Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:07:55

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.8 oversold
20d Trend
-38.7%
5d Trend
-38.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.1%
ATR%
12.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.5/10
Raw Quality 2.6/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 2.6

30-Day Momentum

27
+5.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 36.1 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,789
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$517.16
Current Value
$498.37
Period P&L
$-73.61
Max Drawdown
-95.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
12 / 17
Best Trade
+5.68%
Worst Trade
-7.80%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$29,169.75
Estimated Fees
$72.92
Gross P&L
$-73.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$-146.53
Gross Return
-14.23%
Net Return (after fees)
-28.33%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $517.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $51.04 10 $524.35
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $47.06 10 $483.46 $480.94 $-43.41
(-7.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET $46.18 10 $480.94
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:30pm ET $48.66 10 $506.77 $504.30 +$23.36
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
18m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:05pm ET $49.73 10 $504.30
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 12:50am ET $52.44 10 $531.78 $529.19 +$24.89
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:00am ET $50.92 10 $529.19
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 8:45am ET $53.52 10 $556.22 $553.50 +$24.31
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:40pm ET $54.91 10 $553.50
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2026 2:10am ET $53.21 10 $536.37 $533.64 $-19.86
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 7, 2026 2:15am ET $53.15 10 $533.64
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:40am ET $53.76 10 $539.72 $537.03 +$3.39
(+1.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
2.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 12:45am ET $53.66 10 $537.03
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 1:15am ET $52.00 10 $520.37 $520.37 $-19.30
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 16, 2026 6:05pm ET $55.04 9 $520.37
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 10:35am ET $53.28 9 $503.71 $503.71 $-19.22
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:40am ET $53.37 9 $503.71
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 8:50am ET $51.66 9 $487.57 $487.57 $-18.62
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:00am ET $51.86 9 $487.57
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 10:10am ET $54.50 9 $512.39 $512.39 +$22.32
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $54.48 9 $512.39
🔴 SELL Feb 22, 2026 8:05pm ET $52.72 9 $495.84 $495.84 $-19.07
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 22, 2026 8:10pm ET $51.77 10 $495.84
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 7:50am ET $54.50 10 $521.99 $521.99 +$23.60
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.5d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 2:15pm ET $57.83 9 $521.99
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:15pm ET $56.08 9 $506.19 $506.19 $-18.37
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:30pm ET $56.18 9 $506.19
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 6:40am ET $54.48 9 $490.87 $490.87 $-17.81
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 6:45am ET $54.50 9 $490.87
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2026 1:40am ET $52.65 9 $474.21 $474.21 $-19.08
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 1:45am ET $52.98 9 $474.21
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:50am ET $55.99 9 $501.15 $501.15 +$24.50
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 5:45am ET $55.94 9 $501.15
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 8:55am ET $54.15 9 $485.11 $485.11 $-18.50
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:05am ET $53.93 9 $485.11
🔴 SELL Mar 8, 2026 12:35pm ET $52.27 9 $470.18 $470.18 $-17.32
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 8, 2026 2:15pm ET $52.40 9 $470.18
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:35am ET $55.04 9 $493.87 $493.87 +$21.28
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:45am ET $54.45 9 $493.87
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 12:55am ET $57.23 9 $519.09 $519.09 +$22.68
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.5d held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 6:30am ET $57.35 9 $519.09
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 10:55am ET $55.60 9 $503.25 $503.25 $-18.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 5:45am ET $55.94 9 $501.15
🔴 SELL Mar 22, 2026 4:10am ET $54.22 9 $485.74 $487.84 $-17.88
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 22, 2026 4:15am ET $54.27 9 $487.84
🔴 SELL Mar 29, 2026 6:50pm ET $52.44 9 $471.39 $471.39 $-18.85
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.6d held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 29, 2026 6:55pm ET $52.79 9 $471.39
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 7:30pm ET $55.48 9 $495.41 $495.41 +$21.60
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 8:55pm ET $55.10 9 $495.41
🔴 SELL Apr 12, 2026 7:35pm ET $53.42 9 $480.30 $480.30 $-17.54
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 12, 2026 7:45pm ET $53.45 9 $480.30
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:45pm ET $56.19 9 $504.92 $504.92 +$22.16
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 4:40pm ET $55.99 9 $504.92
🔴 SELL Apr 19, 2026 6:20pm ET $54.28 9 $489.50 $489.50 $-17.91
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 19, 2026 6:25pm ET $54.16 9 $489.50
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 5:55am ET $56.87 9 $513.99 $513.99 +$21.98
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.5d held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 7:10am ET $56.94 9 $513.99
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:45am ET $55.21 9 $498.37 $498.37 $-18.15
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $498.37
Net Profit/Loss: $-9,501.63
Total Return: -95.02%
Back to Marcus Reversal