Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-24 20:09:51

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
28.2 oversold
20d Trend
-17.1%
5d Trend
-11.3%
EMA20 Dist
-10.7%
ATR%
4.7%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality 3.0/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 2.9

30-Day Momentum

4
-13.7%
30d Return
14%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$4,773.89
Current Value
$3,623.95
Period P&L
$-1,149.93
Max Drawdown
-45.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.71

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
2 / 11
Best Trade
+5.27%
Worst Trade
-6.06%
Avg Trade Return
-2.34%
Avg Hold Time
5.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$109,552.05
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,149.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,149.93
Gross Return
-24.09%
Net Return (after fees)
-24.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ACN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $4,773.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 11:10am ET $200.70 24 $4,816.80
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $194.05 24 $4,657.32 $4,773.87 $-159.48
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 3:20pm ET $191.62 24 $4,598.88
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET $184.60 24 $4,430.40 $4,605.39 $-168.48
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:30am ET $182.11 25 $4,552.75
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $191.71 25 $4,792.75 $4,845.39 +$240.00
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:45am ET $192.18 25 $4,804.38
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $180.52 25 $4,513.05 $4,554.07 $-291.32
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:45am ET $176.15 25 $4,403.75
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 3:35pm ET $170.57 25 $4,264.37 $4,414.70 $-139.37
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2d held
6 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:25am ET $180.07 24 $4,321.68
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $171.04 24 $4,104.96 $4,197.98 $-216.72
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held
7 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $175.50 23 $4,036.50
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 12:20pm ET $184.32 23 $4,239.36 $4,400.84 +$202.86
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 1:00pm ET $196.76 22 $4,328.72
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $189.46 22 $4,168.12 $4,240.24 $-160.60
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $181.71 23 $4,179.44
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $176.00 23 $4,048.00 $4,108.80 $-131.44
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $173.79 23 $3,997.17
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:35am ET $168.32 23 $3,871.25 $3,982.88 $-125.92
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:10pm ET $170.49 23 $3,921.27
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $165.30 23 $3,802.01 $3,863.62 $-119.26
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $164.82 23 $3,790.75
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $159.69 23 $3,672.87 $3,745.75 $-117.88
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 2:35pm ET $126.85 29 $3,678.65
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:50am ET $122.65 29 $3,556.85 $3,623.95 $-121.80
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $3,623.95
Net Profit/Loss: $-6,376.05
Total Return: -63.76%
Back to Marcus Reversal