Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:07:30

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 5.7/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 5.5

30-Day Momentum

19
+3.5%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 25.9 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,855
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,097.78
Current Value
$8,376.68
Period P&L
$278.89
Max Drawdown
-48.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
6 / 7
Best Trade
+5.62%
Worst Trade
-4.42%
Avg Trade Return
+0.29%
Avg Hold Time
5.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$212,318.78
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$278.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$278.89
Gross Return
+3.44%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.44%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $8,097.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $189.24 43 $8,137.32
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $193.79 43 $8,332.97 $8,346.76 +$195.65
(+2.4%)
📅 Sim Ended
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $193.38 43 $8,315.34
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:40am ET $187.29 43 $8,053.47 $8,084.89 $-261.87
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET $184.89 43 $7,950.27
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET $177.88 43 $7,648.73 $7,783.35 $-301.54
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 11:25am ET $184.93 42 $7,767.06
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $194.52 42 $8,169.84 $8,186.13 +$402.78
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $191.42 42 $8,039.64
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:50am ET $202.00 42 $8,484.00 $8,630.49 +$444.36
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:50am ET $198.16 43 $8,521.09
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:40am ET $191.84 43 $8,249.12 $8,358.52 $-271.97
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $191.42 42 $8,039.64
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:15am ET $185.21 42 $7,778.82 $8,097.70 $-260.82
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:40am ET $183.63 44 $8,079.72
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:20pm ET $177.24 44 $7,798.56 $7,816.54 $-281.16
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.2d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $167.74 46 $7,716.04
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:40am ET $176.63 46 $8,124.98 $8,225.48 +$408.94
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $177.53 46 $8,166.38
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:40am ET $187.51 46 $8,625.23 $8,684.33 +$458.85
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:00am ET $185.28 46 $8,522.88
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $177.09 46 $8,146.14 $8,307.59 $-376.74
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 11:20am ET $175.13 47 $8,231.11
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:30am ET $183.97 47 $8,646.59 $8,723.07 +$415.48
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 11:30am ET $182.13 47 $8,560.11
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $174.76 47 $8,213.72 $8,376.68 $-346.39
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,376.68
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,623.32
Total Return: -16.23%
Back to Marcus Reversal