Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 17:52:17

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
47.3 neutral
20d Trend
+0.4%
5d Trend
+2.5%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
2.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.6/35
Total Return
10.8/25
Win Rate
1.7/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 23.0/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 19.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,647
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$13,066.90
Current Value
$11,901.73
Period P&L
$-1,165.18
Max Drawdown
-14.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
6 / 14
Best Trade
+9.28%
Worst Trade
-3.37%
Avg Trade Return
-0.38%
Avg Hold Time
15.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$497,253.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,165.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,165.18
Gross Return
-8.92%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 V Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,066.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2025 1:30pm ET $337.34 38 $12,819.07
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2025 12:40pm ET $354.22 38 $13,460.36 $13,670.73 +$641.29
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2025 9:55am ET $353.74 38 $13,442.12
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 9:40am ET $342.93 38 $13,031.34 $13,259.95 $-410.78
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 12:10pm ET $341.92 38 $12,992.84
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 12:05pm ET $331.02 38 $12,578.76 $12,845.87 $-414.08
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2025 10:45am ET $335.13 38 $12,734.94
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2025 9:55am ET $352.29 38 $13,386.83 $13,497.76 +$651.89
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
15d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2025 11:15am ET $351.59 38 $13,360.33
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 1:35pm ET $341.00 38 $12,958.00 $13,095.44 $-402.32
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 1:55pm ET $342.95 38 $13,032.10
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2025 1:55pm ET $352.47 38 $13,393.86 $13,457.20 +$361.76
(+2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 9, 2025 2:10pm ET $346.29 38 $13,159.02
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 2:10pm ET $334.91 38 $12,726.39 $13,024.57 $-432.63
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET $341.32 38 $12,969.97
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:55am ET $331.03 38 $12,579.14 $12,633.74 $-390.83
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 10:40am ET $329.67 38 $12,527.46
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 11:00am ET $319.72 38 $12,149.36 $12,255.64 $-378.10
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 11:10am ET $321.01 38 $12,198.38
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 10:25am ET $337.58 38 $12,828.04 $12,885.30 +$629.66
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET $346.67 37 $12,826.79
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $338.61 37 $12,528.57 $12,587.08 $-298.22
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $333.92 37 $12,355.04
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $322.77 37 $11,942.31 $12,174.34 $-412.74
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:40am ET $326.00 37 $12,062.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $325.30 37 $12,036.10 $12,148.44 $-25.90
(-0.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
19.2d held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 9:35am ET $317.04 38 $12,047.52
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $306.36 38 $11,641.68 $11,742.60 $-405.84
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 12:00pm ET $311.72 37 $11,533.64
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 10:45am ET $302.08 37 $11,176.96 $11,385.92 $-356.68
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 10:50am ET $298.83 38 $11,355.54
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:05pm ET $314.08 38 $11,935.04 $11,965.42 +$579.50
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
27.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:40pm ET $316.71 37 $11,718.45
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:50am ET $306.92 37 $11,355.86 $11,602.82 $-362.60
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 11:40am ET $306.29 37 $11,332.73
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $334.72 37 $12,384.64 $12,654.73 +$1,051.91
(+9.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $331.33 38 $12,590.73
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:05am ET $321.11 38 $12,201.99 $12,265.99 $-388.74
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
20 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 11:20am ET $319.26 38 $12,131.69
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:40am ET $309.67 38 $11,767.43 $11,901.73 $-364.26
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
28d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,901.73
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,901.73
Total Return: +19.02%
Back to Marcus Reversal