Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y Era All 🔄 Era 2 (238 days)

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,546
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-15 → 2026-02-15
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$5,168.59
Current Value
$1,856.44
Period P&L
$-3,321.61
Max Drawdown
-99.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.24

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
69
Winners / Losers
19 / 50
Best Trade
+5.81%
Worst Trade
-5.84%
Avg Trade Return
-0.91%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$450,472.50
Estimated Fees
$1,126.18
Gross P&L
$-3,321.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,447.79
Gross Return
-64.27%
Net Return (after fees)
-86.05%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

💸 Capital Refund History

When capital drops below $100, the simulation automatically refunds to $10,000 and continues. This ensures continuous data collection even for strategies that experience significant losses.

# Date Capital Before Trades Before Era Fees Paid Reason
1 Jun 22, 2025 $98.64 682 $8,684.67 CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED

⚠️ Note: This simulation has been refunded 1 time. Total capital invested: $20,000. The return percentage accounts for all refunds.

📚 Strategy Crash History — Learning from Failures

Each "era" below represents a period where the strategy ran until it crashed (capital < $100). Study these to understand how this strategy can fail and what market conditions caused the losses.

💀 Era 1 — CRASHED
Jan 1, 2024 → Jun 22, 2025
Trades
682
Win Rate
38.3%
P&L
$-9,901.38
Fees Paid
$8,684.67
Return
-99.0%
Started
$10,000
Crashed At
$98.64
Crash Reason: CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED

📖 Learning Tip: Look for patterns in the crash history. Did the strategy fail during high volatility? Extended trends? Specific market conditions? Understanding how strategies die helps you know when NOT to use them in real trading.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVAXUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 69 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $5,168.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 15, 2025 3:00am ET $15.55 332 $5,168.59
🔴 SELL Nov 16, 2025 10:55am ET $15.08 332 $5,012.37 $4,986.91 $-181.67
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 16, 2025 11:00am ET $15.16 329 $4,986.91
🔴 SELL Nov 16, 2025 12:40pm ET $14.70 329 $4,835.60 $4,811.04 $-175.87
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 16, 2025 12:45pm ET $14.72 327 $4,811.04
🔴 SELL Nov 16, 2025 9:50pm ET $15.48 327 $5,059.44 $5,034.76 +$223.72
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 3:05am ET $15.63 322 $5,034.76
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:05am ET $15.16 322 $4,882.74 $4,857.94 $-176.82
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:10am ET $15.20 320 $4,857.94
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 1:20pm ET $14.71 320 $4,701.00 $4,677.10 $-180.84
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 1:25pm ET $14.66 319 $4,677.10
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 8:45pm ET $14.21 319 $4,534.77 $4,511.74 $-165.36
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 8:55pm ET $14.15 319 $4,511.74
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 11:25am ET $14.87 319 $4,741.31 $4,718.18 +$206.44
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 12:25pm ET $14.70 321 $4,718.18
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 12:20am ET $14.24 321 $4,570.54 $4,547.32 $-170.87
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 12:25am ET $14.21 320 $4,547.32
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 1:20pm ET $13.78 320 $4,409.71 $4,387.32 $-160.00
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 1:05am ET $14.29 307 $4,387.32
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:25am ET $13.86 307 $4,255.30 $4,233.69 $-153.63
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:30am ET $13.87 305 $4,233.69
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 2:30am ET $13.06 305 $3,986.45 $3,965.90 $-267.80
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15h held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 2:35am ET $13.13 302 $3,965.90
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 7:20am ET $12.68 302 $3,829.98 $3,810.49 $-155.41
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 7:25am ET $12.66 301 $3,810.49
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 12:00pm ET $13.31 301 $4,006.13 $3,986.59 +$176.10
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 3:30pm ET $13.24 301 $3,986.59
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 1:10pm ET $13.91 301 $4,188.93 $4,168.49 +$181.90
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 4:40pm ET $13.92 299 $4,168.49
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 3:20pm ET $14.65 299 $4,387.09 $4,365.71 +$197.22
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Nov 27, 2025 5:25am ET $14.94 292 $4,365.71
🔴 SELL Nov 29, 2025 1:25pm ET $14.49 292 $4,234.21 $4,212.71 $-153.00
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held
17 🟢 BUY Nov 29, 2025 1:30pm ET $14.50 291 $4,212.71
🔴 SELL Nov 30, 2025 12:30am ET $14.03 291 $4,076.16 $4,055.44 $-157.27
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11h held
18 🟢 BUY Nov 30, 2025 12:35am ET $14.05 289 $4,055.44
🔴 SELL Nov 30, 2025 7:05pm ET $13.48 289 $3,890.91 $3,871.04 $-184.39
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held
19 🟢 BUY Nov 30, 2025 7:10pm ET $13.44 288 $3,871.04
🔴 SELL Nov 30, 2025 10:05pm ET $13.03 288 $3,752.95 $3,733.89 $-137.15
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
20 🟢 BUY Nov 30, 2025 10:20pm ET $13.03 287 $3,733.89
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 11:05am ET $12.59 287 $3,607.81 $3,589.45 $-144.44
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 11:10am ET $12.60 285 $3,589.45
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 9:45am ET $13.26 285 $3,777.47 $3,759.05 +$169.60
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held
22 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 6:55pm ET $13.64 276 $3,759.05
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 12:10pm ET $14.40 276 $3,968.50 $3,949.18 +$190.13
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 9:50pm ET $14.74 268 $3,949.18
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 2:15pm ET $14.28 268 $3,825.94 $3,806.50 $-142.68
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16.4h held
24 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 2:20pm ET $14.22 268 $3,806.50
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 6:30am ET $13.78 268 $3,688.72 $3,669.98 $-136.52
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16.2h held
25 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 6:35am ET $13.81 266 $3,669.98
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 11:40am ET $13.37 266 $3,553.05 $3,535.00 $-134.99
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1h held
26 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 11:45am ET $13.36 265 $3,535.00
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 10:40am ET $14.06 265 $3,720.21 $3,702.07 +$167.08
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
27 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 4:15am ET $14.59 254 $3,702.07
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 5:15pm ET $14.14 254 $3,587.89 $3,569.67 $-132.41
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13h held
28 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 6:50pm ET $14.14 252 $3,569.67
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 8:10pm ET $13.71 252 $3,461.11 $3,443.53 $-126.13
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
29 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 8:15pm ET $13.66 252 $3,443.53
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 9:25am ET $13.25 252 $3,340.18 $3,323.22 $-120.32
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.2h held
30 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $13.20 252 $3,323.22
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 10:00am ET $12.74 252 $3,208.17 $3,191.84 $-131.38
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
31 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 10:05am ET $12.78 250 $3,191.84
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 12:10pm ET $12.38 250 $3,091.94 $3,076.23 $-115.61
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
32 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 12:15pm ET $12.37 249 $3,076.23
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 11:20am ET $11.90 249 $2,959.34 $2,944.26 $-131.97
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
33 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 11:25am ET $11.89 248 $2,944.26
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 12:20pm ET $11.45 248 $2,835.30 $2,820.85 $-123.40
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
34 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 12:25pm ET $11.53 245 $2,820.85
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 9:40am ET $12.20 245 $2,984.77 $2,970.26 +$149.40
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
35 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 12:40pm ET $12.19 244 $2,970.26
🔴 SELL Dec 27, 2025 9:25pm ET $12.81 244 $3,121.33 $3,106.10 +$135.84
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.4d held
36 🟢 BUY Dec 28, 2025 2:40am ET $12.76 243 $3,106.10
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 3:35pm ET $12.37 243 $3,011.16 $2,995.87 $-110.23
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5d held
37 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 3:40pm ET $12.40 242 $2,995.87
🔴 SELL Jan 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $13.06 242 $3,155.57 $3,140.19 +$144.32
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
38 🟢 BUY Jan 1, 2026 11:45pm ET $13.56 232 $3,140.19
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $13.13 232 $3,040.61 $3,025.16 $-115.03
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.8h held
39 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:35am ET $13.21 229 $3,025.16
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 5:00pm ET $13.91 229 $3,185.46 $3,169.94 +$144.78
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.4h held
40 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 6:10pm ET $13.79 230 $3,169.94
🔴 SELL Jan 4, 2026 8:50pm ET $14.49 230 $3,331.54 $3,315.28 +$145.35
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
41 🟢 BUY Jan 4, 2026 11:30pm ET $14.13 235 $3,315.28
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 5:00am ET $13.70 235 $3,215.30 $3,198.98 $-116.31
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
42 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 5:15am ET $13.75 233 $3,198.98
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:00am ET $14.45 233 $3,361.83 $3,345.43 +$146.45
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held
43 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 7:10pm ET $14.74 227 $3,345.43
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:15pm ET $14.27 227 $3,238.76 $3,222.30 $-123.13
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
44 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:20pm ET $14.27 226 $3,222.30
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:45am ET $13.83 226 $3,122.94 $3,107.08 $-115.22
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.4h held
45 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:50am ET $13.87 224 $3,107.08
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:45am ET $13.41 224 $3,004.03 $2,988.76 $-118.32
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
46 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 10:50am ET $13.40 223 $2,988.76
🔴 SELL Jan 18, 2026 6:55pm ET $12.98 223 $2,895.08 $2,880.37 $-108.39
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held
47 🟢 BUY Jan 18, 2026 7:00pm ET $12.66 228 $2,880.37
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 11:30am ET $12.27 228 $2,791.64 $2,777.46 $-102.91
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
48 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 11:40am ET $12.19 228 $2,777.46
🔴 SELL Jan 25, 2026 10:50am ET $11.82 228 $2,693.15 $2,679.48 $-97.98
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
49 🟢 BUY Jan 25, 2026 11:05am ET $11.69 229 $2,679.48
🔴 SELL Jan 25, 2026 2:50pm ET $11.28 229 $2,585.50 $2,572.34 $-107.14
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
50 🟢 BUY Jan 25, 2026 2:55pm ET $11.30 228 $2,572.34
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 10:10am ET $11.88 228 $2,704.37 $2,691.18 +$118.84
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held
51 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:05pm ET $11.69 230 $2,691.18
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:50am ET $11.27 230 $2,594.49 $2,581.27 $-109.90
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
52 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET $11.16 231 $2,581.27
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $10.82 231 $2,502.63 $2,489.92 $-91.35
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
53 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 1:55pm ET $10.81 230 $2,489.92
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2026 3:45am ET $10.46 230 $2,409.31 $2,397.06 $-92.87
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6d held
54 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 8:30am ET $10.45 229 $2,397.06
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2026 9:25am ET $10.08 229 $2,312.19 $2,300.41 $-96.65
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
54m held
55 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 9:30am ET $10.10 228 $2,300.41
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2026 12:10pm ET $9.76 228 $2,222.97 $2,211.67 $-88.75
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
56 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 12:20pm ET $9.79 226 $2,211.67
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:35am ET $10.28 226 $2,322.36 $2,311.03 +$99.36
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
57 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 11:45am ET $10.20 227 $2,311.03
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:05pm ET $9.88 227 $2,238.52 $2,227.15 $-83.88
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
58 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $9.85 226 $2,227.15
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:45pm ET $9.55 226 $2,159.32 $2,148.35 $-78.80
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
59 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:50pm ET $9.54 225 $2,148.35
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 3:25pm ET $10.05 225 $2,263.20 $2,252.17 +$103.82
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held
60 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 4:45pm ET $10.08 223 $2,252.17
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET $9.72 223 $2,171.74 $2,160.68 $-91.49
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.2h held
61 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:30am ET $9.62 225 $2,160.68
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 6:10am ET $9.30 225 $2,088.80 $2,078.18 $-82.50
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held
62 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 6:15am ET $9.29 224 $2,078.18
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:05am ET $8.98 224 $2,008.83 $1,998.62 $-79.56
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
63 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $8.88 225 $1,998.62
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $8.52 225 $1,917.59 $1,907.80 $-90.82
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1h held
64 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $8.44 226 $1,907.80
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET $8.10 226 $1,831.67 $1,822.33 $-85.47
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
65 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $7.79 234 $1,822.33
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET $8.23 234 $1,926.72 $1,917.35 +$95.03
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
24m held
66 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10pm ET $8.25 232 $1,917.35
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 5:30am ET $8.67 232 $2,014.96 $2,005.13 +$87.78
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.3h held
67 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 7:10pm ET $9.23 217 $2,005.13
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2026 5:30am ET $8.94 217 $1,942.13 $1,932.26 $-72.87
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.3h held
68 🟢 BUY Feb 7, 2026 5:35am ET $8.93 216 $1,932.26
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:40am ET $8.92 216 $1,930.40 $1,920.74 $-11.53
(-0.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
2.8d held
69 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 12:55am ET $8.90 216 $1,920.74
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 1:10am ET $8.60 216 $1,856.44 $1,856.44 $-73.74
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
+ 1 refund ($10,000)
Total Invested: $20,000.00
Ended with: $1,856.44
Net Profit/Loss: $-18,143.56
Total Return: -90.72%
Back to Marcus Reversal