Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:07:31

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.8/35
Total Return
16.6/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 34.8/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 34.2

30-Day Momentum

55
+14.8%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
2.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 83.8 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+21 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,880
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,416.30
Current Value
$19,760.88
Period P&L
$4,344.49
Max Drawdown
-43.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.46

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
7 / 5
Best Trade
+7.28%
Worst Trade
-4.44%
Avg Trade Return
+1.97%
Avg Hold Time
4.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$419,408.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,344.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,344.49
Gross Return
+28.18%
Net Return (after fees)
+28.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $15,416.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET $174.64 90 $15,717.60
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 11:00am ET $183.46 90 $16,511.85 $16,624.64 +$794.25
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:20pm ET $191.17 86 $16,440.62
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $190.19 86 $16,356.34 $16,540.36 $-84.28
(-0.5%)
📅 Sim Ended
2.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $185.39 89 $16,499.71
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:50am ET $194.82 89 $17,338.98 $17,379.63 +$839.27
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:50am ET $189.52 91 $17,246.30
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $181.11 91 $16,481.01 $16,614.34 $-765.29
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $174.89 94 $16,439.66
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 1:45pm ET $183.87 94 $17,283.31 $17,457.99 +$843.65
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 12:55pm ET $180.92 96 $17,368.32
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:55am ET $175.13 96 $16,812.96 $16,902.63 $-555.36
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $175.51 96 $16,849.44
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $169.68 96 $16,289.76 $16,342.95 $-559.68
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:50pm ET $166.80 97 $16,179.60
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $175.74 97 $17,046.78 $17,210.13 +$867.18
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $172.08 100 $17,208.01
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $184.60 100 $18,460.00 $18,462.12 +$1,251.99
(+7.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $188.51 97 $18,284.99
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET $198.07 97 $19,212.31 $19,389.45 +$927.33
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $200.12 96 $19,211.51
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 12:35pm ET $210.40 96 $20,197.92 $20,375.86 +$986.41
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $209.21 97 $20,293.37
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:05am ET $202.87 97 $19,678.39 $19,760.88 $-614.98
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,760.88
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,760.88
Total Return: +97.61%
Back to Marcus Reversal