Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 20:09:52

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 4.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

9
-11.7%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$1,644.02
Current Value
$1,554.04
Period P&L
$-90.04
Max Drawdown
-88.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
11 / 18
Best Trade
+13.19%
Worst Trade
-8.90%
Avg Trade Return
-0.02%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$99,513.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-90.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$-90.04
Gross Return
-5.48%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $1,644.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:30pm ET $21.73 74 $1,607.65
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $23.06 74 $1,706.44 $1,724.74 +$98.79
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:05am ET $23.43 73 $1,710.75
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:50am ET $22.65 73 $1,653.45 $1,667.44 $-57.30
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $21.66 76 $1,646.17
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 2:55pm ET $21.00 76 $1,596.38 $1,617.65 $-49.79
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET $22.75 71 $1,615.60
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $21.99 71 $1,561.29 $1,563.34 $-54.31
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:30am ET $22.69 68 $1,542.91
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $21.91 68 $1,489.88 $1,510.31 $-53.03
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET $22.95 65 $1,491.75
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $24.22 65 $1,574.30 $1,592.86 +$82.55
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:45am ET $24.58 64 $1,573.12
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:30pm ET $25.85 64 $1,654.40 $1,674.14 +$81.28
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:55pm ET $27.41 61 $1,672.01
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $29.00 61 $1,769.00 $1,771.13 +$96.99
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $27.83 63 $1,752.98
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:45am ET $29.35 63 $1,849.05 $1,867.20 +$96.07
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:20pm ET $29.10 64 $1,862.40
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $26.51 64 $1,696.64 $1,701.44 $-165.76
(-8.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 12:10pm ET $28.63 59 $1,689.17
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:20am ET $27.66 59 $1,631.65 $1,643.92 $-57.52
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:35pm ET $27.29 60 $1,637.63
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:40am ET $26.28 60 $1,576.80 $1,583.09 $-60.83
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
13 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:25pm ET $27.70 57 $1,579.18
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $31.36 57 $1,787.52 $1,791.43 +$208.34
(+13.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
14 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 12:05pm ET $34.30 52 $1,783.61
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $33.16 52 $1,724.32 $1,732.14 $-59.29
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
15 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 12:25pm ET $35.11 49 $1,720.39
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 3:25pm ET $33.97 49 $1,664.77 $1,676.52 $-55.62
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held
16 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 10:10am ET $32.24 51 $1,644.49
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:40am ET $31.25 51 $1,593.75 $1,625.78 $-50.74
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
17 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:40am ET $30.43 53 $1,612.79
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:45am ET $32.21 53 $1,707.13 $1,720.12 +$94.34
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
18 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 10:20am ET $32.75 52 $1,702.75
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:40am ET $34.54 52 $1,796.08 $1,813.45 +$93.33
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
19 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 3:10pm ET $37.06 48 $1,778.82
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:20am ET $39.53 48 $1,897.20 $1,931.83 +$118.38
(+6.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
20 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:15pm ET $45.88 42 $1,927.17
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $48.66 42 $2,043.72 $2,048.38 +$116.55
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $48.42 42 $2,033.63
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:50am ET $46.69 42 $1,960.98 $1,975.73 $-72.65
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:10pm ET $47.32 41 $1,940.12
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $44.97 41 $1,843.85 $1,879.46 $-96.27
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $44.08 42 $1,851.36
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:10am ET $42.59 42 $1,788.94 $1,817.04 $-62.42
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:10am ET $35.90 50 $1,795.01
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 10:40am ET $34.58 50 $1,729.25 $1,751.28 $-65.76
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:50am ET $30.25 57 $1,724.25
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:40am ET $31.87 57 $1,816.59 $1,843.62 +$92.34
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:00am ET $30.30 60 $1,818.00
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:30am ET $29.39 60 $1,763.10 $1,788.72 $-54.90
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 11:30am ET $29.16 61 $1,778.46
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $28.24 61 $1,722.34 $1,732.60 $-56.12
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 3:05pm ET $35.88 48 $1,722.24
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $33.16 48 $1,591.68 $1,602.04 $-130.56
(-7.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 12:05pm ET $32.88 48 $1,578.24
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $31.88 48 $1,530.24 $1,554.04 $-48.00
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $1,554.04
Net Profit/Loss: $-8,445.96
Total Return: -84.46%
Back to Marcus Reversal