Simulated with $10,000 starting capital

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 6.5/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 6.1

30-Day Momentum

11
+0.9%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.0 Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,897
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,454.30
Current Value
$9,145.76
Period P&L
$691.46
Max Drawdown
-35.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
6 / 5
Best Trade
+9.65%
Worst Trade
-9.70%
Avg Trade Return
+0.87%
Avg Hold Time
5.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$209,196.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$691.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$691.46
Gross Return
+8.18%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PYPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $8,454.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $40.11 210 $8,423.10
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $41.16 210 $8,643.60 $8,674.80 +$220.50
(+2.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:40am ET $40.53 214 $8,673.42
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 10:05am ET $42.58 214 $9,111.05 $9,112.43 +$437.63
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:30am ET $40.63 224 $9,100.00
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 11:30am ET $44.54 224 $9,978.08 $9,990.51 +$878.08
(+9.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 10:50am ET $46.54 214 $9,960.63
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 12:20pm ET $45.12 214 $9,655.68 $9,685.56 $-304.95
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 1:35pm ET $45.87 211 $9,677.79
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $44.23 211 $9,332.53 $9,340.30 $-345.26
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 1:50pm ET $45.41 205 $9,309.07
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:10am ET $44.04 205 $9,028.20 $9,059.43 $-280.87
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:15am ET $44.06 205 $9,031.28
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:45am ET $46.27 205 $9,485.35 $9,513.51 +$454.08
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
17d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:45am ET $44.66 213 $9,512.58
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:15pm ET $46.90 213 $9,988.64 $9,989.57 +$476.06
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:10pm ET $48.09 207 $9,954.63
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $50.54 207 $10,461.78 $10,496.72 +$507.15
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:40am ET $51.42 204 $10,489.68
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:55am ET $49.61 204 $10,120.44 $10,127.48 $-369.24
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $50.10 202 $10,120.20
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $45.24 202 $9,138.48 $9,145.76 $-981.72
(-9.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,145.76
Net Profit/Loss: $-854.24
Total Return: -8.54%
Back to Marcus Reversal