Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:15:19

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.9/35
Total Return
11.8/25
Win Rate
2.4/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 29.6/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 26.1

30-Day Momentum

20
+4.2%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 29.5 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,551
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
259 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$13,895.98
Current Value
$12,560.73
Period P&L
$-1,335.26
Max Drawdown
-11.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
9 / 17
Best Trade
+5.71%
Worst Trade
-3.41%
Avg Trade Return
-0.33%
Avg Hold Time
11.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$692,902.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,335.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,335.26
Gross Return
-9.61%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 259 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,895.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 2, 2025 10:45am ET $557.64 24 $13,383.36
🔴 SELL May 19, 2025 9:50am ET $586.00 24 $14,063.88 $14,597.87 +$680.52
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
17d held
2 🟢 BUY May 20, 2025 9:50am ET $582.50 25 $14,562.50
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 9:30am ET $564.43 25 $14,110.75 $14,146.12 $-451.75
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY May 28, 2025 10:45am ET $573.92 24 $13,774.02
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 10:30am ET $556.21 24 $13,349.04 $13,721.14 $-424.98
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2025 12:05pm ET $572.00 23 $13,156.00
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2025 12:20pm ET $553.19 23 $12,723.41 $13,288.55 $-432.59
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2025 1:35pm ET $533.06 24 $12,793.44
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 9:30am ET $560.26 24 $13,446.24 $13,941.35 +$652.80
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 10:10am ET $555.99 25 $13,899.75
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2025 10:10am ET $566.28 25 $14,157.00 $14,198.60 +$257.25
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2025 11:10am ET $567.59 25 $14,189.75
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 9:30am ET $598.14 25 $14,953.38 $14,962.22 +$763.62
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
24.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2025 10:05am ET $595.85 25 $14,896.25
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET $577.95 25 $14,448.75 $14,514.72 $-447.50
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 12, 2025 10:30am ET $583.91 24 $14,013.84
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2025 10:05am ET $566.10 24 $13,586.40 $14,087.28 $-427.44
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 2:00pm ET $565.72 24 $13,577.28
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 2:10pm ET $548.48 24 $13,163.52 $13,673.52 $-413.76
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21d held
11 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET $556.45 24 $13,354.85
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 11:15am ET $539.63 24 $12,951.12 $13,269.80 $-403.73
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
28.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 12:25pm ET $525.11 25 $13,127.75
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 11:00am ET $552.41 25 $13,810.13 $13,952.17 +$682.37
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 10:00am ET $546.94 25 $13,673.38
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $577.28 25 $14,432.00 $14,710.80 +$758.63
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
18d held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 3:50pm ET $576.57 25 $14,414.13
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $556.93 25 $13,923.25 $14,219.92 $-490.88
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.7d held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $551.94 25 $13,798.50
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:35am ET $535.06 25 $13,376.50 $13,797.92 $-422.00
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 12:20pm ET $538.91 25 $13,472.75
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 12:55pm ET $522.40 25 $13,059.88 $13,385.04 $-412.88
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:30pm ET $523.69 25 $13,092.31
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:35am ET $550.50 25 $13,762.50 $14,055.23 +$670.19
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:15pm ET $555.58 25 $13,889.38
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:55am ET $537.59 25 $13,439.75 $13,605.60 $-449.62
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $521.44 26 $13,557.44
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 11:05am ET $505.17 26 $13,134.55 $13,182.71 $-422.89
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 12:00pm ET $511.72 25 $12,793.00
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:50pm ET $496.30 25 $12,407.38 $12,797.09 $-385.62
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:05pm ET $503.20 25 $12,579.88
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 1:10pm ET $488.08 25 $12,202.00 $12,419.21 $-377.88
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:45pm ET $496.82 24 $11,923.68
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:45pm ET $481.73 24 $11,561.52 $12,057.05 $-362.16
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:45am ET $491.76 24 $11,802.24
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:55am ET $516.45 24 $12,394.68 $12,649.49 +$592.44
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
15d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:50pm ET $523.16 24 $12,555.84
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 12:20pm ET $507.02 24 $12,168.36 $12,262.01 $-387.48
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:15pm ET $499.97 24 $11,999.28
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $528.50 24 $12,684.00 $12,946.73 +$684.72
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $513.96 25 $12,849.00
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 11:20am ET $498.52 25 $12,463.00 $12,560.73 $-386.00
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,560.73
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,560.73
Total Return: +25.61%
Back to Marcus Reversal