META Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-07 to present • 39 trades in period
+0.09%
Last Year Return
$15,471.34
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$15,457.13
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
29
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
7.3/35
Total Return
14.5/25
Win Rate
1.7/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
29.8/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 29.2
30-Day Momentum
12
+1.6%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.9
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,485
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$15,457.13
Current Value
$15,471.34
Period P&L
$14.22
Max Drawdown
-26.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
16 /
23
Best Trade
+11.31%
Worst Trade
-11.57%
Avg Trade Return
+0.19%
Avg Hold Time
7.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,273,837.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$14.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$14.22
Gross Return
+0.09%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.09%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $15,457.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2025 11:55am ET | $575.08 | 26 | $14,952.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $607.14 | 26 | $15,785.64 | $15,850.77 |
+$833.56 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 9, 2025 10:40am ET | $594.64 | 26 | $15,460.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 9:40am ET | $624.91 | 26 | $16,247.66 | $16,637.77 |
+$787.00 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2025 1:30pm ET | $656.30 | 25 | $16,407.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 16, 2025 9:45am ET | $636.36 | 25 | $15,909.00 | $16,139.27 |
$-498.50 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 2:15pm ET | $639.02 | 25 | $15,975.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2025 3:05pm ET | $671.45 | 25 | $16,786.25 | $16,950.02 |
+$810.75 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2025 12:10pm ET | $680.03 | 24 | $16,320.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2025 9:40am ET | $714.28 | 24 | $17,142.72 | $17,772.02 |
+$822.00 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2025 3:40pm ET | $725.36 | 24 | $17,408.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2025 11:20am ET | $702.20 | 24 | $16,852.80 | $17,216.30 |
$-555.72 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2025 1:20pm ET | $700.77 | 24 | $16,818.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $780.03 | 24 | $18,720.72 | $19,118.54 |
+$1,902.24 (+11.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $758.07 | 25 | $18,951.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2025 9:50am ET | $733.58 | 25 | $18,339.50 | $18,506.38 |
$-612.16 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2025 9:55am ET | $737.38 | 25 | $18,434.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2025 2:50pm ET | $774.50 | 25 | $19,362.50 | $19,434.38 |
+$928.00 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
26.2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2025 11:25am ET | $783.54 | 24 | $18,804.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2025 9:55am ET | $759.66 | 24 | $18,231.84 | $18,861.26 |
$-573.12 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2025 12:15pm ET | $754.49 | 24 | $18,107.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 9:35am ET | $731.41 | 24 | $17,553.72 | $18,307.22 |
$-554.04 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 9:35am ET | $718.41 | 25 | $17,960.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $696.80 | 25 | $17,420.00 | $17,767.09 |
$-540.13 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 11:55am ET | $709.15 | 25 | $17,728.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $750.59 | 25 | $18,764.75 | $18,803.09 |
+$1,036.00 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 10:40am ET | $746.34 | 25 | $18,658.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $660.00 | 25 | $16,500.00 | $16,644.59 |
$-2,158.50 (-11.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 9:50am ET | $656.50 | 25 | $16,412.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $635.47 | 25 | $15,886.81 | $16,118.90 |
$-525.69 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 2:25pm ET | $638.02 | 25 | $15,950.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 3:50pm ET | $618.29 | 25 | $15,457.25 | $15,625.65 |
$-493.25 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 11:10am ET | $627.95 | 24 | $15,070.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 11:10am ET | $608.94 | 24 | $14,614.44 | $15,169.29 |
$-456.36 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 11:15am ET | $608.81 | 24 | $14,611.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 9:40am ET | $590.40 | 24 | $14,169.48 | $14,727.33 |
$-441.96 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 9:40am ET | $590.31 | 24 | $14,167.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $621.99 | 24 | $14,927.76 | $15,487.62 |
+$760.30 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 9:40am ET | $638.45 | 24 | $15,322.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 10:15am ET | $672.11 | 24 | $16,130.64 | $16,295.45 |
+$807.83 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 2:15pm ET | $666.25 | 24 | $15,989.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 1:15pm ET | $646.22 | 24 | $15,509.29 | $15,814.81 |
$-480.64 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:25am ET | $644.01 | 24 | $15,456.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $653.27 | 24 | $15,678.48 | $16,037.05 |
+$222.24 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
31d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $639.08 | 25 | $15,976.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:40am ET | $619.47 | 25 | $15,486.63 | $15,546.80 |
$-490.25 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:30pm ET | $619.90 | 25 | $15,497.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $651.24 | 25 | $16,281.00 | $16,330.30 |
+$783.50 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $668.21 | 24 | $16,037.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $730.79 | 24 | $17,538.96 | $17,832.22 |
+$1,501.92 (+9.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $724.20 | 24 | $17,380.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:10am ET | $700.57 | 24 | $16,813.56 | $17,264.98 |
$-567.24 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:10am ET | $671.95 | 25 | $16,798.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $650.39 | 25 | $16,259.75 | $16,725.98 |
$-539.00 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:25pm ET | $678.90 | 24 | $16,293.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $677.37 | 24 | $16,256.88 | $16,689.26 |
$-36.72 (-0.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
2.5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $638.98 | 26 | $16,613.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 10:30am ET | $671.00 | 26 | $17,446.00 | $17,521.78 |
+$832.52 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 11:05am ET | $659.88 | 26 | $17,156.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $637.57 | 26 | $16,576.69 | $16,941.59 |
$-580.19 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $633.57 | 26 | $16,472.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 1:00pm ET | $613.94 | 26 | $15,962.44 | $16,431.21 |
$-510.38 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 10:40am ET | $629.13 | 26 | $16,357.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 10:05am ET | $609.33 | 26 | $15,842.58 | $15,916.41 |
$-514.80 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $594.66 | 26 | $15,461.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $576.35 | 26 | $14,985.10 | $15,440.41 |
$-476.00 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $537.92 | 28 | $15,061.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 2:00pm ET | $521.14 | 28 | $14,591.78 | $14,970.43 |
$-469.98 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:25pm ET | $534.79 | 27 | $14,439.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET | $563.76 | 27 | $15,221.52 | $15,752.49 |
+$782.06 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET | $585.70 | 26 | $15,228.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $565.70 | 26 | $14,708.07 | $15,232.36 |
$-520.13 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $575.03 | 26 | $14,950.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $606.00 | 26 | $15,756.00 | $16,037.45 |
+$805.09 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 1:10pm ET | $632.77 | 25 | $15,819.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 11:55am ET | $664.47 | 25 | $16,611.63 | $16,829.83 |
+$792.38 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 1:25pm ET | $673.93 | 24 | $16,174.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $617.33 | 24 | $14,815.83 | $15,471.34 |
$-1,358.49 (-8.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,471.34
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,471.34
Total Return:
+54.71%