Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:24:14

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
76.9 overbought
20d Trend
+10.5%
5d Trend
+5.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 5.8/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 4.9

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
24,058
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,274.41
Current Value
$9,107.18
Period P&L
$-1,167.25
Max Drawdown
-24.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
8 / 14
Best Trade
+6.28%
Worst Trade
-3.64%
Avg Trade Return
-0.51%
Avg Hold Time
15.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$420,655.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,167.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,167.25
Gross Return
-11.36%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $10,274.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2025 3:50pm ET $159.33 64 $10,197.12
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 9:30am ET $166.09 64 $10,629.76 $10,735.88 +$432.64
(+4.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
32.7d held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2025 11:05am ET $167.97 63 $10,582.11
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 9:50am ET $162.65 63 $10,246.64 $10,400.40 $-335.47
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2025 1:10pm ET $163.58 63 $10,305.54
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2025 2:10pm ET $158.55 63 $9,988.65 $10,083.51 $-316.89
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2025 12:10pm ET $158.21 63 $9,967.23
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2025 10:50am ET $153.46 63 $9,667.98 $9,784.26 $-299.25
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2025 10:50am ET $152.30 64 $9,747.20
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2025 10:50am ET $154.57 64 $9,892.48 $9,929.54 +$145.28
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2025 12:10pm ET $154.45 64 $9,884.80
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET $158.31 64 $10,131.84 $10,176.58 +$247.04
(+2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 1:05pm ET $159.86 63 $10,071.00
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2025 9:35am ET $154.90 63 $9,758.70 $9,864.29 $-312.30
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 9:35am ET $152.47 64 $9,757.76
🔴 SELL Oct 13, 2025 10:35am ET $147.86 64 $9,462.91 $9,569.44 $-294.85
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20d held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 11:40am ET $147.23 64 $9,422.72
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 10:40am ET $148.33 64 $9,493.12 $9,639.84 +$70.40
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 11:10am ET $147.87 65 $9,611.55
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 9:35am ET $143.01 65 $9,295.65 $9,323.94 $-315.90
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 10:45am ET $146.32 63 $9,218.16
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $140.99 63 $8,882.37 $8,988.15 $-335.79
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 11:00am ET $139.61 64 $8,935.04
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 9:30am ET $147.15 64 $9,417.60 $9,470.71 +$482.56
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $146.92 64 $9,402.56
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET $142.30 64 $9,107.35 $9,175.49 $-295.21
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 11:05am ET $145.06 63 $9,138.78
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $140.58 63 $8,856.54 $8,893.25 $-282.24
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:35am ET $140.66 63 $8,861.58
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET $149.50 63 $9,418.50 $9,450.17 +$556.92
(+6.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
15.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:50am ET $150.40 62 $9,324.80
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET $157.95 62 $9,792.90 $9,918.27 +$468.10
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 12:15pm ET $158.24 62 $9,810.88
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $157.09 62 $9,739.27 $9,846.66 $-71.61
(-0.7%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.2d held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:40am ET $160.15 61 $9,769.45
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:40am ET $155.26 61 $9,471.16 $9,548.37 $-298.29
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:40am ET $152.60 62 $9,461.20
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 10:35am ET $147.79 62 $9,163.29 $9,250.46 $-297.91
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:15am ET $145.43 63 $9,161.78
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:05pm ET $141.02 63 $8,884.26 $8,972.95 $-277.51
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:15am ET $144.69 62 $8,970.78
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $152.05 62 $9,427.10 $9,429.27 +$456.32
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:55pm ET $150.38 62 $9,323.56
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $145.18 62 $9,001.47 $9,107.18 $-322.09
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,107.18
Net Profit/Loss: $-892.82
Total Return: -8.93%
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