COP Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 39 trades in period
+21.93%
Last Year Return
$11,537.33
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$9,462.23
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
20
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.7/35
Total Return
11.2/25
Win Rate
1.1/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
22.2/100
× Confidence 0.91
= 20.2
30-Day Momentum
2
-10.8%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9
Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,452
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
257 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$9,462.23
Current Value
$11,537.33
Period P&L
$2,075.09
Max Drawdown
-20.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
18 /
21
Best Trade
+8.87%
Worst Trade
-5.42%
Avg Trade Return
+0.61%
Avg Hold Time
7.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$844,135.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,075.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,075.09
Gross Return
+21.93%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.93%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 257 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $9,462.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 3:50pm ET | $87.77 | 107 | $9,391.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $93.54 | 107 | $10,008.78 | $10,079.68 |
+$617.44 (+6.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.7d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2025 3:50pm ET | $94.37 | 106 | $10,003.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $90.99 | 106 | $9,644.94 | $9,721.40 |
$-358.28 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 16, 2025 10:00am ET | $91.91 | 105 | $9,650.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $88.81 | 105 | $9,325.05 | $9,395.90 |
$-325.50 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $85.30 | 110 | $9,382.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $89.86 | 110 | $9,884.05 | $9,897.50 |
+$501.60 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2025 2:25pm ET | $94.02 | 105 | $9,872.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $90.60 | 105 | $9,513.00 | $9,538.40 |
$-359.10 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2025 12:45pm ET | $89.58 | 106 | $9,495.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2025 2:15pm ET | $94.07 | 106 | $9,971.43 | $10,014.35 |
+$475.95 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2025 11:00am ET | $92.72 | 108 | $10,013.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2025 1:45pm ET | $97.41 | 108 | $10,519.93 | $10,520.53 |
+$506.17 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2025 3:00pm ET | $96.33 | 109 | $10,499.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 9:55am ET | $93.27 | 109 | $10,165.89 | $10,186.44 |
$-334.09 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2025 12:00pm ET | $93.06 | 109 | $10,143.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2025 1:45pm ET | $97.74 | 109 | $10,653.66 | $10,696.56 |
+$510.12 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2025 10:55am ET | $97.57 | 109 | $10,635.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2025 10:45am ET | $94.49 | 109 | $10,299.74 | $10,361.17 |
$-335.39 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2025 2:50pm ET | $95.82 | 108 | $10,348.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 11:05am ET | $92.72 | 108 | $10,013.76 | $10,026.37 |
$-334.80 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2025 12:10pm ET | $90.60 | 110 | $9,966.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2025 10:20am ET | $95.16 | 110 | $10,467.05 | $10,527.42 |
+$501.05 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2025 1:40pm ET | $96.14 | 109 | $10,479.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 1:10pm ET | $93.17 | 109 | $10,155.53 | $10,203.69 |
$-323.73 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 2:45pm ET | $94.23 | 108 | $10,176.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $90.62 | 108 | $9,786.96 | $9,813.81 |
$-389.88 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 9:40am ET | $87.44 | 112 | $9,792.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $89.81 | 112 | $10,058.16 | $10,079.25 |
+$265.44 (+2.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $89.92 | 112 | $10,071.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 2:45pm ET | $87.19 | 112 | $9,765.28 | $9,773.49 |
$-305.76 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $87.09 | 112 | $9,754.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 12:00pm ET | $91.45 | 112 | $10,242.40 | $10,261.81 |
+$488.32 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 11:55am ET | $93.92 | 109 | $10,237.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 10:25am ET | $90.94 | 109 | $9,912.46 | $9,936.99 |
$-324.82 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 10:15am ET | $93.81 | 105 | $9,850.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 2:15pm ET | $90.98 | 105 | $9,552.89 | $9,639.83 |
$-297.16 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 11:10am ET | $93.29 | 103 | $9,608.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $101.56 | 103 | $10,460.68 | $10,492.15 |
+$852.33 (+8.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $98.99 | 105 | $10,393.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $95.56 | 105 | $10,033.80 | $10,132.00 |
$-360.15 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:50pm ET | $98.78 | 102 | $10,075.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 2:20pm ET | $95.55 | 102 | $9,745.59 | $9,802.03 |
$-329.97 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 2:40pm ET | $96.57 | 101 | $9,753.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 2:25pm ET | $101.58 | 101 | $10,259.34 | $10,307.81 |
+$505.78 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $98.97 | 104 | $10,292.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 12:45pm ET | $95.98 | 104 | $9,981.40 | $9,996.33 |
$-311.48 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:40pm ET | $96.89 | 103 | $9,979.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $104.70 | 103 | $10,784.10 | $10,800.76 |
+$804.43 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $102.78 | 105 | $10,791.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:30pm ET | $108.14 | 105 | $11,354.67 | $11,363.53 |
+$562.77 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:20am ET | $106.94 | 106 | $11,335.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $108.65 | 106 | $11,516.90 | $11,544.79 |
+$181.26 (+1.6%) |
📅 Sim Ended
3.2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $110.76 | 104 | $11,519.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $119.26 | 104 | $12,403.04 | $12,428.27 |
+$883.48 (+7.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 12:25pm ET | $119.33 | 104 | $12,410.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $115.50 | 104 | $12,012.00 | $12,029.95 |
$-398.32 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 10:40am ET | $116.60 | 103 | $12,009.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $122.71 | 103 | $12,639.08 | $12,659.23 |
+$629.28 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $124.01 | 102 | $12,649.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:10am ET | $130.57 | 102 | $13,317.63 | $13,327.84 |
+$668.61 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 3:50pm ET | $133.93 | 99 | $13,259.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET | $129.72 | 99 | $12,842.28 | $12,911.05 |
$-416.79 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:20pm ET | $126.79 | 101 | $12,805.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $133.68 | 101 | $13,501.18 | $13,606.44 |
+$695.39 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $129.80 | 104 | $13,499.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $122.76 | 104 | $12,767.04 | $12,874.16 |
$-732.28 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:05am ET | $126.85 | 101 | $12,811.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET | $122.68 | 101 | $12,390.18 | $12,452.49 |
$-421.67 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 10:40am ET | $123.29 | 101 | $12,452.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $119.59 | 101 | $12,078.59 | $12,078.79 |
$-373.70 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 12:10pm ET | $119.00 | 101 | $12,019.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $113.93 | 101 | $11,507.43 | $11,567.22 |
$-511.57 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:05pm ET | $117.17 | 98 | $11,482.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 3:05pm ET | $123.06 | 98 | $12,059.39 | $12,143.95 |
+$576.73 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $123.64 | 98 | $12,116.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $117.45 | 98 | $11,510.10 | $11,537.33 |
$-606.62 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,537.33
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,537.33
Total Return:
+15.37%