OXY Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 44 trades in period
+87.92%
Last Year Return
$16,865.58
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$8,974.79
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
52.3 neutral
20d Trend
+2.4%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
68%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
36
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
10.2/35
Total Return
16.0/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
37.3/100
× Confidence 0.97
= 36.2
30-Day Momentum
4
-13.6%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7
Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-32 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
32,669
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$8,974.79
Current Value
$16,865.58
Period P&L
$7,890.81
Max Drawdown
-28.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.32
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
44
Winners / Losers
25 /
19
Best Trade
+10.47%
Worst Trade
-8.76%
Avg Trade Return
+1.57%
Avg Hold Time
6.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,210,315.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$7,890.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$7,890.81
Gross Return
+87.92%
Net Return (after fees)
+87.92%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 OXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 44 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $8,974.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 1:20pm ET | $39.35 | 228 | $8,970.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 11:40am ET | $41.38 | 228 | $9,434.64 | $9,438.76 |
+$463.98 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2025 11:15am ET | $44.07 | 214 | $9,430.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $42.61 | 214 | $9,118.63 | $9,126.40 |
$-312.35 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 16, 2025 10:25am ET | $42.81 | 213 | $9,117.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2025 11:40am ET | $41.51 | 213 | $8,841.63 | $8,850.57 |
$-275.84 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $40.76 | 217 | $8,844.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2025 11:25am ET | $42.87 | 217 | $9,301.71 | $9,307.35 |
+$456.79 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11.1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2025 11:25am ET | $42.03 | 221 | $9,288.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2025 10:35am ET | $44.17 | 221 | $9,761.57 | $9,780.29 |
+$472.94 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2025 12:45pm ET | $43.92 | 222 | $9,750.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $46.21 | 222 | $10,257.84 | $10,287.90 |
+$507.60 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2025 10:05am ET | $45.45 | 226 | $10,271.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2025 1:55pm ET | $44.05 | 226 | $9,955.62 | $9,971.81 |
$-316.08 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.2d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2025 1:55pm ET | $42.49 | 234 | $9,941.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2025 10:15am ET | $44.63 | 234 | $10,442.25 | $10,472.57 |
+$500.76 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2025 10:25am ET | $45.39 | 230 | $10,439.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2025 11:00am ET | $43.98 | 230 | $10,114.25 | $10,147.12 |
$-325.45 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2025 11:00am ET | $42.29 | 239 | $10,107.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 18, 2025 10:05am ET | $44.52 | 239 | $10,640.28 | $10,680.16 |
+$533.04 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2025 12:30pm ET | $43.12 | 247 | $10,650.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $45.29 | 247 | $11,186.38 | $11,215.91 |
+$535.74 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2025 9:35am ET | $45.18 | 248 | $11,204.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $43.48 | 248 | $10,781.80 | $10,793.34 |
$-422.57 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2025 9:55am ET | $42.89 | 251 | $10,765.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2025 12:35pm ET | $45.05 | 251 | $11,306.30 | $11,334.24 |
+$540.91 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11.1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2025 2:25pm ET | $44.27 | 256 | $11,331.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2025 9:40am ET | $46.93 | 256 | $12,014.08 | $12,016.48 |
+$682.24 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 29, 2025 10:50am ET | $47.52 | 252 | $11,973.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $45.85 | 252 | $11,554.20 | $11,596.90 |
$-419.58 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $46.09 | 251 | $11,568.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $48.76 | 251 | $12,238.76 | $12,267.07 |
+$670.17 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
24d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $46.95 | 261 | $12,253.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 10:05am ET | $45.39 | 261 | $11,846.79 | $11,859.91 |
$-407.16 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 11:35am ET | $44.77 | 264 | $11,817.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $43.27 | 264 | $11,423.31 | $11,465.26 |
$-394.65 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $41.74 | 274 | $11,436.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $40.19 | 274 | $11,012.06 | $11,040.56 |
$-424.70 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $40.82 | 270 | $11,021.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $43.10 | 270 | $11,636.49 | $11,655.65 |
+$615.09 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $41.62 | 280 | $11,652.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $41.30 | 280 | $11,562.60 | $11,566.05 |
$-89.60 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 9:35am ET | $40.63 | 284 | $11,538.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $39.38 | 284 | $11,184.18 | $11,211.30 |
$-354.74 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 9:40am ET | $40.06 | 279 | $11,176.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 12:15pm ET | $42.07 | 279 | $11,736.14 | $11,770.70 |
+$559.39 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 3:30pm ET | $41.39 | 284 | $11,753.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 2:25pm ET | $43.48 | 284 | $12,346.90 | $12,364.26 |
+$593.56 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $42.38 | 291 | $12,332.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $44.62 | 291 | $12,984.42 | $13,016.10 |
+$651.84 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $43.19 | 301 | $13,000.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $46.56 | 301 | $14,015.76 | $14,031.67 |
+$1,015.57 (+7.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $45.16 | 310 | $13,999.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $43.79 | 310 | $13,576.45 | $13,608.52 |
$-423.15 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 12:20pm ET | $45.91 | 296 | $13,589.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $46.69 | 296 | $13,821.72 | $13,840.88 |
+$232.36 (+1.7%) |
📅 Sim Ended
5.2d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $45.79 | 302 | $13,830.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.13 | 302 | $15,139.26 | $15,150.05 |
+$1,309.17 (+9.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 11:10am ET | $50.73 | 298 | $15,117.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.04 | 298 | $16,699.92 | $16,732.43 |
+$1,582.38 (+10.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 2:50pm ET | $53.39 | 313 | $16,711.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.71 | 313 | $17,748.67 | $17,770.03 |
+$1,037.60 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.7d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.40 | 309 | $17,736.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 10:20am ET | $60.28 | 309 | $18,625.65 | $18,659.08 |
+$889.05 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.47 | 319 | $18,651.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $61.88 | 319 | $19,739.72 | $19,746.87 |
+$1,087.79 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $60.45 | 326 | $19,706.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:10pm ET | $63.56 | 326 | $20,720.56 | $20,760.73 |
+$1,013.86 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 1:55pm ET | $65.43 | 317 | $20,739.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET | $63.45 | 317 | $20,113.65 | $20,134.65 |
$-626.08 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:20pm ET | $61.31 | 328 | $20,109.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.60 | 328 | $21,188.60 | $21,213.57 |
+$1,078.92 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $62.47 | 339 | $21,177.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.00 | 339 | $19,323.00 | $19,359.24 |
$-1,854.33 (-8.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:40am ET | $59.63 | 324 | $19,320.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:35am ET | $57.68 | 324 | $18,688.32 | $18,727.44 |
$-631.80 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 10:40am ET | $58.24 | 321 | $18,695.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $55.58 | 321 | $17,842.78 | $17,875.18 |
$-852.26 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 11:50am ET | $55.91 | 319 | $17,835.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.44 | 319 | $17,047.36 | $17,087.25 |
$-787.93 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:30pm ET | $54.47 | 313 | $17,050.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.57 | 313 | $18,019.41 | $18,055.99 |
+$968.74 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $57.10 | 316 | $18,043.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 11:55am ET | $60.02 | 316 | $18,966.32 | $18,978.71 |
+$922.72 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 1:35pm ET | $60.11 | 315 | $18,934.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:10am ET | $58.07 | 315 | $18,292.05 | $18,336.11 |
$-642.60 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 1:20pm ET | $59.68 | 307 | $18,321.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.89 | 307 | $16,851.23 | $16,865.58 |
$-1,470.53 (-8.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$16,865.58
Net Profit/Loss:
+$6,865.58
Total Return:
+68.66%