Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:14:07

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

54
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.1/35
Total Return
19.2/25
Win Rate
2.8/15
Profit Factor
4.3/15
Consistency
7.2/10
Raw Quality 54.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 54.3

30-Day Momentum

77
+32.1%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
8
Trades
3.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 95.3 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+23 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,499
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
260 days
Data Gaps
2 days with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-06-23 (26 candles), 2025-06-24 (no data)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,889.54
Current Value
$30,134.98
Period P&L
$18,245.48
Max Drawdown
-33.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.34

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
64
Winners / Losers
35 / 29
Best Trade
+11.19%
Worst Trade
-5.33%
Avg Trade Return
+1.58%
Avg Hold Time
3.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,502,166.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$18,245.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$18,245.48
Gross Return
+153.46%
Net Return (after fees)
+153.46%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 260 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 64 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $11,889.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 11:25am ET $121.23 98 $11,880.73
🔴 SELL May 9, 2025 9:30am ET $134.80 98 $13,210.40 $13,219.20 +$1,329.67
(+11.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
2 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 10:30am ET $151.25 87 $13,158.75
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 11:30am ET $158.99 87 $13,832.13 $13,892.58 +$673.38
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
3 🟢 BUY May 22, 2025 3:40pm ET $158.26 87 $13,768.62
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 9:30am ET $166.59 87 $14,493.41 $14,617.37 +$724.79
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2025 12:25pm ET $172.28 84 $14,471.52
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2025 9:45am ET $181.36 84 $15,233.82 $15,379.67 +$762.30
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 10:55am ET $178.66 86 $15,364.76
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2025 3:00pm ET $173.00 86 $14,878.00 $14,892.91 $-486.76
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2025 2:50pm ET $177.53 83 $14,734.58
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 9:30am ET $190.16 83 $15,783.28 $15,941.61 +$1,048.71
(+7.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2025 1:10pm ET $191.48 83 $15,892.43
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 11:05am ET $185.22 83 $15,373.26 $15,422.45 $-519.17
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2025 11:55am ET $184.29 83 $15,296.07
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2025 10:45am ET $193.89 83 $16,092.46 $16,218.83 +$796.39
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 10:55am ET $190.54 85 $16,195.90
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2025 10:00am ET $184.30 85 $15,665.50 $15,688.43 $-530.40
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2025 11:10am ET $182.70 85 $15,529.08
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2025 10:05am ET $192.33 85 $16,348.05 $16,507.41 +$818.98
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 18, 2025 1:00pm ET $195.21 84 $16,397.64
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2025 9:30am ET $188.15 84 $15,804.60 $15,914.37 $-593.04
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2025 10:40am ET $187.24 84 $15,728.16
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2025 10:05am ET $197.03 84 $16,550.52 $16,736.73 +$822.36
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2025 2:25pm ET $200.03 83 $16,602.49
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 10:40am ET $210.15 83 $17,442.04 $17,576.27 +$839.55
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 1:00pm ET $204.99 85 $17,424.15
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 9:55am ET $215.58 85 $18,324.30 $18,476.42 +$900.15
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2025 10:55am ET $213.79 86 $18,385.94
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 12:30pm ET $206.99 86 $17,801.14 $17,891.62 $-584.80
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2025 1:10pm ET $205.59 87 $17,886.33
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2025 9:55am ET $198.42 87 $17,262.54 $17,267.83 $-623.79
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2025 12:15pm ET $198.55 86 $17,075.30
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 9:40am ET $192.49 86 $16,554.14 $16,746.67 $-521.16
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 12:00pm ET $191.46 87 $16,657.02
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2025 10:25am ET $201.33 87 $17,515.28 $17,604.93 +$858.25
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2025 12:20pm ET $203.48 86 $17,499.28
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2025 1:05pm ET $213.66 86 $18,374.76 $18,480.41 +$875.48
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 1:30pm ET $207.15 89 $18,436.35
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2025 9:35am ET $219.14 89 $19,503.46 $19,547.52 +$1,067.11
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.8d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2025 9:40am ET $217.26 89 $19,336.55
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2025 10:45am ET $228.67 89 $20,351.19 $20,562.15 +$1,014.64
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 12, 2025 1:35pm ET $220.95 93 $20,548.35
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2025 10:20am ET $214.15 93 $19,915.95 $19,929.75 $-632.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 9:35am ET $222.96 89 $19,843.44
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET $213.89 89 $19,035.77 $19,122.08 $-807.68
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 26, 2025 10:30am ET $214.71 89 $19,109.19
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 9:50am ET $226.35 89 $20,145.15 $20,158.04 +$1,035.96
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
25 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 10:55am ET $219.28 91 $19,954.48
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 9:40am ET $211.29 91 $19,227.39 $19,430.95 $-727.09
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 1:10pm ET $218.93 88 $19,265.84
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 11:45am ET $211.82 88 $18,640.16 $18,805.27 $-625.68
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held
27 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 9:40am ET $210.38 89 $18,724.10
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 10:05am ET $220.92 89 $19,661.88 $19,743.04 +$937.78
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
28 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 11:30am ET $225.14 87 $19,587.18
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 9:30am ET $241.38 87 $21,000.06 $21,155.92 +$1,412.88
(+7.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
29 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 10:50am ET $251.18 84 $21,099.12
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $237.80 84 $19,974.78 $20,031.58 $-1,124.34
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
30 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 3:40pm ET $228.66 87 $19,892.99
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET $218.83 87 $19,038.21 $19,176.81 $-854.77
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
31 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 11:10am ET $239.92 79 $18,953.29
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 9:55am ET $232.64 79 $18,378.56 $18,602.08 $-574.73
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
32 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 10:00am ET $220.09 84 $18,487.56
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 1:50pm ET $213.37 84 $17,923.08 $18,037.60 $-564.48
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
33 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 3:30pm ET $212.00 85 $18,019.58
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:40am ET $205.55 85 $17,471.75 $17,489.78 $-547.82
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
34 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:40am ET $197.64 88 $17,391.88
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 12:30pm ET $191.55 88 $16,855.96 $16,953.86 $-535.92
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
35 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 3:25pm ET $187.56 90 $16,880.40
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 3:45pm ET $197.11 90 $17,739.90 $17,813.36 +$859.50
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
36 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 12:00pm ET $200.22 88 $17,619.36
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 12:35pm ET $210.67 88 $18,538.52 $18,732.52 +$919.16
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
37 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 10:00am ET $203.99 91 $18,562.64
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 3:15pm ET $197.74 91 $17,994.35 $18,164.23 $-568.29
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
38 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 11:10am ET $194.13 93 $18,054.09
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:40am ET $204.09 93 $18,980.37 $19,090.51 +$926.28
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
19d held
39 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:40am ET $193.34 98 $18,946.83
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 12:05pm ET $203.02 98 $19,895.96 $20,039.64 +$949.13
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
40 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 12:05pm ET $186.50 107 $19,955.76
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:40am ET $180.79 107 $19,344.00 $19,427.88 $-611.76
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.9d held
41 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:40am ET $173.69 111 $19,279.04
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $187.32 111 $20,792.52 $20,941.37 +$1,513.49
(+7.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
42 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $211.79 98 $20,755.42
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $203.60 98 $19,952.80 $20,138.75 $-802.62
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held
43 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $180.20 111 $20,002.20
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:50am ET $173.83 111 $19,295.13 $19,431.68 $-707.07
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
44 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:50am ET $167.51 115 $19,264.22
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:55am ET $162.10 115 $18,641.50 $18,808.95 $-622.72
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
45 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:10pm ET $172.96 108 $18,679.68
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $174.16 108 $18,809.82 $18,939.09 +$130.14
(+0.7%)
📅 Sim Ended
3.8h held
46 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $180.39 104 $18,760.56
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $196.97 104 $20,484.88 $20,663.41 +$1,724.32
(+9.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.6h held
47 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:45am ET $190.49 108 $20,572.92
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:35am ET $184.60 108 $19,936.80 $20,027.29 $-636.12
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
48 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 1:05pm ET $187.55 106 $19,879.78
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 1:20pm ET $181.24 106 $19,211.97 $19,359.48 $-667.81
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
49 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $160.15 120 $19,218.60
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:55am ET $168.47 120 $20,216.40 $20,357.28 +$997.80
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
50 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 12:00pm ET $171.70 118 $20,260.60
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 1:40pm ET $180.53 118 $21,302.54 $21,399.22 +$1,041.94
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 2:45pm ET $185.67 115 $21,352.05
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 12:05pm ET $195.04 115 $22,429.60 $22,476.77 +$1,077.55
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $200.68 112 $22,476.72
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:35am ET $212.68 112 $23,820.72 $23,820.77 +$1,344.00
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 11:10am ET $210.57 113 $23,794.41
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 1:15pm ET $221.46 113 $25,024.98 $25,051.34 +$1,230.57
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 1:15pm ET $221.21 113 $24,996.17
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 3:35pm ET $214.46 113 $24,233.98 $24,289.16 $-762.18
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:55am ET $213.75 113 $24,153.75
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:35pm ET $207.10 113 $23,402.30 $23,537.71 $-751.45
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held
56 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:40am ET $199.85 117 $23,382.45
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 2:20pm ET $193.68 117 $22,660.56 $22,815.82 $-721.89
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:15pm ET $207.71 109 $22,640.93
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $223.45 109 $24,355.51 $24,530.39 +$1,714.57
(+7.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $205.20 119 $24,418.80
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET $198.71 119 $23,646.49 $23,758.08 $-772.31
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:10am ET $168.26 141 $23,725.36
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:00am ET $177.27 141 $24,995.07 $25,027.79 +$1,269.71
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 11:20am ET $179.40 139 $24,936.60
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET $188.69 139 $26,227.91 $26,319.10 +$1,291.31
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:00pm ET $198.40 132 $26,188.80
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:45am ET $208.72 132 $27,550.71 $27,681.01 +$1,361.91
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $200.42 138 $27,657.96
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $210.86 138 $29,098.68 $29,121.73 +$1,440.72
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:50pm ET $208.68 139 $29,006.52
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $201.71 139 $28,037.69 $28,152.90 $-968.83
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
64 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:40pm ET $216.59 129 $27,939.47
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $231.95 129 $29,921.55 $30,134.98 +$1,982.08
(+7.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $30,134.98
Net Profit/Loss: +$20,134.98
Total Return: +201.35%
Back to Marcus Reversal