UNH Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 45 trades in period
-18.22%
Last Year Return
$6,053.11
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$7,401.89
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.4 oversold
20d Trend
-22.6%
5d Trend
-9.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
4.9%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
6
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
5.7/100
× Confidence 0.97
= 5.5
30-Day Momentum
60
+36.0%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 91.4
Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+55 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,926
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$7,401.89
Current Value
$6,053.11
Period P&L
$-1,348.79
Max Drawdown
-54.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
45
Winners / Losers
20 /
25
Best Trade
+12.86%
Worst Trade
-17.62%
Avg Trade Return
-0.28%
Avg Hold Time
6.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$483,634.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,348.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,348.79
Gross Return
-18.22%
Net Return (after fees)
-18.22%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 UNH Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 45 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $7,401.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2025 10:25am ET | $405.73 | 18 | $7,303.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $391.42 | 18 | $7,045.47 | $7,176.98 |
$-257.58 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2025 11:30am ET | $388.54 | 18 | $6,993.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $330.32 | 18 | $5,945.76 | $6,129.02 |
$-1,047.96 (-15.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2025 10:40am ET | $316.50 | 19 | $6,013.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $268.73 | 19 | $5,105.87 | $5,221.39 |
$-907.63 (-15.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 16, 2025 12:00pm ET | $271.72 | 19 | $5,162.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 16, 2025 12:50pm ET | $287.65 | 19 | $5,465.26 | $5,523.97 |
+$302.57 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
48m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $305.60 | 18 | $5,500.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2025 3:10pm ET | $296.37 | 18 | $5,334.66 | $5,357.92 |
$-166.05 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | May 23, 2025 3:45pm ET | $294.22 | 18 | $5,295.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2025 9:35am ET | $311.71 | 18 | $5,610.78 | $5,672.83 |
+$314.91 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.7d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2025 12:05pm ET | $300.90 | 18 | $5,416.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2025 11:55am ET | $316.80 | 18 | $5,702.31 | $5,959.03 |
+$286.20 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 13, 2025 2:00pm ET | $313.67 | 18 | $5,646.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 20, 2025 11:00am ET | $303.78 | 18 | $5,468.04 | $5,781.01 |
$-178.02 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2025 12:55pm ET | $297.48 | 19 | $5,652.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $312.84 | 19 | $5,943.96 | $6,072.82 |
+$291.81 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $317.06 | 19 | $6,024.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2025 3:40pm ET | $307.19 | 19 | $5,836.55 | $5,885.23 |
$-187.59 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2025 1:55pm ET | $302.67 | 19 | $5,750.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2025 10:50am ET | $292.63 | 19 | $5,559.97 | $5,694.47 |
$-190.76 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2025 10:50am ET | $292.97 | 19 | $5,566.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 18, 2025 10:00am ET | $283.04 | 19 | $5,377.76 | $5,505.89 |
$-188.57 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2025 12:55pm ET | $283.49 | 19 | $5,386.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $266.15 | 19 | $5,056.90 | $5,176.57 |
$-329.32 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $261.62 | 19 | $4,970.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2025 11:05am ET | $253.72 | 19 | $4,820.68 | $5,026.57 |
$-150.01 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 12:35pm ET | $239.87 | 20 | $4,797.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2025 9:35am ET | $252.33 | 20 | $5,046.62 | $5,275.79 |
+$249.22 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2025 10:05am ET | $242.48 | 21 | $5,092.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $256.31 | 21 | $5,382.41 | $5,566.12 |
+$290.33 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2025 12:50pm ET | $258.89 | 21 | $5,436.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2025 3:45pm ET | $272.04 | 21 | $5,712.81 | $5,842.23 |
+$276.12 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 15, 2025 2:30pm ET | $306.91 | 19 | $5,831.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2025 10:35am ET | $297.53 | 19 | $5,653.07 | $5,664.01 |
$-178.22 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2025 3:15pm ET | $303.76 | 18 | $5,467.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $319.80 | 18 | $5,756.40 | $5,952.73 |
+$288.72 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2025 1:00pm ET | $355.98 | 16 | $5,695.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2025 9:40am ET | $344.54 | 16 | $5,512.64 | $5,769.77 |
$-182.96 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2025 9:40am ET | $342.12 | 16 | $5,473.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 9:40am ET | $359.35 | 16 | $5,749.52 | $6,045.37 |
+$275.60 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 1:30pm ET | $359.72 | 16 | $5,755.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 10:00am ET | $348.39 | 16 | $5,574.24 | $5,864.09 |
$-181.28 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 12:20pm ET | $342.30 | 17 | $5,819.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 10:15am ET | $330.97 | 17 | $5,626.49 | $5,671.44 |
$-192.65 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 12:00pm ET | $332.90 | 17 | $5,659.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 1:05pm ET | $322.87 | 17 | $5,488.79 | $5,500.93 |
$-170.51 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 11:35am ET | $319.48 | 17 | $5,431.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 9:40am ET | $336.40 | 17 | $5,718.80 | $5,788.57 |
+$287.64 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET | $332.94 | 17 | $5,659.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 10:00am ET | $321.01 | 17 | $5,457.17 | $5,585.76 |
$-202.81 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 12:50pm ET | $325.14 | 17 | $5,527.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $315.12 | 17 | $5,356.96 | $5,415.34 |
$-170.43 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.7h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 9:35am ET | $310.64 | 17 | $5,280.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 9:35am ET | $327.37 | 17 | $5,565.29 | $5,699.83 |
+$284.49 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 10:50am ET | $329.37 | 17 | $5,599.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 10:50am ET | $329.78 | 17 | $5,606.26 | $5,706.80 |
+$6.97 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 11:00am ET | $329.74 | 17 | $5,605.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 1:30pm ET | $346.60 | 17 | $5,892.20 | $5,993.51 |
+$286.71 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $349.01 | 17 | $5,933.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 11:50am ET | $338.42 | 17 | $5,753.14 | $5,813.48 |
$-180.03 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $345.39 | 16 | $5,526.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $334.81 | 16 | $5,356.88 | $5,644.12 |
$-169.36 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $336.97 | 16 | $5,391.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:30am ET | $354.06 | 16 | $5,664.96 | $5,917.63 |
+$273.52 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $351.06 | 16 | $5,616.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $289.19 | 16 | $4,627.04 | $4,927.79 |
$-989.84 (-17.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 12:35pm ET | $291.06 | 16 | $4,656.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 11:20am ET | $282.31 | 16 | $4,516.96 | $4,787.79 |
$-140.00 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:20am ET | $276.88 | 17 | $4,706.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:35am ET | $268.21 | 17 | $4,559.57 | $4,640.49 |
$-147.31 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:50pm ET | $274.66 | 16 | $4,394.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $275.21 | 16 | $4,403.44 | $4,649.37 |
+$8.88 (+0.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
3d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 12:55pm ET | $290.53 | 16 | $4,648.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $280.42 | 16 | $4,486.69 | $4,487.58 |
$-161.79 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 2:25pm ET | $281.84 | 15 | $4,227.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:50am ET | $273.21 | 15 | $4,098.08 | $4,358.06 |
$-129.52 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25.9d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:25pm ET | $271.94 | 16 | $4,351.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $262.93 | 16 | $4,206.88 | $4,213.90 |
$-144.16 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:35pm ET | $259.71 | 16 | $4,155.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $274.44 | 16 | $4,391.04 | $4,449.50 |
+$235.60 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $272.71 | 16 | $4,363.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $307.79 | 16 | $4,924.64 | $5,010.78 |
+$561.28 (+12.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET | $306.22 | 16 | $4,899.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $321.58 | 16 | $5,145.20 | $5,256.46 |
+$245.68 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:40am ET | $321.85 | 16 | $5,149.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $353.89 | 16 | $5,662.24 | $5,769.11 |
+$512.65 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 1:20pm ET | $354.52 | 16 | $5,672.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $372.27 | 16 | $5,956.32 | $6,053.11 |
+$284.00 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$6,053.11
Net Profit/Loss:
$-3,946.89
Total Return:
-39.47%