Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 01:47:04

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.8/35
Total Return
8.7/25
Win Rate
1.1/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 16.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 16.5

30-Day Momentum

17
+4.3%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 25.3 Conf: 0.66×
Steady (+0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,501.80
Current Value
$10,327.47
Period P&L
$-2,174.33
Max Drawdown
-46.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
9 / 11
Best Trade
+6.78%
Worst Trade
-22.94%
Avg Trade Return
-0.66%
Avg Hold Time
2.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$464,379.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,174.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,174.33
Gross Return
-17.39%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $12,501.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 3:05pm ET $56.41 220 $12,410.20
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:05pm ET $54.69 220 $12,031.80 $12,037.60 $-378.40
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $52.58 228 $11,989.38
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:30am ET $55.32 228 $12,612.96 $12,661.18 +$623.58
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $57.80 219 $12,658.20
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 11:05am ET $56.04 219 $12,272.76 $12,275.74 $-385.44
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:55am ET $57.53 213 $12,254.95
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $55.74 213 $11,872.62 $11,893.41 $-382.33
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:10am ET $52.92 224 $11,852.96
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $56.50 224 $12,656.00 $12,696.45 +$803.04
(+6.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:00pm ET $57.01 222 $12,656.22
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $60.29 222 $13,384.38 $13,424.61 +$728.16
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:00pm ET $60.26 222 $13,378.83
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:10am ET $63.42 222 $14,080.35 $14,126.13 +$701.52
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:45am ET $61.21 230 $14,077.15
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $56.80 230 $13,064.00 $13,112.98 $-1,013.15
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET $53.65 244 $13,091.82
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $56.47 244 $13,778.68 $13,799.84 +$686.86
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:50am ET $56.46 244 $13,777.29
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $54.53 244 $13,306.54 $13,329.09 $-470.75
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $55.18 241 $13,298.38
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $42.52 241 $10,247.32 $10,278.03 $-3,051.06
(-22.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
12 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:25pm ET $47.72 215 $10,260.81
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:40am ET $45.87 215 $9,860.98 $9,878.19 $-399.84
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
13 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $44.12 223 $9,838.76
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:00am ET $42.69 223 $9,519.87 $9,559.30 $-318.89
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
14 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 10:05am ET $41.44 230 $9,531.20
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 3:50pm ET $43.56 230 $10,018.80 $10,046.90 +$487.60
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
15 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:25am ET $45.16 222 $10,025.54
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 11:50am ET $47.47 222 $10,539.45 $10,560.81 +$513.91
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
16 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $46.08 229 $10,552.32
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $44.66 229 $10,227.14 $10,235.63 $-325.18
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:40am ET $43.80 233 $10,205.40
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:15am ET $42.47 233 $9,895.51 $9,925.74 $-309.89
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 2:05pm ET $42.33 234 $9,906.39
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $44.66 234 $10,450.44 $10,469.79 +$544.05
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 10:00am ET $48.24 217 $10,467.00
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 12:30pm ET $50.73 217 $11,008.41 $11,011.20 +$541.41
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 2:05pm ET $51.65 213 $11,001.45
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $48.44 213 $10,317.72 $10,327.47 $-683.73
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,327.47
Net Profit/Loss: +$327.47
Total Return: +3.27%
Back to Marcus Reversal