Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:01:52

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 4.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

14
+2.2%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.3 Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,822
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,746.11
Current Value
$7,067.73
Period P&L
$321.64
Max Drawdown
-50.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
9 / 11
Best Trade
+5.80%
Worst Trade
-4.34%
Avg Trade Return
+0.32%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$284,392.51
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$321.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$321.64
Gross Return
+4.77%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.77%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $6,746.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 12:55pm ET $26.78 251 $6,721.78
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $27.14 251 $6,810.89 $6,835.18 +$89.10
(+1.3%)
📅 Sim Ended
3.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:35am ET $21.22 322 $6,832.84
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:40am ET $22.35 322 $7,196.70 $7,199.04 +$363.86
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 1:05pm ET $23.33 308 $7,184.10
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:40am ET $22.62 308 $6,966.96 $6,981.90 $-217.14
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:50am ET $22.12 315 $6,967.80
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 10:35am ET $21.36 315 $6,729.97 $6,744.07 $-237.83
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 11:45am ET $22.77 296 $6,739.92
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 2:25pm ET $23.91 296 $7,077.36 $7,081.51 +$337.44
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 3:45pm ET $24.40 290 $7,074.55
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $25.81 290 $7,484.90 $7,491.86 +$410.35
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $24.70 303 $7,485.61
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:00am ET $26.05 303 $7,893.15 $7,899.39 +$407.53
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 12:00pm ET $26.18 301 $7,880.18
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $25.12 301 $7,561.12 $7,580.33 $-319.06
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $25.26 300 $7,578.03
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:20am ET $24.45 300 $7,335.00 $7,337.31 $-243.03
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:15am ET $24.51 299 $7,329.98
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $23.45 299 $7,011.55 $7,018.88 $-318.43
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:55am ET $22.89 306 $7,002.81
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET $22.10 306 $6,762.60 $6,778.67 $-240.21
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:25am ET $21.25 318 $6,757.50
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $20.58 318 $6,546.03 $6,567.20 $-211.47
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 12:30pm ET $21.18 309 $6,546.16
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET $22.32 309 $6,896.88 $6,917.92 +$350.72
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:30am ET $22.74 304 $6,912.96
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:00am ET $23.91 304 $7,267.12 $7,272.08 +$354.16
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:00am ET $22.70 320 $7,264.00
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:50am ET $22.01 320 $7,043.20 $7,051.28 $-220.80
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 2:20pm ET $22.58 312 $7,046.52
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET $23.73 312 $7,402.20 $7,406.96 +$355.68
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 12:25pm ET $23.50 315 $7,402.50
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:35pm ET $22.68 315 $7,145.77 $7,150.23 $-256.73
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:35am ET $23.18 308 $7,139.44
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:45am ET $22.40 308 $6,898.43 $6,909.22 $-241.01
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 12:35pm ET $22.17 311 $6,894.87
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 2:35pm ET $23.39 311 $7,274.32 $7,288.67 +$379.45
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:35pm ET $23.54 309 $7,273.86
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:25pm ET $22.83 309 $7,052.93 $7,067.73 $-220.94
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,067.73
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,932.27
Total Return: -29.32%
Back to Marcus Reversal