Compendium › Marcus Reversal › BRK-B
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
BRK-B
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-20 to present • 4 trades in period

+3.57%
Last 3 Months Return
$13,148.05
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$12,694.98
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-20 09:24:54

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
65.5 neutral
20d Trend
+1.8%
5d Trend
+4.8%
EMA20 Dist
+2.7%
ATR%
1.4%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.0/35
Total Return
12.6/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 30.9/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 26.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,694.98
Current Value
$13,148.05
Period P&L
$453.05
Max Drawdown
-15.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+5.13%
Worst Trade
-3.04%
Avg Trade Return
+0.37%
Avg Hold Time
22.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$99,992.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$453.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$453.05
Gross Return
+3.57%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.57%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BRK-B Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $12,694.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $493.44 26 $12,829.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $478.43 26 $12,439.18 $12,591.00 $-390.26
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15.3d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $475.79 26 $12,370.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $471.12 26 $12,249.12 $12,469.71 $-121.29
(-1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
32d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:55pm ET $477.93 26 $12,426.31 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 12:55pm ET $479.78 26 $12,474.28 $12,517.68 +$47.97
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $472.56 26 $12,286.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 1:10pm ET $496.80 26 $12,916.93 $13,148.05 +$630.37
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,148.05
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,148.05
Total Return: +31.48%
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