Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:01:37

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

68
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
17.9/25
Win Rate
9.0/15
Profit Factor
9.2/15
Consistency
8.2/10
Raw Quality 79.2/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 67.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,891
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$23,530.27
Current Value
$24,159.28
Period P&L
$629.04
Max Drawdown
-6.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
3 / 4
Best Trade
+5.49%
Worst Trade
-5.08%
Avg Trade Return
-0.26%
Avg Hold Time
9.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$352,018.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$629.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$629.04
Gross Return
+2.67%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $23,530.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 12:45pm ET $453.30 54 $24,478.21
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $466.93 54 $25,214.41 $25,485.77 +$736.20
(+3.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
6.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $449.92 56 $25,195.52
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $474.64 56 $26,579.84 $26,870.09 +$1,384.32
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET $469.94 57 $26,786.58
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $446.07 57 $25,425.99 $25,509.50 $-1,360.59
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $420.00 60 $25,200.00
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $404.32 60 $24,259.20 $24,568.70 $-940.80
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $400.75 61 $24,445.75
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:40am ET $421.07 61 $25,685.27 $25,808.22 +$1,239.52
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $437.87 58 $25,396.46
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $422.53 58 $24,506.74 $24,918.50 $-889.72
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:40am ET $427.62 58 $24,801.96
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET $414.53 58 $24,042.74 $24,159.28 $-759.22
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $24,159.28
Net Profit/Loss: +$14,159.28
Total Return: +141.59%
Back to Marcus Reversal