Compendium › Marcus Reversal › CSCO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CSCO
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 26 trades in period

+84.99%
Last Year Return
$23,770.51
Current Value
69%
Win Rate
$12,849.87
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:58:11

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

67
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
17.8/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
9.6/15
Consistency
8.2/10
Raw Quality 78.2/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 67.5

30-Day Momentum

30
+7.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 49.2 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-37 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
28,170
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
260 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$12,849.87
Current Value
$23,770.51
Period P&L
$10,920.61
Max Drawdown
-9.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.62

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
18 / 8
Best Trade
+9.80%
Worst Trade
-4.66%
Avg Trade Return
+2.48%
Avg Hold Time
12.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$956,498.39
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$10,920.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$10,920.61
Gross Return
+84.99%
Net Return (after fees)
+84.99%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 260 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $12,849.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 2, 2025 1:10pm ET $59.07 217 $12,818.19 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 9:35am ET $62.03 217 $13,460.51 $13,474.86 +$642.32
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
10.9d held
2 🟢 BUY May 14, 2025 9:35am ET $61.47 219 $13,460.84 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2025 9:50am ET $64.70 219 $14,169.30 $14,183.32 +$708.47
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
3 🟢 BUY May 16, 2025 10:00am ET $63.54 223 $14,169.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2025 9:30am ET $65.14 223 $14,526.22 $14,540.12 +$356.80
(+2.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
31d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2025 11:15am ET $65.82 220 $14,479.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 3:00pm ET $69.12 220 $15,206.40 $15,267.00 +$726.88
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 27, 2025 3:00pm ET $68.48 222 $15,201.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2025 9:30am ET $67.82 222 $15,056.04 $15,121.59 $-145.41
(-1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
30.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2025 10:45am ET $68.41 221 $15,117.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2025 1:30pm ET $71.86 221 $15,879.96 $15,884.04 +$762.45
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
10.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2025 1:30pm ET $70.90 224 $15,880.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 9:30am ET $67.59 224 $15,140.16 $15,143.70 $-740.34
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 11:40am ET $67.13 225 $15,103.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 11:40am ET $68.14 225 $15,331.84 $15,372.41 +$228.71
(+1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 2:15pm ET $67.96 226 $15,358.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET $70.60 226 $15,955.60 $15,969.05 +$596.64
(+3.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
30.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 1:30pm ET $70.89 225 $15,949.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 10:00am ET $74.50 225 $16,762.50 $16,782.43 +$813.37
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 11:25am ET $73.18 229 $16,757.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 12:10pm ET $70.89 229 $16,233.81 $16,259.14 $-523.29
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 12:50pm ET $70.58 230 $16,233.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $77.50 230 $17,825.00 $17,850.72 +$1,591.58
(+9.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $75.88 235 $17,831.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:50am ET $79.71 235 $18,730.68 $18,749.59 +$898.88
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 1:15pm ET $76.14 246 $18,729.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 1:05pm ET $79.96 246 $19,668.93 $19,689.31 +$939.72
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19d held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 3:20pm ET $79.34 248 $19,676.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:30am ET $76.76 248 $19,036.48 $19,049.47 $-639.84
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 12:10pm ET $77.10 247 $19,042.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET $74.72 247 $18,455.84 $18,462.85 $-586.63
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:35am ET $74.29 248 $18,423.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:05am ET $78.13 248 $19,375.00 $19,413.93 +$951.08
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19d held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 10:05am ET $78.17 248 $19,384.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $82.76 248 $20,524.48 $20,553.49 +$1,139.56
(+5.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:15am ET $82.90 247 $20,476.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 2:25pm ET $87.05 247 $21,501.35 $21,578.54 +$1,025.05
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $76.86 280 $21,522.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:35pm ET $80.75 280 $22,608.60 $22,664.94 +$1,086.40
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
15.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 3:25pm ET $78.67 288 $22,655.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:55am ET $75.73 288 $21,810.24 $21,819.66 $-845.28
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $78.54 277 $21,755.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:30am ET $82.53 277 $22,860.81 $22,924.89 +$1,105.23
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:50am ET $82.25 278 $22,866.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:30am ET $79.66 278 $22,145.48 $22,203.48 $-721.41
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET $78.51 282 $22,139.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:05am ET $82.55 282 $23,279.10 $23,342.79 +$1,139.31
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:40am ET $83.21 280 $23,298.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:20am ET $87.40 280 $24,472.00 $24,515.99 +$1,173.20
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:30am ET $89.55 273 $24,447.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 11:55am ET $86.82 273 $23,701.86 $23,770.51 $-745.48
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $23,770.51
Net Profit/Loss: +$13,770.51
Total Return: +137.71%
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