Compendium › Marcus Reversal › PLTR
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PLTR
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-22 to present • 23 trades in period

-25.21%
Last 3 Months Return
$42,649.17
Current Value
26%
Win Rate
$57,023.77
Period Start
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PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 14:43:48

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

66
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
21.0/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 66.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 66.1

30-Day Momentum

6
-17.2%
30d Return
13%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-60 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,899
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$57,023.77
Current Value
$42,649.17
Period P&L
$-14,374.59
Max Drawdown
-28.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.27

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
6 / 17
Best Trade
+6.44%
Worst Trade
-4.72%
Avg Trade Return
-1.05%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,382,613.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-14,374.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$-14,374.59
Gross Return
-25.21%
Net Return (after fees)
-25.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $57,023.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:00am ET $152.85 362 $55,331.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 3:05pm ET $160.64 362 $58,151.68 $58,157.25 +$2,819.98
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $154.93 375 $58,098.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $150.21 375 $56,328.75 $56,387.26 $-1,769.99
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $144.28 390 $56,269.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $139.74 390 $54,498.60 $54,616.66 $-1,770.60
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:50pm ET $146.95 371 $54,518.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $141.76 371 $52,593.00 $52,691.21 $-1,925.45
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:45am ET $148.31 355 $52,650.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:30pm ET $143.82 355 $51,056.10 $51,097.23 $-1,593.98
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $129.52 394 $51,030.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:40am ET $125.47 394 $49,435.18 $49,501.53 $-1,595.70
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 2:20pm ET $132.83 372 $49,412.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:15am ET $139.48 372 $51,884.74 $51,973.51 +$2,471.98
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $142.44 364 $51,848.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:10am ET $149.85 364 $54,545.40 $54,670.75 +$2,697.24
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:10am ET $144.63 378 $54,670.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:25am ET $139.86 378 $52,867.08 $52,867.69 $-1,803.06
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 11:50am ET $142.90 369 $52,730.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $136.16 369 $50,243.04 $50,380.63 $-2,487.06
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:10pm ET $138.85 362 $50,265.51 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $147.80 362 $53,503.56 $53,618.68 +$3,238.05
(+6.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
12 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $139.93 383 $53,591.28 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 12:10pm ET $135.71 383 $51,975.02 $52,002.42 $-1,616.26
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
13 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 3:25pm ET $133.08 390 $51,901.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:50am ET $140.26 390 $54,701.40 $54,802.62 +$2,800.20
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.4h held
14 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 12:40pm ET $135.15 405 $54,735.79 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 10:20am ET $131.08 405 $53,085.42 $53,152.25 $-1,650.37
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
15 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 3:30pm ET $133.24 398 $53,031.51 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 11:45am ET $140.10 398 $55,759.80 $55,880.54 +$2,728.29
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:50pm ET $161.75 345 $55,803.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $155.31 345 $53,581.95 $53,658.74 $-2,221.80
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $147.18 364 $53,573.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 12:40pm ET $142.74 364 $51,957.36 $52,042.58 $-1,616.16
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:50pm ET $141.24 368 $51,978.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:05pm ET $136.96 368 $50,401.28 $50,465.70 $-1,576.88
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:15pm ET $136.02 371 $50,465.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET $131.66 371 $48,845.90 $48,846.32 $-1,619.38
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $131.30 372 $48,843.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $127.03 372 $47,255.16 $47,257.88 $-1,588.44
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $134.13 352 $47,213.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:45am ET $129.76 352 $45,675.52 $45,719.67 $-1,538.21
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:00pm ET $133.20 343 $45,687.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET $128.27 343 $43,998.32 $44,030.36 $-1,689.31
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET $125.36 351 $43,999.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 12:10pm ET $121.42 351 $42,618.42 $42,649.17 $-1,381.19
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $42,649.17
Net Profit/Loss: +$32,649.17
Total Return: +326.49%
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