Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:24:06

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.4/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
1.3/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 27.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 27.3

30-Day Momentum

57
+16.2%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
2.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 77.0 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+30 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
41,110
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,102.93
Current Value
$15,224.28
Period P&L
$5,121.32
Max Drawdown
-34.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
65
Winners / Losers
31 / 34
Best Trade
+7.35%
Worst Trade
-7.74%
Avg Trade Return
+0.74%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,558,465.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,121.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,121.32
Gross Return
+50.69%
Net Return (after fees)
+50.69%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 65 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $10,102.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 9:30am ET $275.33 36 $9,911.97
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 11:40am ET $289.49 36 $10,421.46 $10,612.42 +$509.49
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
2 🟢 BUY May 9, 2025 12:15pm ET $297.28 35 $10,404.80
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $315.84 35 $11,054.40 $11,262.02 +$649.60
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
3 🟢 BUY May 14, 2025 12:50pm ET $345.82 32 $11,066.08
🔴 SELL May 15, 2025 10:35am ET $335.39 32 $10,732.32 $10,928.26 $-333.76
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
4 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 9:30am ET $334.38 32 $10,700.07
🔴 SELL May 20, 2025 9:30am ET $352.56 32 $11,282.07 $11,510.26 +$582.00
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
5 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 1:20pm ET $339.02 33 $11,187.66
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 10:10am ET $356.17 33 $11,753.61 $12,076.21 +$565.95
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
6 🟢 BUY May 28, 2025 12:30pm ET $360.95 33 $11,911.35
🔴 SELL May 30, 2025 12:35pm ET $349.32 33 $11,527.40 $11,692.26 $-383.96
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 1:55pm ET $351.02 33 $11,583.66
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2025 9:40am ET $338.17 33 $11,159.61 $11,268.21 $-424.05
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 9:40am ET $315.59 35 $11,045.66
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 12:45pm ET $306.00 35 $10,710.00 $10,932.55 $-335.66
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2025 3:25pm ET $297.99 36 $10,727.64
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2025 9:30am ET $284.88 36 $10,255.51 $10,460.43 $-472.12
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2025 2:00pm ET $323.95 32 $10,366.25
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 9:55am ET $343.06 32 $10,977.76 $11,071.94 +$611.51
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 10:25am ET $341.56 32 $10,929.92
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 10:00am ET $328.64 32 $10,516.48 $10,658.50 $-413.44
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2025 1:50pm ET $327.39 32 $10,476.48
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2025 3:20pm ET $316.91 32 $10,141.12 $10,323.14 $-335.36
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 3, 2025 12:55pm ET $315.19 32 $10,085.92
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2025 9:30am ET $290.80 32 $9,305.60 $9,542.82 $-780.32
(-7.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 1:30pm ET $300.55 31 $9,317.05
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2025 9:30am ET $320.41 31 $9,932.71 $10,158.48 +$615.66
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2025 10:40am ET $314.88 32 $10,076.16
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2025 9:30am ET $332.94 32 $10,653.92 $10,736.24 +$577.76
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 9:50am ET $322.29 33 $10,635.57
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 9:30am ET $304.93 33 $10,062.71 $10,163.38 $-572.86
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2025 1:20pm ET $318.58 31 $9,875.98
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 1:50pm ET $308.70 31 $9,569.70 $9,857.10 $-306.28
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 11:10am ET $305.50 32 $9,775.84
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 9:30am ET $321.43 32 $10,285.76 $10,367.02 +$509.92
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2025 11:55am ET $330.91 31 $10,258.21
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2025 9:40am ET $347.63 31 $10,776.38 $10,885.18 +$518.16
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 9:40am ET $335.97 32 $10,751.17
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 9:45am ET $323.68 32 $10,357.76 $10,491.77 $-393.41
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 12:45pm ET $320.34 32 $10,250.88
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 10:35am ET $336.64 32 $10,772.44 $11,013.32 +$521.56
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2025 12:15pm ET $351.14 31 $10,885.34
🔴 SELL Aug 29, 2025 10:05am ET $340.48 31 $10,554.78 $10,682.77 $-330.56
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2025 11:35am ET $327.63 32 $10,484.00
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET $349.41 32 $11,181.12 $11,379.89 +$697.12
(+6.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 11:00am ET $348.70 32 $11,158.28
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2025 1:40pm ET $366.20 32 $11,718.40 $11,940.00 +$560.12
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 12:25pm ET $418.50 28 $11,718.00
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 2:35pm ET $404.33 28 $11,321.26 $11,543.26 $-396.74
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 9:30am ET $413.97 27 $11,177.19
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2025 9:30am ET $435.11 27 $11,747.97 $12,114.04 +$570.78
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 1:35pm ET $428.03 28 $11,984.81
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 10:10am ET $450.67 28 $12,618.76 $12,747.99 +$633.95
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
28 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 11:45am ET $444.99 28 $12,459.58
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 10:10am ET $431.42 28 $12,079.76 $12,368.17 $-379.82
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
29 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 11:00am ET $445.49 27 $12,028.10
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2025 9:30am ET $428.46 27 $11,568.42 $11,908.49 $-459.68
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
30 🟢 BUY Oct 9, 2025 9:40am ET $429.44 27 $11,594.88
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 1:05pm ET $416.28 27 $11,239.54 $11,553.16 $-355.34
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
31 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $422.70 27 $11,412.90
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 9:40am ET $444.73 27 $12,007.82 $12,148.08 +$594.92
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
32 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 1:35pm ET $445.02 27 $12,015.65
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 1:35pm ET $431.14 27 $11,640.69 $11,773.12 $-374.96
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
33 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 10:00am ET $440.09 26 $11,442.34
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 10:05am ET $462.40 26 $12,022.37 $12,353.16 +$580.03
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
34 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 11:05am ET $458.55 26 $11,922.22
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 10:20am ET $444.76 26 $11,563.88 $11,994.81 $-358.34
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
35 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 12:00pm ET $452.80 26 $11,772.80
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 11:35am ET $437.87 26 $11,384.52 $11,606.54 $-388.28
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
36 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 11:35am ET $426.09 27 $11,504.43
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 11:05am ET $448.06 27 $12,097.62 $12,199.73 +$593.19
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
37 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 11:05am ET $434.03 28 $12,152.84
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:35am ET $420.07 28 $11,761.96 $11,808.85 $-390.88
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
38 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 1:45pm ET $405.59 29 $11,762.11
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 10:00am ET $426.90 29 $12,380.10 $12,426.84 +$617.99
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
39 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 10:40am ET $387.52 32 $12,400.74
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $409.39 32 $13,100.48 $13,126.58 +$699.74
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
40 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:40am ET $410.64 31 $12,729.84
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 9:30am ET $432.08 31 $13,394.48 $13,791.22 +$664.64
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
41 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 1:50pm ET $427.86 32 $13,691.52
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 9:35am ET $449.91 32 $14,397.18 $14,496.88 +$705.66
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
42 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 11:55am ET $455.04 31 $14,106.09
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 10:50am ET $441.36 31 $13,682.16 $14,072.96 $-423.93
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
43 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 2:00pm ET $448.61 31 $13,906.97
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET $474.97 31 $14,724.07 $14,890.05 +$817.10
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
44 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET $467.17 31 $14,482.27
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 3:50pm ET $490.71 31 $15,212.01 $15,619.79 +$729.74
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.3h held
45 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 2:30pm ET $483.91 32 $15,485.12
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $463.85 32 $14,843.16 $14,977.84 $-641.96
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.8d held
46 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $456.39 32 $14,604.48
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 11:00am ET $441.60 32 $14,131.20 $14,504.56 $-473.28
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
47 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:20pm ET $454.55 31 $14,091.05
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $439.93 31 $13,637.83 $14,051.34 $-453.22
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held
48 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:55pm ET $434.79 32 $13,913.12
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $421.21 32 $13,478.72 $13,616.94 $-434.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
49 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $432.11 31 $13,395.47
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET $418.69 31 $12,979.24 $13,200.70 $-416.24
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held
50 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 11:55am ET $434.81 30 $13,044.30
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $415.36 30 $12,460.80 $12,617.20 $-583.50
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
51 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 12:40pm ET $418.36 30 $12,550.80
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:40am ET $405.00 30 $12,150.00 $12,216.40 $-400.80
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
52 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 2:40pm ET $395.85 30 $11,875.35
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:50am ET $416.30 30 $12,489.00 $12,830.05 +$613.65
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
53 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $412.86 31 $12,798.66
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 11:05am ET $400.38 31 $12,411.78 $12,443.17 $-386.88
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
54 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 11:35am ET $403.17 30 $12,095.21
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $390.92 30 $11,727.60 $12,075.56 $-367.61
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $393.62 30 $11,808.60
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 10:05am ET $414.78 30 $12,443.40 $12,710.36 +$634.80
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
56 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 10:05am ET $401.10 31 $12,434.10
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $386.00 31 $11,966.00 $12,242.26 $-468.10
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
57 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $374.24 32 $11,975.68
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $394.00 32 $12,608.00 $12,874.58 +$632.32
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
58 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $380.83 33 $12,567.23
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $368.52 33 $12,161.32 $12,468.68 $-405.90
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
59 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:40pm ET $359.92 34 $12,237.45
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $378.69 34 $12,875.46 $13,106.69 +$638.01
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $364.39 35 $12,753.64
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:25am ET $353.29 35 $12,365.15 $12,718.20 $-388.49
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 11:30am ET $338.92 37 $12,540.04
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $363.84 37 $13,462.08 $13,640.24 +$922.04
(+7.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
22h held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET $344.43 39 $13,432.77
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:25am ET $361.87 39 $14,113.00 $14,320.47 +$680.23
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 1:30pm ET $387.96 36 $13,966.44
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 11:30am ET $408.67 36 $14,712.17 $15,066.20 +$745.73
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 12:25pm ET $388.60 38 $14,766.80
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $373.69 38 $14,200.22 $14,499.62 $-566.58
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 12:05pm ET $373.80 38 $14,204.59
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 11:10am ET $392.88 38 $14,929.25 $15,224.28 +$724.66
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,224.28
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,224.28
Total Return: +52.24%
Back to Marcus Reversal