Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:29:53

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 6.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 5.9

30-Day Momentum

53
+14.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
2.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 71.1 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+47 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
41,026
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$7,831.79
Current Value
$9,755.97
Period P&L
$1,924.20
Max Drawdown
-40.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
70
Winners / Losers
31 / 39
Best Trade
+9.25%
Worst Trade
-5.94%
Avg Trade Return
+0.41%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,352,409.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,924.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,924.20
Gross Return
+24.57%
Net Return (after fees)
+24.57%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 70 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $7,831.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 1, 2025 12:15pm ET $28.68 275 $7,887.00
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 2:05pm ET $27.65 275 $7,603.06 $7,617.96 $-283.94
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
2 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 3:50pm ET $29.68 256 $7,597.44
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $32.42 256 $8,299.83 $8,320.35 +$702.39
(+9.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held
3 🟢 BUY May 14, 2025 1:20pm ET $34.69 239 $8,291.51
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 9:30am ET $32.84 239 $7,848.16 $7,877.00 $-443.35
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.8d held
4 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 3:00pm ET $35.32 222 $7,842.04
🔴 SELL May 30, 2025 12:25pm ET $34.04 222 $7,556.88 $7,591.84 $-285.16
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 2:00pm ET $36.60 207 $7,575.17
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2025 10:30am ET $38.43 207 $7,954.64 $7,971.31 +$379.47
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 2:40pm ET $37.72 211 $7,959.51
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 10:15am ET $36.57 211 $7,716.27 $7,728.07 $-243.24
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2025 12:30pm ET $37.86 204 $7,722.42
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2025 2:00pm ET $36.70 204 $7,485.78 $7,491.43 $-236.64
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2025 10:40am ET $36.42 205 $7,466.10
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 9:30am ET $38.51 205 $7,894.55 $7,919.88 +$428.45
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 11:05am ET $39.22 201 $7,883.24
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2025 9:35am ET $41.20 201 $8,281.70 $8,318.35 +$398.46
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 10:30am ET $40.69 204 $8,300.76
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2025 9:30am ET $43.01 204 $8,774.04 $8,791.63 +$473.28
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2025 9:30am ET $42.27 207 $8,750.01
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2025 10:25am ET $44.44 207 $9,199.08 $9,240.69 +$449.07
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 10:25am ET $43.06 214 $9,214.84
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2025 9:30am ET $45.70 214 $9,778.73 $9,804.58 +$563.89
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2025 2:55pm ET $44.44 220 $9,775.99
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $42.20 220 $9,282.90 $9,311.50 $-493.09
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2025 10:45am ET $42.85 217 $9,297.91
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 9:30am ET $45.51 217 $9,876.21 $9,889.80 +$578.31
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2025 11:40am ET $45.56 217 $9,886.52
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2025 9:30am ET $48.10 217 $10,437.74 $10,441.02 +$551.22
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 11:35am ET $47.05 221 $10,398.05
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2025 10:25am ET $45.58 221 $10,074.04 $10,117.02 $-324.01
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2025 10:25am ET $42.54 237 $10,080.80
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET $44.74 237 $10,602.20 $10,638.42 +$521.40
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2025 2:55pm ET $45.13 235 $10,604.40
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET $42.45 235 $9,974.58 $10,008.59 $-629.82
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2025 11:50am ET $44.41 225 $9,992.52
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET $46.82 225 $10,533.38 $10,549.45 +$540.85
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 12:35pm ET $46.59 226 $10,529.34
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET $48.97 226 $11,066.66 $11,086.76 +$537.32
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2025 12:00pm ET $49.31 224 $11,045.44
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2025 10:25am ET $51.78 224 $11,599.41 $11,640.74 +$553.97
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 10:25am ET $52.09 223 $11,615.74
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2025 11:55am ET $50.32 223 $11,220.25 $11,245.25 $-395.49
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 12:50pm ET $49.98 225 $11,244.74
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 2:30pm ET $52.48 225 $11,808.56 $11,809.07 +$563.83
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
24 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 1:00pm ET $52.70 224 $11,804.42
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 11:30am ET $50.60 224 $11,333.28 $11,337.93 $-471.14
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $49.38 229 $11,308.02
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 9:50am ET $51.93 229 $11,891.58 $11,921.50 +$583.56
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
26 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 11:45am ET $51.89 229 $11,882.81
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 2:10pm ET $50.28 229 $11,514.01 $11,552.69 $-368.80
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held
27 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 2:50pm ET $54.04 213 $11,510.52
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 11:20am ET $52.40 213 $11,160.14 $11,202.31 $-350.38
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
28 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 11:05am ET $60.23 186 $11,201.85
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 9:35am ET $58.17 186 $10,820.09 $10,820.54 $-381.77
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
29 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 11:55am ET $58.76 184 $10,811.38
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $56.23 184 $10,346.32 $10,355.48 $-465.06
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
30 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 3:30pm ET $57.12 181 $10,338.32
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 9:55am ET $55.12 181 $9,976.27 $9,993.43 $-362.05
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held
31 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:55am ET $51.94 192 $9,971.52
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 11:45am ET $50.36 192 $9,668.16 $9,690.07 $-303.36
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
32 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 11:45am ET $54.91 176 $9,664.65
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 10:45am ET $53.25 176 $9,371.12 $9,396.53 $-293.53
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
33 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 3:40pm ET $52.39 179 $9,377.81
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 2:30pm ET $50.67 179 $9,070.14 $9,088.87 $-307.67
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
34 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 3:45pm ET $49.41 183 $9,041.12
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $52.82 183 $9,666.04 $9,713.80 +$624.93
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
35 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:00am ET $45.55 213 $9,702.90
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 12:05pm ET $47.85 213 $10,190.99 $10,201.88 +$488.09
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
36 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:40am ET $49.87 204 $10,172.46
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $53.03 204 $10,817.51 $10,846.93 +$645.05
(+6.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
37 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:35am ET $53.15 204 $10,842.60
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 3:10pm ET $55.84 204 $11,390.34 $11,394.67 +$547.74
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
38 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 11:15am ET $55.97 203 $11,361.91
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 9:50am ET $54.27 203 $11,016.81 $11,049.57 $-345.10
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
39 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 10:00am ET $54.63 202 $11,035.26
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET $52.60 202 $10,625.20 $10,639.51 $-410.06
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
40 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 12:30pm ET $52.36 203 $10,629.08
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:50am ET $50.61 203 $10,273.83 $10,284.26 $-355.25
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
41 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 12:10pm ET $51.42 200 $10,284.00
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $54.35 200 $10,869.00 $10,869.26 +$585.00
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
42 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 1:00pm ET $54.64 198 $10,818.80
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 3:20pm ET $52.94 198 $10,482.18 $10,532.64 $-336.62
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
43 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 12:55pm ET $53.84 195 $10,498.94
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $52.05 195 $10,149.38 $10,183.09 $-349.56
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.9d held
44 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET $51.65 197 $10,175.05
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 1:00pm ET $54.24 197 $10,684.85 $10,692.88 +$509.80
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
45 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 1:10pm ET $55.31 193 $10,674.83
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET $53.63 193 $10,349.63 $10,367.68 $-325.21
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
46 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 11:55am ET $54.54 190 $10,361.65
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:20am ET $52.75 190 $10,022.50 $10,028.53 $-339.15
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
47 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:45am ET $49.47 202 $9,992.94
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:05am ET $47.83 202 $9,661.66 $9,697.25 $-331.28
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
48 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:20pm ET $51.87 186 $9,647.82
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $51.92 186 $9,657.25 $9,706.68 +$9.43
(+0.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
2.6h held
49 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $47.72 203 $9,687.16
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 10:55am ET $50.14 203 $10,178.40 $10,197.92 +$491.24
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
50 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 1:00pm ET $48.33 211 $10,197.52
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:35am ET $50.99 211 $10,759.94 $10,760.34 +$562.42
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
51 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET $51.21 210 $10,753.32
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:20am ET $49.34 210 $10,361.40 $10,368.42 $-391.92
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
52 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 1:15pm ET $49.06 211 $10,352.71
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $47.47 211 $10,016.38 $10,032.09 $-336.33
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $46.80 214 $10,015.20
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET $49.16 214 $10,520.24 $10,537.13 +$505.04
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:35am ET $50.11 210 $10,523.10
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $48.56 210 $10,197.60 $10,211.63 $-325.50
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 3:25pm ET $47.65 214 $10,197.10
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET $45.91 214 $9,824.74 $9,839.27 $-372.36
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
56 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $49.76 197 $9,803.70
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $48.17 197 $9,490.47 $9,526.04 $-313.23
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
57 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 10:50am ET $46.96 202 $9,485.92
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $44.75 202 $9,039.50 $9,079.62 $-446.42
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
58 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:40am ET $44.73 202 $9,035.46
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $43.22 202 $8,731.45 $8,775.61 $-304.01
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
59 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $44.83 195 $8,741.87
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:50am ET $43.31 195 $8,446.42 $8,480.17 $-295.44
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held
60 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:20am ET $44.20 191 $8,442.20
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET $42.82 191 $8,178.62 $8,216.59 $-263.58
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
61 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET $40.22 204 $8,203.86
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $39.01 204 $7,957.02 $7,969.75 $-246.84
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.4h held
62 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:15pm ET $38.16 208 $7,937.28
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $40.85 208 $8,496.80 $8,529.27 +$559.52
(+7.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $43.54 195 $8,491.27
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $41.02 195 $7,998.90 $8,036.90 $-492.37
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:30am ET $43.69 183 $7,995.29
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:10am ET $42.33 183 $7,746.37 $7,787.98 $-248.92
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET $47.81 162 $7,745.20
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $50.22 162 $8,134.83 $8,177.61 +$389.63
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held
66 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $54.13 151 $8,174.38
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:15pm ET $56.86 151 $8,585.86 $8,589.09 +$411.48
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
67 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:35pm ET $58.24 147 $8,561.50
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET $61.36 147 $9,019.92 $9,047.51 +$458.42
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
68 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:55pm ET $62.30 145 $9,033.50
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:40am ET $59.99 145 $8,699.27 $8,713.28 $-334.23
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
69 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 12:35pm ET $60.71 143 $8,681.52
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $63.88 143 $9,134.84 $9,166.60 +$453.32
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
70 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:20am ET $64.87 141 $9,146.68
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $69.05 141 $9,736.05 $9,755.97 +$589.37
(+6.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,755.97
Net Profit/Loss: $-244.03
Total Return: -2.44%
Back to Marcus Reversal