Simulated with $10,000 starting capital

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 5.7/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 5.5

30-Day Momentum

1
-4.7%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,273.65
Current Value
$8,164.69
Period P&L
$-1,108.97
Max Drawdown
-35.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
4 / 7
Best Trade
+5.10%
Worst Trade
-9.70%
Avg Trade Return
-0.82%
Avg Hold Time
6.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$199,780.24
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,108.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,108.97
Gross Return
-11.96%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.96%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PYPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $9,273.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:15am ET $44.06 205 $9,031.28
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:45am ET $46.27 205 $9,485.35 $9,513.51 +$454.08
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
17d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:45am ET $44.66 213 $9,512.58
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:15pm ET $46.90 213 $9,988.64 $9,989.57 +$476.06
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:10pm ET $48.09 207 $9,954.63
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $50.54 207 $10,461.78 $10,496.72 +$507.15
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:40am ET $51.42 204 $10,489.68
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:55am ET $49.61 204 $10,120.44 $10,127.48 $-369.24
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $50.10 202 $10,120.20
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $45.24 202 $9,138.48 $9,145.76 $-981.72
(-9.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
6 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:55am ET $46.41 197 $9,142.75
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $44.89 197 $8,843.33 $8,846.34 $-299.42
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
7 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $44.96 196 $8,812.16
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $43.54 196 $8,533.84 $8,568.02 $-278.32
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
8 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:40am ET $43.90 195 $8,561.47
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:35am ET $42.56 195 $8,298.23 $8,304.77 $-263.25
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:10pm ET $42.97 193 $8,294.17
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:35am ET $41.60 193 $8,027.84 $8,038.43 $-266.34
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:05pm ET $41.09 195 $8,012.55
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 11:40am ET $43.19 195 $8,421.08 $8,446.96 +$408.53
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 1:55pm ET $43.33 194 $8,406.02
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $41.88 194 $8,123.75 $8,164.69 $-282.27
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,164.69
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,835.31
Total Return: -18.35%
Back to Marcus Reversal