Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:01:38

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

69
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
21.8/25
Win Rate
3.0/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 69.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 68.9

30-Day Momentum

6
-1.3%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-63 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,891
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$43,177.58
Current Value
$52,002.42
Period P&L
$8,824.86
Max Drawdown
-28.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
10 / 10
Best Trade
+6.45%
Worst Trade
-4.72%
Avg Trade Return
+1.03%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,033,370.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$8,824.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$8,824.86
Gross Return
+20.44%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.44%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $43,177.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:05pm ET $135.24 319 $43,141.56
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:15am ET $142.11 319 $45,332.96 $45,368.96 +$2,191.40
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:15am ET $142.52 318 $45,321.33
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 2:05pm ET $138.14 318 $43,928.52 $43,976.15 $-1,392.81
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $128.80 341 $43,920.80
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET $135.30 341 $46,137.30 $46,192.65 +$2,216.50
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $132.38 348 $46,068.24
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET $128.12 348 $44,585.76 $44,710.17 $-1,482.48
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $128.29 348 $44,644.92
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 10:45am ET $135.12 348 $47,021.55 $47,086.80 +$2,376.63
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 12:00pm ET $134.16 350 $46,956.00
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $140.87 350 $49,304.50 $49,435.30 +$2,348.50
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $142.09 347 $49,305.23
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET $151.26 347 $52,485.49 $52,615.56 +$3,180.26
(+6.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 11:00am ET $153.05 343 $52,497.86
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 2:30pm ET $160.99 343 $55,219.57 $55,337.27 +$2,721.71
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:00am ET $152.85 362 $55,331.70
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 3:05pm ET $160.64 362 $58,151.68 $58,157.25 +$2,819.98
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $154.93 375 $58,098.75
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $150.21 375 $56,328.75 $56,387.26 $-1,769.99
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $144.28 390 $56,269.20
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $139.74 390 $54,498.60 $54,616.66 $-1,770.60
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:50pm ET $146.95 371 $54,518.45
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $141.76 371 $52,593.00 $52,691.21 $-1,925.45
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:45am ET $148.31 355 $52,650.09
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:30pm ET $143.82 355 $51,056.10 $51,097.23 $-1,593.98
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $129.52 394 $51,030.88
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:40am ET $125.47 394 $49,435.18 $49,501.53 $-1,595.70
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 2:20pm ET $132.83 372 $49,412.76
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:15am ET $139.48 372 $51,884.74 $51,973.51 +$2,471.98
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $142.44 364 $51,848.16
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:10am ET $149.85 364 $54,545.40 $54,670.75 +$2,697.24
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:10am ET $144.63 378 $54,670.14
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:25am ET $139.86 378 $52,867.08 $52,867.69 $-1,803.06
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 11:50am ET $142.90 369 $52,730.10
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $136.16 369 $50,243.04 $50,380.63 $-2,487.06
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:10pm ET $138.85 362 $50,265.51
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $147.80 362 $53,503.56 $53,618.68 +$3,238.05
(+6.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
20 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $139.93 383 $53,591.28
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 12:10pm ET $135.71 383 $51,975.02 $52,002.42 $-1,616.26
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $52,002.42
Net Profit/Loss: +$42,002.42
Total Return: +420.02%
Back to Marcus Reversal