Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:07:28

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

68
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
21.2/25
Win Rate
2.8/15
Profit Factor
3.9/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 68.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 67.8

30-Day Momentum

87
+48.6%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
10
Trades
4.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 100.0 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+19 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,892
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$41,504.18
Current Value
$45,544.81
Period P&L
$4,040.66
Max Drawdown
-27.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
13 / 14
Best Trade
+10.62%
Worst Trade
-8.86%
Avg Trade Return
+0.36%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,107,531.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,040.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,040.66
Gross Return
+9.74%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $41,504.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $380.48 112 $42,613.76
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $384.19 112 $43,029.28 $43,349.91 +$415.52
(+1.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $400.61 108 $43,265.88
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 10:25am ET $421.36 108 $45,506.88 $45,590.91 +$2,241.00
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:50am ET $413.74 110 $45,511.73
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:45am ET $436.20 110 $47,982.00 $48,061.18 +$2,470.27
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:50am ET $420.70 114 $47,960.37
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:20am ET $405.40 114 $46,216.17 $46,316.98 $-1,744.20
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 1:15pm ET $409.92 112 $45,911.43
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $385.00 112 $43,120.00 $43,525.55 $-2,791.43
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 1:15pm ET $402.46 108 $43,465.68
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:35pm ET $387.07 108 $41,803.56 $41,863.43 $-1,662.12
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 12:45pm ET $385.19 108 $41,600.52
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:25pm ET $372.08 108 $40,184.64 $40,447.55 $-1,415.88
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $410.74 98 $40,252.51
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:10am ET $398.11 98 $39,014.78 $39,209.82 $-1,237.73
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET $419.62 93 $39,025.03
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $446.54 93 $41,528.22 $41,713.01 +$2,503.19
(+6.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 1:25pm ET $465.23 89 $41,405.84
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $424.00 89 $37,736.00 $38,043.17 $-3,669.84
(-8.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:55am ET $439.64 86 $37,809.47
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:55am ET $426.03 86 $36,638.58 $36,872.28 $-1,170.89
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:30am ET $415.13 88 $36,531.45
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $401.88 88 $35,365.44 $35,706.27 $-1,166.01
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $390.80 91 $35,562.80
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $377.00 91 $34,307.00 $34,450.47 $-1,255.80
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $373.54 92 $34,365.48
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:55am ET $361.26 92 $33,235.46 $33,320.45 $-1,130.02
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $362.65 91 $33,001.16
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $345.18 91 $31,411.83 $31,731.13 $-1,589.32
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:40am ET $314.28 100 $31,428.00
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET $331.30 100 $33,130.50 $33,433.63 +$1,702.50
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $372.23 89 $33,128.47
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $340.91 89 $30,340.63 $30,645.79 $-2,787.84
(-8.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $374.42 81 $30,328.03
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $414.18 81 $33,548.98 $33,866.75 +$3,220.96
(+10.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:45am ET $401.04 84 $33,686.94
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $423.13 84 $35,542.50 $35,722.31 +$1,855.56
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $416.43 85 $35,396.55
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:20am ET $437.65 85 $37,200.25 $37,526.01 +$1,803.70
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:20am ET $445.49 84 $37,421.16
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $469.57 84 $39,443.88 $39,548.73 +$2,022.72
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $453.00 87 $39,411.00
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 11:05am ET $438.11 87 $38,116.00 $38,253.73 $-1,295.00
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $442.54 86 $38,058.44
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET $466.80 86 $40,144.80 $40,340.09 +$2,086.36
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $478.16 84 $40,165.44
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:30am ET $502.30 84 $42,193.62 $42,368.27 +$2,028.18
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 12:50pm ET $522.35 81 $42,310.35
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $502.27 81 $40,683.87 $40,741.79 $-1,626.48
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.7h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:55am ET $517.88 78 $40,394.64
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:10am ET $545.55 78 $42,552.90 $42,900.05 +$2,158.26
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
27 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 2:10pm ET $573.63 74 $42,448.62
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $609.37 74 $45,093.38 $45,544.81 +$2,644.76
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $45,544.81
Net Profit/Loss: +$35,544.81
Total Return: +355.45%
Back to Marcus Reversal