GILD Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 33 trades in period
+12.52%
Last Year Return
$12,926.07
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$11,487.60
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
23
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.9/35
Total Return
12.3/25
Win Rate
0.8/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality
25.4/100
× Confidence 0.91
= 23.1
30-Day Momentum
0
-1.9%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
22,369
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
254 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$11,487.60
Current Value
$12,926.07
Period P&L
$1,438.48
Max Drawdown
-20.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
14 /
19
Best Trade
+9.12%
Worst Trade
-3.86%
Avg Trade Return
+0.46%
Avg Hold Time
8.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$851,417.73
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,438.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,438.48
Gross Return
+12.52%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.52%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 254 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $11,487.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 12:05pm ET | $99.50 | 115 | $11,442.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $95.66 | 115 | $11,000.90 | $11,046.00 |
$-441.60 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 9, 2025 9:55am ET | $97.16 | 113 | $10,978.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 10:10am ET | $102.38 | 113 | $11,568.94 | $11,636.43 |
+$590.42 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2025 11:05am ET | $101.77 | 114 | $11,601.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2025 3:00pm ET | $98.60 | 114 | $11,240.40 | $11,275.05 |
$-361.38 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 2:10pm ET | $105.11 | 107 | $11,246.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2025 10:10am ET | $110.58 | 107 | $11,832.06 | $11,860.34 |
+$585.29 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | May 30, 2025 11:25am ET | $109.83 | 107 | $11,751.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2025 10:55am ET | $106.36 | 107 | $11,380.52 | $11,489.05 |
$-371.29 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
24d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2025 1:25pm ET | $106.72 | 107 | $11,419.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2025 11:45am ET | $112.42 | 107 | $12,028.41 | $12,098.41 |
+$609.37 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2025 12:35pm ET | $111.92 | 108 | $12,087.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2025 11:05am ET | $108.49 | 108 | $11,716.92 | $11,727.97 |
$-370.44 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 18, 2025 11:40am ET | $109.16 | 107 | $11,679.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $116.44 | 107 | $12,459.08 | $12,507.47 |
+$779.50 (+6.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $114.36 | 109 | $12,465.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2025 12:45pm ET | $110.78 | 109 | $12,074.48 | $12,116.70 |
$-390.76 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2025 3:20pm ET | $109.83 | 110 | $12,081.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $119.85 | 110 | $13,183.50 | $13,218.90 |
+$1,102.20 (+9.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2025 11:25am ET | $118.72 | 111 | $13,177.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 1:25pm ET | $115.06 | 111 | $12,771.66 | $12,813.20 |
$-405.71 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 2:05pm ET | $114.00 | 112 | $12,768.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2025 2:15pm ET | $110.57 | 112 | $12,383.84 | $12,429.04 |
$-384.16 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2025 10:50am ET | $113.59 | 109 | $12,380.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 10:20am ET | $110.09 | 109 | $11,999.81 | $12,048.08 |
$-380.95 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 3:40pm ET | $113.09 | 106 | $11,987.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 9:45am ET | $118.77 | 106 | $12,589.84 | $12,650.91 |
+$602.83 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $117.31 | 107 | $12,552.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 12:45pm ET | $123.57 | 107 | $13,221.46 | $13,320.20 |
+$669.29 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 3:05pm ET | $122.70 | 108 | $13,251.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 9:35am ET | $118.84 | 108 | $12,834.18 | $12,902.78 |
$-417.42 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 10:00am ET | $119.98 | 107 | $12,837.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET | $126.00 | 107 | $13,482.00 | $13,546.92 |
+$644.14 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:40am ET | $123.44 | 109 | $13,454.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 11:00am ET | $119.68 | 109 | $13,044.58 | $13,137.08 |
$-409.84 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $122.64 | 107 | $13,122.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 12:25pm ET | $118.88 | 107 | $12,720.16 | $12,734.76 |
$-402.32 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 11:40am ET | $121.42 | 104 | $12,627.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:15am ET | $117.49 | 104 | $12,218.44 | $12,325.52 |
$-409.24 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 11:15am ET | $120.43 | 102 | $12,283.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:20am ET | $126.49 | 102 | $12,901.47 | $12,943.13 |
+$617.61 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 12:00pm ET | $131.52 | 98 | $12,888.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $140.19 | 98 | $13,738.62 | $13,793.28 |
+$850.15 (+6.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 2:00pm ET | $139.80 | 98 | $13,700.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.20 | 98 | $14,523.60 | $14,616.48 |
+$823.20 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $151.47 | 96 | $14,541.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $151.68 | 96 | $14,560.80 | $14,636.16 |
+$19.68 (+0.1%) |
📅 Sim Ended
6.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $147.20 | 99 | $14,572.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET | $155.42 | 99 | $15,386.58 | $15,449.94 |
+$813.78 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $154.27 | 100 | $15,427.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.97 | 100 | $14,897.00 | $14,919.94 |
$-530.00 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $148.45 | 100 | $14,845.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 11:15am ET | $143.84 | 100 | $14,384.00 | $14,458.94 |
$-461.00 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 3:40pm ET | $150.02 | 96 | $14,402.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.26 | 96 | $13,945.44 | $14,001.98 |
$-456.96 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $144.47 | 96 | $13,869.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $140.09 | 96 | $13,448.64 | $13,581.50 |
$-420.48 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 1:35pm ET | $140.33 | 96 | $13,471.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 12:50pm ET | $136.07 | 96 | $13,063.20 | $13,173.02 |
$-408.48 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:20pm ET | $136.03 | 96 | $13,058.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 1:40pm ET | $142.91 | 96 | $13,719.84 | $13,833.98 |
+$660.96 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 1:45pm ET | $139.34 | 99 | $13,794.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $134.26 | 99 | $13,291.25 | $13,330.57 |
$-503.41 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.8d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:35am ET | $132.21 | 100 | $13,221.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 11:35am ET | $128.16 | 100 | $12,816.50 | $12,926.07 |
$-404.50 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,926.07
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,926.07
Total Return:
+29.26%