DOGEUSD Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 24 trades in period
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Strategy Score Scored Mar 4, 2026
Quality Components
30-Day Momentum
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
💸 Capital Refund History
When capital drops below $100, the simulation automatically refunds to $10,000 and continues. This ensures continuous data collection even for strategies that experience significant losses.
| # | Date | Capital Before | Trades Before | Era Fees Paid | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jan 31, 2026 | $99.76 | 908 | $14,757.32 | CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED |
⚠️ Note: This simulation has been refunded 1 time. Total capital invested: $20,000. The return percentage accounts for all refunds.
📚 Strategy Crash History — Learning from Failures
Each "era" below represents a period where the strategy ran until it crashed (capital < $100). Study these to understand how this strategy can fail and what market conditions caused the losses.
📖 Learning Tip: Look for patterns in the crash history. Did the strategy fail during high volatility? Extended trends? Specific market conditions? Understanding how strategies die helps you know when NOT to use them in real trading.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DOGEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 24 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $7,596.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET | $0.0890 | 86,751 | $7,719.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET | $0.0824 | 86,751 | $7,144.77 | $7,107.61 |
$-611.45 (-7.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET | $0.0816 | 87,071 | $7,107.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET | $0.0872 | 87,071 | $7,588.24 | $7,551.50 |
+$443.89 (+6.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:00am ET | $0.0910 | 82,984 | $7,551.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $0.0957 | 82,984 | $7,938.21 | $7,899.48 |
+$347.98 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 7:00pm ET | $0.0978 | 80,755 | $7,899.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 7, 2026 5:35am ET | $0.0948 | 80,755 | $7,655.60 | $7,616.71 |
$-282.77 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.6h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 7, 2026 8:25am ET | $0.0963 | 79,077 | $7,616.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 5:25am ET | $0.0933 | 79,077 | $7,376.74 | $7,339.26 |
$-277.46 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 5:30am ET | $0.0930 | 78,924 | $7,339.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:40am ET | $0.0948 | 78,924 | $7,485.85 | $7,448.79 |
+$109.53 (+2.0%) |
📅 Sim Ended
19.2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:00am ET | $0.0948 | 78,584 | $7,448.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 11:35pm ET | $0.0919 | 78,584 | $7,220.94 | $7,220.94 |
$-264.53 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:50pm ET | $0.0916 | 78,801 | $7,220.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET | $0.0882 | 78,801 | $6,954.14 | $6,954.14 |
$-302.24 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 16, 2026 1:45pm ET | $0.1004 | 69,299 | $6,954.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 12:25am ET | $0.0971 | 69,299 | $6,726.38 | $6,726.38 |
$-261.97 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 12:30am ET | $0.0972 | 69,204 | $6,726.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 22, 2026 8:05pm ET | $0.0938 | 69,204 | $6,488.08 | $6,488.08 |
$-271.33 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 22, 2026 8:10pm ET | $0.0921 | 70,451 | $6,488.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 6:20am ET | $0.0971 | 70,451 | $6,839.98 | $6,839.98 |
+$318.58 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 7:25am ET | $0.0967 | 70,740 | $6,839.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 12:35pm ET | $0.0936 | 70,740 | $6,624.49 | $6,624.49 |
$-249.15 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 12:40pm ET | $0.0933 | 70,999 | $6,624.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $0.0902 | 70,999 | $6,406.51 | $6,406.51 |
$-250.56 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 6:10pm ET | $0.0913 | 70,155 | $6,406.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 8:15am ET | $0.0960 | 70,155 | $6,732.95 | $6,732.95 |
+$293.59 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14.1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 5:45pm ET | $0.1027 | 65,542 | $6,732.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 6:45pm ET | $0.0996 | 65,542 | $6,530.64 | $6,530.64 |
$-235.47 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 6:50pm ET | $0.0999 | 65,365 | $6,530.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 11:55am ET | $0.0957 | 65,365 | $6,257.82 | $6,257.82 |
$-304.79 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 12:00pm ET | $0.0958 | 65,328 | $6,257.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 2:45pm ET | $0.0928 | 65,328 | $6,062.41 | $6,062.41 |
$-226.22 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 2:50pm ET | $0.0928 | 65,350 | $6,062.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2026 1:35am ET | $0.0899 | 65,350 | $5,876.77 | $5,876.77 |
$-215.49 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 1:40am ET | $0.0893 | 65,779 | $5,876.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2026 3:25pm ET | $0.0941 | 65,779 | $6,192.94 | $6,192.94 |
+$286.00 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 6:45pm ET | $0.0940 | 65,908 | $6,192.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 1, 2026 3:15pm ET | $0.0911 | 65,908 | $6,006.30 | $6,006.30 |
$-217.14 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 1, 2026 3:20pm ET | $0.0911 | 65,915 | $6,006.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $0.0958 | 65,915 | $6,311.38 | $6,311.38 |
+$274.29 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.9h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 12:50pm ET | $0.0948 | 66,551 | $6,311.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 11:45pm ET | $0.0920 | 66,551 | $6,119.35 | $6,119.35 |
$-223.11 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.9h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 11:50pm ET | $0.0917 | 66,723 | $6,119.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 10:20am ET | $0.0889 | 66,723 | $5,928.41 | $5,928.41 |
$-221.06 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.5h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 12:30pm ET | $0.0902 | 65,760 | $5,928.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $0.0947 | 65,760 | $6,227.88 | $6,227.88 |
+$269.08 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21h held |
+ 1 refund ($10,000)