Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-22 22:25:12

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.7 neutral
20d Trend
-7.0%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
59%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

53
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
25.4/35
Total Return
17.1/25
Win Rate
4.4/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 56.8/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 53.0

30-Day Momentum

5
+0.5%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 6.5 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-48 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
22,581
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
262 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$18,418.81
Current Value
$21,371.33
Period P&L
$2,952.53
Max Drawdown
-15.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
18 / 20
Best Trade
+6.61%
Worst Trade
-5.70%
Avg Trade Return
+0.60%
Avg Hold Time
7.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,510,457.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,952.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,952.53
Gross Return
+16.03%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 262 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 38 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $18,418.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 13, 2025 9:30am ET $612.92 28 $17,161.76
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 9:50am ET $643.76 28 $18,025.28 $18,537.81 +$863.52
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 27, 2025 1:45pm ET $689.93 26 $17,938.18
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2025 10:20am ET $725.50 26 $18,863.00 $19,462.63 +$924.82
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2025 2:25pm ET $707.85 27 $19,111.95
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 2:25pm ET $726.50 27 $19,615.50 $19,966.18 +$503.55
(+2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2025 11:20am ET $722.37 27 $19,503.99
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2025 9:30am ET $741.22 27 $20,012.94 $20,475.13 +$508.95
(+2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2025 12:20pm ET $755.69 27 $20,403.50
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2025 9:55am ET $794.04 27 $21,439.08 $21,510.72 +$1,035.59
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 1:55pm ET $803.00 26 $20,878.00
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 9:55am ET $778.64 26 $20,244.51 $20,877.23 $-633.49
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 1:20pm ET $790.16 26 $20,544.16
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 11:30am ET $765.07 26 $19,891.82 $20,224.89 $-652.34
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 1:40pm ET $785.13 25 $19,628.25
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $757.47 25 $18,936.86 $19,533.50 $-691.39
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 11:50am ET $770.34 25 $19,258.50
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET $743.84 25 $18,595.88 $18,870.87 $-662.63
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 11:55am ET $760.34 24 $18,248.16
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 11:40am ET $799.94 24 $19,198.56 $19,821.27 +$950.40
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
11 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 12:20pm ET $800.12 24 $19,202.88
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $774.42 24 $18,586.07 $19,204.46 $-616.81
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 9:35am ET $781.60 24 $18,758.28
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET $825.36 24 $19,808.64 $20,254.82 +$1,050.36
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:55am ET $828.50 24 $19,884.00
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $781.30 24 $18,751.20 $19,122.02 $-1,132.80
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $790.89 24 $18,981.36
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 9:40am ET $761.30 24 $18,271.20 $18,411.86 $-710.16
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
15 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 12:00pm ET $785.23 23 $18,060.29
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 10:05am ET $825.45 23 $18,985.35 $19,336.92 +$925.06
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 1:00pm ET $811.95 23 $18,674.85
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 10:00am ET $853.45 23 $19,629.35 $20,291.42 +$954.50
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 1:25pm ET $858.14 23 $19,737.22
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 9:40am ET $901.81 23 $20,741.63 $21,295.83 +$1,004.41
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:40am ET $908.78 23 $20,901.94
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 11:35am ET $880.37 23 $20,248.40 $20,642.28 $-653.54
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 11:35am ET $875.33 23 $20,132.59
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $933.23 23 $21,464.29 $21,973.98 +$1,331.70
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:40am ET $946.74 23 $21,775.02
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $918.08 23 $21,115.84 $21,314.80 $-659.18
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.2d held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:55am ET $926.00 23 $21,298.00
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:00pm ET $896.08 23 $20,609.84 $20,626.64 $-688.16
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:35pm ET $893.69 23 $20,554.87
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:05am ET $938.61 23 $21,588.03 $21,659.80 +$1,033.16
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $912.21 23 $20,980.83
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 12:40pm ET $884.25 23 $20,337.75 $21,016.72 $-643.08
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 2:55pm ET $906.78 23 $20,855.85
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 11:40am ET $878.85 23 $20,213.55 $20,374.42 $-642.30
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 1:25pm ET $865.47 23 $19,905.81
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $836.25 23 $19,233.75 $19,702.36 $-672.06
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 12:50pm ET $871.50 22 $19,172.91
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 11:20am ET $844.97 22 $18,589.45 $19,118.90 $-583.46
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $820.45 23 $18,870.35
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET $794.21 23 $18,266.77 $18,515.32 $-603.58
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 11:35am ET $787.78 23 $18,118.83
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $832.14 23 $19,139.16 $19,535.66 +$1,020.34
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $823.46 23 $18,939.58
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:55am ET $867.26 23 $19,946.98 $20,543.06 +$1,007.40
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 12:20pm ET $856.79 23 $19,706.17
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $905.24 23 $20,820.52 $21,657.41 +$1,114.35
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
31 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:35am ET $897.85 24 $21,548.40
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:55am ET $868.87 24 $20,852.88 $20,961.89 $-695.52
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
32 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:40am ET $907.77 23 $20,878.71
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 10:30am ET $956.00 23 $21,988.00 $22,071.18 +$1,109.29
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
28d held
33 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 10:45am ET $963.71 22 $21,201.62
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:35am ET $926.96 22 $20,393.12 $21,262.68 $-808.50
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
34 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 11:00am ET $976.56 21 $20,507.76
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:25am ET $1,025.67 21 $21,539.07 $22,293.99 +$1,031.31
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 2:00pm ET $1,067.99 20 $21,359.80
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:20am ET $1,033.40 20 $20,668.00 $21,602.19 $-691.80
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $1,082.34 19 $20,564.46
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $1,049.40 19 $19,938.60 $20,976.33 $-625.86
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:20pm ET $1,050.47 19 $19,958.93
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $1,016.65 19 $19,316.43 $20,333.83 $-642.50
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
38 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:35am ET $1,008.64 20 $20,172.70
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 10:10am ET $1,060.51 20 $21,210.20 $21,371.33 +$1,037.50
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $21,371.33
Net Profit/Loss: +$11,371.33
Total Return: +113.71%
Back to Marcus Reversal