Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-21 00:17:27

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

67
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
17.7/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
7.6/15
Consistency
7.9/10
Raw Quality 76.6/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 66.8

30-Day Momentum

0
-2.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-67 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$24,656.03
Current Value
$23,516.35
Period P&L
$-1,139.65
Max Drawdown
-6.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.28

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+5.16%
Worst Trade
-4.38%
Avg Trade Return
-1.09%
Avg Hold Time
11.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$335,552.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,139.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,139.65
Gross Return
-4.62%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.62%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $24,656.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $420.00 60 $25,200.00
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $404.32 60 $24,259.20 $24,568.70 $-940.80
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $400.75 61 $24,445.75
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:40am ET $421.07 61 $25,685.27 $25,808.22 +$1,239.52
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $437.87 58 $25,396.46
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $422.53 58 $24,506.74 $24,918.50 $-889.72
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:40am ET $427.62 58 $24,801.96
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET $414.53 58 $24,042.74 $24,159.28 $-759.22
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:15pm ET $423.24 57 $24,124.68
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $404.70 57 $23,067.90 $23,102.50 $-1,056.78
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
26.9d held
6 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $406.53 56 $22,765.68
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET $393.61 56 $22,042.16 $22,378.98 $-723.52
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:50am ET $379.97 58 $22,038.27
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $399.58 58 $23,175.64 $23,516.35 +$1,137.37
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $23,516.35
Net Profit/Loss: +$13,516.35
Total Return: +135.16%
Back to Marcus Reversal