CMCSA Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 31 trades in period
-29.19%
Last Year Return
$5,980.19
Current Value
32%
Win Rate
$8,445.61
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
68.5 neutral
20d Trend
+6.3%
5d Trend
+4.4%
EMA20 Dist
+5.2%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality
5.4/100
× Confidence 0.88
= 4.7
30-Day Momentum
1
-5.9%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4
Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,854
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
262 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$8,445.61
Current Value
$5,980.19
Period P&L
$-2,465.42
Max Drawdown
-36.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.26
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
10 /
21
Best Trade
+5.18%
Worst Trade
-6.36%
Avg Trade Return
-0.98%
Avg Hold Time
10.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$455,128.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,465.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,465.42
Gross Return
-29.19%
Net Return (after fees)
-29.19%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CMCSA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 262 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 31 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $8,445.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2025 11:30am ET | $33.84 | 245 | $8,289.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 16, 2025 9:45am ET | $35.55 | 245 | $8,709.75 | $8,724.91 |
+$420.17 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 12:35pm ET | $35.38 | 246 | $8,702.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2025 11:10am ET | $34.29 | 246 | $8,434.11 | $8,456.77 |
$-268.14 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 30, 2025 12:45pm ET | $34.33 | 246 | $8,445.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $35.53 | 246 | $8,740.38 | $8,751.97 |
+$295.20 (+3.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 12:50pm ET | $36.27 | 241 | $8,741.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $35.13 | 241 | $8,465.13 | $8,475.61 |
$-276.35 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $34.94 | 242 | $8,454.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 25, 2025 9:50am ET | $33.76 | 242 | $8,168.71 | $8,190.05 |
$-285.56 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2025 9:50am ET | $33.46 | 244 | $8,163.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2025 3:50pm ET | $32.45 | 244 | $7,918.09 | $7,945.12 |
$-244.93 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2025 3:50pm ET | $33.20 | 239 | $7,934.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2025 3:50pm ET | $32.18 | 239 | $7,689.83 | $7,700.15 |
$-244.98 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 8, 2025 11:50am ET | $31.82 | 242 | $7,699.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2025 12:50pm ET | $33.44 | 242 | $8,091.27 | $8,091.58 |
+$391.44 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2025 11:35am ET | $33.65 | 240 | $8,075.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2025 11:10am ET | $32.64 | 240 | $7,832.40 | $7,848.01 |
$-243.58 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
27d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2025 2:45pm ET | $32.25 | 243 | $7,837.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $31.20 | 243 | $7,581.60 | $7,591.76 |
$-256.24 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $30.72 | 247 | $7,587.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:35am ET | $29.80 | 247 | $7,359.37 | $7,363.29 |
$-228.47 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 12:35pm ET | $29.62 | 248 | $7,344.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 2:30pm ET | $28.73 | 248 | $7,123.80 | $7,142.57 |
$-220.72 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16.1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 2:30pm ET | $27.61 | 258 | $7,122.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $26.61 | 258 | $6,864.09 | $6,884.57 |
$-258.00 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 9:55am ET | $27.00 | 254 | $6,858.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 9:55am ET | $27.21 | 254 | $6,910.07 | $6,936.64 |
+$52.07 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 2:30pm ET | $27.23 | 254 | $6,916.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 9:50am ET | $28.61 | 254 | $7,265.67 | $7,285.89 |
+$349.25 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $30.06 | 242 | $7,273.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 9:35am ET | $29.12 | 242 | $7,047.06 | $7,059.64 |
$-226.25 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 11:15am ET | $29.64 | 238 | $7,053.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.75 | 238 | $6,604.50 | $6,611.01 |
$-448.63 (-6.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.81 | 237 | $6,589.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 12:20pm ET | $29.25 | 237 | $6,931.07 | $6,952.29 |
+$341.28 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 1:15pm ET | $28.56 | 243 | $6,940.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 10:35am ET | $27.70 | 243 | $6,729.89 | $6,742.10 |
$-210.20 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 2:40pm ET | $28.18 | 239 | $6,735.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $29.60 | 239 | $7,073.21 | $7,080.28 |
+$338.19 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 12:05pm ET | $29.32 | 241 | $7,064.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 11:20am ET | $30.80 | 241 | $7,421.60 | $7,436.96 |
+$356.68 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:20am ET | $30.56 | 243 | $7,424.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $31.66 | 243 | $7,693.38 | $7,705.48 |
+$268.51 (+3.6%) |
📅 Sim Ended
4.2d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 3:35pm ET | $31.73 | 242 | $7,677.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 2:40pm ET | $30.76 | 242 | $7,445.13 | $7,473.16 |
$-232.32 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 2:50pm ET | $30.91 | 241 | $7,448.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $29.95 | 241 | $7,217.95 | $7,243.01 |
$-230.15 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.7d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 2:50pm ET | $30.91 | 241 | $7,448.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.97 | 241 | $6,980.57 | $6,775.47 |
$-467.54 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
24.7d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:00pm ET | $29.52 | 229 | $6,760.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:25am ET | $28.63 | 229 | $6,555.13 | $6,570.51 |
$-204.96 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 12:05pm ET | $28.80 | 228 | $6,565.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 10:15am ET | $27.86 | 228 | $6,352.08 | $6,357.33 |
$-213.18 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 3:35pm ET | $27.89 | 227 | $6,329.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:20pm ET | $29.28 | 227 | $6,647.69 | $6,675.13 |
+$317.80 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:40pm ET | $29.95 | 222 | $6,648.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:00pm ET | $29.01 | 222 | $6,441.33 | $6,467.56 |
$-207.57 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 2:00pm ET | $31.77 | 203 | $6,450.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $30.29 | 203 | $6,148.87 | $6,166.11 |
$-301.45 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.43 | 224 | $6,144.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $26.60 | 224 | $5,958.40 | $5,980.19 |
$-185.92 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$5,980.19
Net Profit/Loss:
$-4,019.81
Total Return:
-40.20%