CRM Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 43 trades in period
-10.24%
Last Year Return
$8,376.68
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$9,332.02
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
6
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality
5.7/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 5.5
30-Day Momentum
19
+3.5%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 25.9
Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
27,929
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$9,332.02
Current Value
$8,376.68
Period P&L
$-955.35
Max Drawdown
-48.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
18 /
25
Best Trade
+5.62%
Worst Trade
-6.09%
Avg Trade Return
-0.14%
Avg Hold Time
7.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$746,108.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-955.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$-955.35
Gross Return
-10.24%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.24%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 43 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $9,332.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 25, 2025 1:50pm ET | $266.54 | 34 | $9,062.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 9:40am ET | $280.26 | 34 | $9,528.84 | $9,684.27 |
+$466.48 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 9, 2025 10:25am ET | $278.12 | 34 | $9,455.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2025 10:05am ET | $292.06 | 34 | $9,930.04 | $10,158.40 |
+$474.13 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2025 11:30am ET | $293.78 | 34 | $9,988.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $283.93 | 34 | $9,653.62 | $9,823.50 |
$-334.90 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2025 9:35am ET | $281.26 | 34 | $9,562.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 23, 2025 3:15pm ET | $272.59 | 34 | $9,267.89 | $9,528.72 |
$-294.78 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2025 3:20pm ET | $277.37 | 34 | $9,430.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $260.46 | 34 | $8,855.64 | $8,953.95 |
$-574.77 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | May 30, 2025 10:25am ET | $264.48 | 33 | $8,727.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $275.77 | 33 | $9,100.25 | $9,326.36 |
+$372.41 (+4.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
31d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 11:10am ET | $271.21 | 34 | $9,221.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $262.28 | 34 | $8,917.52 | $9,022.87 |
$-303.49 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2025 3:40pm ET | $259.72 | 34 | $8,830.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $273.67 | 34 | $9,304.78 | $9,497.17 |
+$474.30 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14.7d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $265.50 | 35 | $9,292.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $254.24 | 35 | $8,898.40 | $9,103.24 |
$-393.93 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2025 1:55pm ET | $251.82 | 36 | $9,065.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2025 11:10am ET | $243.97 | 36 | $8,782.92 | $8,820.64 |
$-282.60 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 8, 2025 11:15am ET | $239.37 | 36 | $8,617.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2025 3:50pm ET | $232.02 | 36 | $8,352.72 | $8,556.04 |
$-264.60 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2025 1:45pm ET | $234.75 | 36 | $8,451.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2025 9:45am ET | $247.26 | 36 | $8,901.36 | $9,006.40 |
+$450.36 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2025 12:45pm ET | $245.61 | 36 | $8,841.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $236.49 | 36 | $8,513.46 | $8,678.08 |
$-328.32 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2025 1:10pm ET | $252.40 | 34 | $8,581.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 2:30pm ET | $244.63 | 34 | $8,317.42 | $8,413.90 |
$-264.18 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 12, 2025 11:45am ET | $243.79 | 34 | $8,288.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 10:45am ET | $236.06 | 34 | $8,026.04 | $8,151.08 |
$-262.82 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 10:45am ET | $237.49 | 34 | $8,074.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 1:50pm ET | $249.54 | 34 | $8,484.36 | $8,560.95 |
+$409.87 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $237.06 | 36 | $8,534.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 13, 2025 3:05pm ET | $248.96 | 36 | $8,962.56 | $8,989.39 |
+$428.44 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 3:35pm ET | $241.90 | 37 | $8,950.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $254.00 | 37 | $9,398.00 | $9,436.98 |
+$447.59 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 10:40am ET | $244.63 | 38 | $9,295.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $257.34 | 38 | $9,778.92 | $9,920.13 |
+$483.15 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $260.72 | 38 | $9,907.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $250.12 | 38 | $9,504.56 | $9,517.52 |
$-402.61 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 2:55pm ET | $257.49 | 36 | $9,269.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $246.23 | 36 | $8,864.10 | $9,111.98 |
$-405.54 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $237.74 | 38 | $9,034.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 9:35am ET | $229.91 | 38 | $8,736.58 | $8,814.44 |
$-297.54 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:25am ET | $227.23 | 38 | $8,634.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 3:50pm ET | $238.86 | 38 | $9,076.62 | $9,256.51 |
+$442.07 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 10:50am ET | $258.94 | 35 | $9,062.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:50am ET | $266.27 | 35 | $9,319.45 | $9,513.06 |
+$256.55 (+2.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 12:10pm ET | $262.11 | 36 | $9,435.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:55am ET | $253.94 | 36 | $9,141.75 | $9,218.85 |
$-294.21 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:55am ET | $238.64 | 38 | $9,068.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $228.89 | 38 | $8,697.82 | $8,848.54 |
$-370.31 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $227.70 | 38 | $8,652.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 3:45pm ET | $220.49 | 38 | $8,378.43 | $8,574.37 |
$-274.17 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:40am ET | $227.63 | 37 | $8,422.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $215.08 | 37 | $7,957.78 | $8,109.83 |
$-464.54 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 11:50am ET | $212.90 | 38 | $8,090.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $203.56 | 38 | $7,735.28 | $7,754.91 |
$-354.92 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $189.46 | 40 | $7,578.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 2:55pm ET | $199.36 | 40 | $7,974.40 | $8,151.11 |
+$396.20 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:15pm ET | $189.24 | 43 | $8,137.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $193.79 | 43 | $8,332.97 | $8,346.76 |
+$195.65 (+2.4%) |
📅 Sim Ended
4d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $193.38 | 43 | $8,315.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $187.29 | 43 | $8,053.47 | $8,084.89 |
$-261.87 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $184.89 | 43 | $7,950.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $177.88 | 43 | $7,648.73 | $7,783.35 |
$-301.54 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 11:25am ET | $184.93 | 42 | $7,767.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $194.52 | 42 | $8,169.84 | $8,186.13 |
+$402.78 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.42 | 42 | $8,039.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $202.00 | 42 | $8,484.00 | $8,630.49 |
+$444.36 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $198.16 | 43 | $8,521.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $191.84 | 43 | $8,249.12 | $8,358.52 |
$-271.97 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.42 | 42 | $8,039.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:15am ET | $185.21 | 42 | $7,778.82 | $8,097.70 |
$-260.82 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:40am ET | $183.63 | 44 | $8,079.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 3:20pm ET | $177.24 | 44 | $7,798.56 | $7,816.54 |
$-281.16 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.2d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $167.74 | 46 | $7,716.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $176.63 | 46 | $8,124.98 | $8,225.48 |
+$408.94 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $177.53 | 46 | $8,166.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $187.51 | 46 | $8,625.23 | $8,684.33 |
+$458.85 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:00am ET | $185.28 | 46 | $8,522.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.09 | 46 | $8,146.14 | $8,307.59 |
$-376.74 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 11:20am ET | $175.13 | 47 | $8,231.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $183.97 | 47 | $8,646.59 | $8,723.07 |
+$415.48 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 11:30am ET | $182.13 | 47 | $8,560.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $174.76 | 47 | $8,213.72 | $8,376.68 |
$-346.39 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,376.68
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,623.32
Total Return:
-16.23%