Compendium › Marcus Reversal › COIN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
COIN
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 29 trades in period

+2.76%
Last 3 Months Return
$7,528.16
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$7,326.04
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:20:48

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 5.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 5.2

30-Day Momentum

9
-11.7%
30d Return
27%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,895
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,326.04
Current Value
$7,528.16
Period P&L
$202.17
Max Drawdown
-53.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
12 / 17
Best Trade
+10.45%
Worst Trade
-5.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.21%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$476,952.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$202.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$202.17
Gross Return
+2.76%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.76%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $7,326.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:25pm ET $161.00 45 $7,245.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $167.24 45 $7,525.80 $7,606.79 +$280.80
(+3.9%) 		📅 Sim Ended
3.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $162.56 46 $7,477.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $155.73 46 $7,163.58 $7,292.61 $-314.18
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $162.49 44 $7,149.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 10:00am ET $171.54 44 $7,547.98 $7,691.03 +$398.42
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 2:55pm ET $163.44 47 $7,681.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 10:05am ET $172.16 47 $8,091.52 $8,100.87 +$409.84
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:15am ET $164.54 49 $8,062.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 2:20pm ET $159.58 49 $7,819.42 $7,857.83 $-243.04
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 3:00pm ET $159.74 49 $7,827.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $171.76 49 $8,416.24 $8,447.05 +$589.22
(+7.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 11:55am ET $180.95 46 $8,323.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET $173.63 46 $7,986.98 $8,110.33 $-336.72
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $177.18 45 $7,973.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $195.70 45 $8,806.50 $8,943.73 +$833.40
(+10.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $206.02 43 $8,858.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $197.60 43 $8,496.80 $8,581.67 $-362.06
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 1:50pm ET $194.45 44 $8,555.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $204.25 44 $8,987.00 $9,013.09 +$431.42
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:45am ET $193.04 46 $8,879.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $203.68 46 $9,369.28 $9,502.53 +$489.44
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:05pm ET $201.53 47 $9,471.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 1:50pm ET $211.88 47 $9,958.36 $9,988.98 +$486.45
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 3:20pm ET $205.72 48 $9,874.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $195.24 48 $9,371.62 $9,486.04 $-502.94
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:45am ET $200.99 47 $9,446.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:55am ET $194.85 47 $9,157.95 $9,197.70 $-288.34
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:20am ET $184.31 49 $9,031.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $176.64 49 $8,655.36 $8,821.87 $-375.83
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $166.16 53 $8,806.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:25am ET $160.47 53 $8,504.89 $8,520.28 $-301.59
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:40am ET $160.23 53 $8,492.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:20am ET $168.35 53 $8,922.81 $8,950.91 +$430.63
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $174.30 51 $8,889.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $166.01 51 $8,466.76 $8,528.37 $-422.54
(-4.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $174.71 48 $8,386.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:00am ET $169.28 48 $8,125.49 $8,267.54 $-260.83
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET $180.04 45 $8,102.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $174.50 45 $7,852.50 $8,018.02 $-249.52
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:55pm ET $168.88 47 $7,937.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:10am ET $163.36 47 $7,677.92 $7,758.35 $-259.67
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 12:05pm ET $171.35 45 $7,710.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $180.26 45 $8,111.70 $8,159.30 +$400.95
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.4h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:30am ET $189.72 43 $8,157.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:20pm ET $199.77 43 $8,590.11 $8,591.45 +$432.15
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $211.07 40 $8,443.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $200.56 40 $8,022.44 $8,170.89 $-420.56
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:40am ET $206.15 39 $8,040.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:55am ET $199.67 39 $7,787.13 $7,917.97 $-252.92
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:00pm ET $204.94 38 $7,787.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:15am ET $198.24 38 $7,532.93 $7,663.18 $-254.79
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $199.07 38 $7,564.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $190.43 38 $7,236.34 $7,334.86 $-328.32
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $187.15 39 $7,298.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $179.84 39 $7,013.76 $7,049.93 $-284.93
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:35pm ET $186.48 37 $6,899.76 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $199.40 37 $7,377.98 $7,528.16 +$478.23
(+6.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,528.16
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,471.84
Total Return: -24.72%
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