10,875.88 |
$-335.16 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $72.34 | 150 | $10,851.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2025 10:20am ET | $76.01 | 150 | $11,401.50 | $11,425.95 |
+$550.07 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2025 11:30am ET | $76.82 | 148 | $11,369.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $80.72 | 148 | $11,946.56 | $12,003.15 |
+$577.20 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2025 12:10pm ET | $84.20 | 142 | $11,955.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 3, 2025 10:50am ET | $88.44 | 142 | $12,558.47 | $12,605.92 |
+$602.78 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2025 9:35am ET | $86.78 | 145 | $12,583.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2025 2:15pm ET | $91.24 | 145 | $13,229.81 | $13,252.64 |
+$646.71 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.2d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 18, 2025 1:50pm ET | $93.11 | 142 | $13,221.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 9:35am ET | $89.87 | 142 | $12,760.83 | $12,791.85 |
$-460.79 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2025 11:40am ET | $91.85 | 139 | $12,767.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2025 10:55am ET | $96.60 | 139 | $13,427.40 | $13,452.10 |
+$660.25 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2025 11:20am ET | $96.80 | 138 | $13,358.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $93.34 | 138 | $12,881.58 | $12,975.28 |
$-476.82 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2025 11:25am ET | $94.00 | 138 | $12,971.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2025 1:50pm ET | $98.70 | 138 | $13,619.91 | $13,623.88 |
+$648.60 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2025 11:25am ET | $99.54 | 136 | $13,537.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2025 9:45am ET | $104.61 | 136 | $14,226.96 | $14,313.40 |
+$689.52 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2025 11:10am ET | $103.42 | 138 | $14,271.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 9:35am ET | $100.31 | 138 | $13,842.78 | $13,884.22 |
$-429.18 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 10:50am ET | $102.70 | 135 | $13,863.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 11:10am ET | $99.59 | 135 | $13,444.65 | $13,465.04 |
$-419.17 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 12:55pm ET | $99.27 | 135 | $13,401.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 9:50am ET | $95.90 | 135 | $12,946.50 | $13,010.09 |
$-454.95 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:35am ET | $95.04 | 136 | $12,925.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 12:10pm ET | $99.86 | 136 | $13,580.96 | $13,665.97 |
+$655.87 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 11:25am ET | $97.98 | 139 | $13,619.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 9:35am ET | $103.45 | 139 | $14,379.55 | $14,426.34 |
+$760.37 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
27d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 1:35pm ET | $101.52 | 142 | $14,415.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 2:10pm ET | $98.38 | 142 | $13,969.25 | $13,979.75 |
$-446.59 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 3:45pm ET | $98.29 | 142 | $13,957.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 11:10am ET | $103.26 | 142 | $14,662.92 | $14,685.49 |
+$705.74 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 12:40pm ET | $103.84 | 141 | $14,641.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 3:25pm ET | $109.08 | 141 | $15,379.58 | $15,423.62 |
+$738.14 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 12:10pm ET | $109.07 | 141 | $15,378.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 10:10am ET | $114.58 | 141 | $16,155.78 | $16,200.53 |
+$776.91 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 2:00pm ET | $118.15 | 137 | $16,186.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:45am ET | $114.20 | 137 | $15,645.40 | $15,659.38 |
$-541.15 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 3:20pm ET | $116.65 | 134 | $15,631.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 2:10pm ET | $113.00 | 134 | $15,142.00 | $15,170.28 |
$-489.10 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 3:40pm ET | $114.13 | 132 | $15,064.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:40am ET | $119.85 | 132 | $15,820.20 | $15,925.98 |
+$755.70 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:50am ET | $113.53 | 140 | $15,894.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $119.66 | 140 | $16,752.40 | $16,784.18 |
+$858.20 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $124.08 | 135 | $16,750.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $123.99 | 135 | $16,737.98 | $16,771.35 |
$-12.84 (-0.1%) |
📅 Sim Ended
24m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 1:25pm ET | $116.20 | 144 | $16,732.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 10:10am ET | $112.61 | 144 | $16,215.12 | $16,253.67 |
$-517.68 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 10:10am ET | $107.79 | 150 | $16,168.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 11:30am ET | $113.34 | 150 | $17,001.00 | $17,086.17 |
+$832.50 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 12:05pm ET | $114.68 | 148 | $16,972.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $110.94 | 148 | $16,419.86 | $16,533.39 |
$-552.78 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $107.78 | 153 | $16,490.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $103.75 | 153 | $15,873.75 | $15,916.80 |
$-616.59 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $103.91 | 153 | $15,898.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $110.00 | 153 | $16,830.00 | $16,848.57 |
+$931.77 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $108.77 | 154 | $16,750.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:20am ET | $105.15 | 154 | $16,193.10 | $16,291.09 |
$-557.48 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 1:00pm ET | $106.15 | 153 | $16,240.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $112.59 | 153 | $17,226.27 | $17,276.41 |
+$985.32 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $110.52 | 156 | $17,241.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 3:50pm ET | $107.17 | 156 | $16,718.52 | $16,753.81 |
$-522.60 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:10pm ET | $115.60 | 144 | $16,645.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $112.10 | 144 | $16,142.40 | $16,250.53 |
$-503.28 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $116.32 | 139 | $16,168.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $124.30 | 139 | $17,277.70 | $17,359.75 |
+$1,109.22 (+6.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 12:20pm ET | $124.54 | 139 | $17,311.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 1:40pm ET | $130.96 | 139 | $18,203.44 | $18,252.13 |
+$892.38 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:45am ET | $130.50 | 139 | $18,139.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $126.12 | 139 | $17,530.68 | $17,643.31 |
$-608.82 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$17,643.31
Net Profit/Loss:
+$7,643.31
Total Return:
+76.43%