Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-24 10:29:56

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 4.1/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

1
-12.1%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,925
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,260.25
Current Value
$9,112.94
Period P&L
$-2,147.29
Max Drawdown
-35.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.88

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
1 / 8
Best Trade
+5.04%
Worst Trade
-3.47%
Avg Trade Return
-2.28%
Avg Hold Time
8.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$184,192.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,147.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,147.29
Gross Return
-19.07%
Net Return (after fees)
-19.07%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $11,260.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 3:40pm ET $470.82 23 $10,828.86
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $456.60 23 $10,501.80 $10,867.39 $-327.06
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:45am ET $450.62 24 $10,814.88
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $473.35 24 $11,360.40 $11,412.91 +$545.52
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 12:35pm ET $466.06 24 $11,185.44
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $452.03 24 $10,848.72 $11,076.19 $-336.72
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:40am ET $480.18 23 $11,044.14
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:40am ET $464.54 23 $10,684.31 $10,716.36 $-359.83
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:40am ET $457.68 23 $10,526.64
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:40am ET $442.69 23 $10,181.87 $10,371.59 $-344.77
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
6 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 2:05pm ET $431.40 24 $10,353.60
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $416.80 24 $10,003.08 $10,021.07 $-350.52
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.9d held
7 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 2:50pm ET $421.17 23 $9,686.91
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $406.57 23 $9,351.00 $9,685.15 $-335.92
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:10am ET $416.29 23 $9,574.67
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:50am ET $403.65 23 $9,283.95 $9,394.43 $-290.72
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $414.63 22 $9,121.75
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:10pm ET $401.83 22 $8,840.26 $9,112.94 $-281.49
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,112.94
Net Profit/Loss: $-887.06
Total Return: -8.87%
Back to Marcus Reversal