Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:21:47

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 4.3/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 3.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,583
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
253 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,206.95
Current Value
$8,582.09
Period P&L
$-624.88
Max Drawdown
-28.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
10 / 18
Best Trade
+7.82%
Worst Trade
-10.63%
Avg Trade Return
-0.14%
Avg Hold Time
11.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$508,737.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-624.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$-624.88
Gross Return
-6.79%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.79%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 253 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $9,206.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2025 9:30am ET $420.79 21 $8,836.49
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 3:15pm ET $407.86 21 $8,565.06 $8,930.82 $-271.43
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.2d held
2 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 1:45pm ET $411.95 21 $8,650.95
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 3:55pm ET $432.59 21 $9,084.39 $9,364.26 +$433.44
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
3 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $428.87 21 $9,006.27
🔴 SELL May 14, 2025 10:20am ET $415.45 21 $8,724.45 $9,082.44 $-281.82
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held
4 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 10:20am ET $397.72 22 $8,749.84
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2025 10:35am ET $417.81 22 $9,191.82 $9,524.41 +$441.98
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
26d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2025 10:40am ET $417.03 22 $9,174.66
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 2:25pm ET $404.39 22 $8,896.47 $9,246.22 $-278.19
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2025 2:40pm ET $404.67 22 $8,902.74
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2025 2:40pm ET $392.16 22 $8,627.52 $8,971.00 $-275.22
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 11:25am ET $396.69 22 $8,727.13
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 10:35am ET $416.69 22 $9,167.18 $9,411.05 +$440.05
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2025 12:50pm ET $424.30 22 $9,334.60
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2025 9:30am ET $407.42 22 $8,963.24 $9,039.69 $-371.36
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 12:50pm ET $473.35 19 $8,993.56
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 10:00am ET $456.58 19 $8,675.02 $8,721.16 $-318.54
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2025 2:25pm ET $465.32 18 $8,375.76
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 9:55am ET $451.03 18 $8,118.59 $8,463.99 $-257.17
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2025 3:20pm ET $454.73 18 $8,185.05
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2025 2:20pm ET $477.99 18 $8,603.82 $8,882.76 +$418.77
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 9:45am ET $480.51 18 $8,649.09
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET $480.00 18 $8,640.00 $8,873.67 $-9.09
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
32d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 10:40am ET $477.38 18 $8,592.81
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 10:45am ET $462.51 18 $8,325.18 $8,606.04 $-267.63
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 29, 2025 9:35am ET $460.74 18 $8,293.32
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2025 3:00pm ET $484.21 18 $8,715.78 $9,028.50 +$422.46
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
15 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 10:40am ET $525.45 17 $8,932.65
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 9:30am ET $566.54 17 $9,631.18 $9,727.03 +$698.53
(+7.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
19d held
16 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 3:05pm ET $563.47 17 $9,579.01
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:55am ET $591.84 17 $10,061.28 $10,209.30 +$482.27
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:55am ET $576.46 17 $9,799.89
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET $574.36 17 $9,764.12 $10,173.53 $-35.77
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
31d held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 10:25am ET $568.69 17 $9,667.65
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $606.64 17 $10,312.88 $10,818.77 +$645.24
(+6.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
20d held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:50am ET $620.66 17 $10,551.22
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 12:35pm ET $601.86 17 $10,231.54 $10,499.08 $-319.68
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 12:35pm ET $615.00 17 $10,455.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $575.87 17 $9,789.71 $9,833.79 $-665.30
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:40am ET $582.31 16 $9,316.96
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 2:05pm ET $564.46 16 $9,031.28 $9,548.11 $-285.68
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 2:05pm ET $548.82 17 $9,329.86
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $546.86 17 $9,296.62 $9,514.87 $-33.24
(-0.4%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $539.72 17 $9,175.24
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 12:10pm ET $523.20 17 $8,894.40 $9,234.03 $-280.84
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $499.88 18 $8,997.75
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:25am ET $484.66 18 $8,723.88 $8,960.16 $-273.87
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23d held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 10:25am ET $469.92 19 $8,928.57
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 2:40pm ET $494.07 19 $9,387.33 $9,418.92 +$458.76
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.2d held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 3:25pm ET $489.99 19 $9,309.81
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:10am ET $475.04 19 $9,025.76 $9,134.87 $-284.05
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:50am ET $482.41 18 $8,683.38
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:50pm ET $507.67 18 $9,137.97 $9,589.46 +$454.59
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.1d held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:55pm ET $526.63 18 $9,479.34
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $470.67 18 $8,471.97 $8,582.09 $-1,007.37
(-10.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,582.09
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,417.91
Total Return: -14.18%
Back to Marcus Reversal