WFC Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 31 trades in period
-5.38%
Last Year Return
$11,733.51
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$12,400.37
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
53.8 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
+1.4%
EMA20 Dist
+1.0%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
19
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
2.4/35
Total Return
10.5/25
Win Rate
1.6/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality
20.9/100
× Confidence 0.89
= 18.5
30-Day Momentum
21
+5.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 34.4
Conf: 0.61×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,158
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
262 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$12,400.37
Current Value
$11,733.51
Period P&L
$-666.89
Max Drawdown
-25.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
12 /
19
Best Trade
+5.26%
Worst Trade
-5.69%
Avg Trade Return
-0.12%
Avg Hold Time
9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$760,983.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-666.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$-666.89
Gross Return
-5.38%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.38%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 WFC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 262 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 31 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $12,400.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 2, 2025 1:20pm ET | $73.83 | 169 | $12,477.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $73.76 | 169 | $12,464.60 | $12,477.28 |
$-12.68 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2025 2:20pm ET | $75.60 | 165 | $12,473.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2025 11:45am ET | $73.24 | 165 | $12,083.78 | $12,087.88 |
$-389.40 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 13, 2025 1:40pm ET | $73.28 | 164 | $12,017.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $76.99 | 164 | $12,626.36 | $12,697.14 |
+$609.26 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2025 2:55pm ET | $78.91 | 160 | $12,625.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $82.91 | 160 | $13,265.60 | $13,337.14 |
+$640.00 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2025 12:25pm ET | $82.10 | 162 | $13,299.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2025 9:40am ET | $79.52 | 162 | $12,882.24 | $12,919.99 |
$-417.15 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2025 11:15am ET | $78.38 | 164 | $12,854.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2025 3:00pm ET | $82.37 | 164 | $13,507.86 | $13,573.53 |
+$653.54 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.2d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2025 2:50pm ET | $84.32 | 160 | $13,490.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2025 2:55pm ET | $81.62 | 160 | $13,058.40 | $13,141.53 |
$-432.00 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2025 3:50pm ET | $80.50 | 163 | $13,121.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 9:40am ET | $77.80 | 163 | $12,681.40 | $12,701.43 |
$-440.10 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2025 11:40am ET | $77.18 | 164 | $12,657.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2025 1:25pm ET | $81.10 | 164 | $13,300.40 | $13,344.31 |
+$642.88 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2025 2:30pm ET | $82.84 | 161 | $13,336.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2025 12:35pm ET | $80.27 | 161 | $12,923.52 | $12,931.40 |
$-412.92 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 9:40am ET | $80.62 | 160 | $12,899.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2025 3:35pm ET | $84.79 | 160 | $13,566.40 | $13,598.55 |
+$667.15 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14.2d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2025 11:15am ET | $86.06 | 158 | $13,596.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 10:30am ET | $83.36 | 158 | $13,170.09 | $13,171.95 |
$-426.60 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 10:30am ET | $82.37 | 159 | $13,096.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 10:05am ET | $79.65 | 159 | $12,664.35 | $12,740.26 |
$-431.68 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 12:10pm ET | $80.63 | 158 | $12,739.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 3:10pm ET | $78.20 | 158 | $12,354.81 | $12,355.53 |
$-384.73 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 2:55pm ET | $85.48 | 144 | $12,309.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 9:35am ET | $82.58 | 144 | $11,891.52 | $11,937.93 |
$-417.60 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 11:55am ET | $85.10 | 140 | $11,914.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 10:55am ET | $84.30 | 140 | $11,802.00 | $11,825.93 |
$-112.00 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:25am ET | $84.69 | 139 | $11,771.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 9:35am ET | $81.86 | 139 | $11,378.54 | $11,432.56 |
$-393.37 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 12:00pm ET | $82.60 | 138 | $11,398.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 3:10pm ET | $86.74 | 138 | $11,970.12 | $12,003.88 |
+$571.32 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 12:15pm ET | $90.16 | 133 | $11,990.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 9:40am ET | $94.85 | 133 | $12,615.05 | $12,628.07 |
+$624.18 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 10:40am ET | $94.72 | 133 | $12,597.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $89.33 | 133 | $11,880.89 | $11,911.20 |
$-716.87 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 3:20pm ET | $88.85 | 134 | $11,905.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:20am ET | $86.18 | 134 | $11,547.45 | $11,553.42 |
$-357.78 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:55pm ET | $88.25 | 130 | $11,472.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 12:50pm ET | $92.77 | 130 | $12,059.85 | $12,140.77 |
+$587.35 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 12:50pm ET | $92.57 | 131 | $12,126.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $94.63 | 131 | $12,396.53 | $12,410.63 |
+$269.86 (+2.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
6.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:55am ET | $87.71 | 141 | $12,367.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 10:45am ET | $85.05 | 141 | $11,992.05 | $12,035.57 |
$-375.06 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 2:55pm ET | $84.55 | 142 | $12,006.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $81.76 | 142 | $11,609.91 | $11,639.38 |
$-396.19 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 3:25pm ET | $82.46 | 141 | $11,626.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $78.17 | 141 | $11,021.97 | $11,034.49 |
$-604.89 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $78.48 | 140 | $10,987.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.42 | 140 | $10,558.80 | $10,606.09 |
$-428.40 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 12:20pm ET | $75.50 | 140 | $10,570.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $79.47 | 140 | $11,125.80 | $11,161.89 |
+$555.80 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.77 | 143 | $11,121.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 10:30am ET | $81.71 | 143 | $11,683.82 | $11,724.60 |
+$562.71 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 3:00pm ET | $81.41 | 144 | $11,723.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:45am ET | $85.49 | 144 | $12,310.11 | $12,311.67 |
+$587.07 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $85.40 | 144 | $12,297.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $81.39 | 144 | $11,719.44 | $11,733.51 |
$-578.16 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,733.51
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,733.51
Total Return:
+17.34%