Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-24 20:10:12

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
15.5 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-20.2%
EMA20 Dist
-19.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.5/35
Total Return
15.3/25
Win Rate
0.1/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 27.6/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 27.1

30-Day Momentum

33
+17.5%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 38.9 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$17,138.91
Current Value
$16,801.64
Period P&L
$-337.25
Max Drawdown
-43.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
8 / 18
Best Trade
+32.40%
Worst Trade
-6.97%
Avg Trade Return
+0.19%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$812,604.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-337.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$-337.25
Gross Return
-1.97%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.97%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SNOW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $17,138.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 11:15am ET $171.98 99 $17,026.02
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $166.73 99 $16,505.78 $16,617.90 $-520.24
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:45am ET $160.40 103 $16,521.20
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET $155.52 103 $16,018.06 $16,114.76 $-503.14
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:55pm ET $156.78 102 $15,991.56
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $145.86 102 $14,877.72 $15,000.92 $-1,113.84
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:15pm ET $154.18 97 $14,955.46
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $149.01 97 $14,453.97 $14,499.43 $-501.49
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $150.51 96 $14,449.44
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 11:05am ET $145.88 96 $14,004.48 $14,054.47 $-444.96
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:35am ET $153.27 91 $13,947.57
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $145.38 91 $13,229.58 $13,336.48 $-717.99
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $128.74 103 $13,259.71
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $124.86 103 $12,860.58 $12,937.36 $-399.12
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 3:20pm ET $131.52 98 $12,888.96
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $139.01 98 $13,623.47 $13,671.87 +$734.51
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:40am ET $145.44 94 $13,671.36
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $153.13 94 $14,394.69 $14,395.20 +$723.33
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $146.93 97 $14,252.21
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $142.52 97 $13,824.44 $13,967.43 $-427.77
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:20pm ET $144.66 96 $13,887.36
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $140.11 96 $13,450.56 $13,530.63 $-436.80
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $139.16 97 $13,498.52
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $134.49 97 $13,045.53 $13,077.64 $-452.99
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
13 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:50am ET $139.51 93 $12,973.97
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:30am ET $147.47 93 $13,714.71 $13,818.38 +$740.74
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
14 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:15pm ET $141.87 97 $13,761.39
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:40am ET $137.52 97 $13,339.92 $13,396.91 $-421.47
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held
15 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 3:10pm ET $152.74 87 $13,288.81
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:35am ET $147.13 87 $12,800.31 $12,908.41 $-488.50
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held
16 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 10:40am ET $150.96 85 $12,832.02
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 12:25pm ET $158.69 85 $13,488.65 $13,565.04 +$656.63
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
17 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 2:55pm ET $162.98 83 $13,526.93
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $171.80 83 $14,259.40 $14,297.51 +$732.47
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held
18 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $166.59 85 $14,160.15
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $178.00 85 $15,130.00 $15,267.36 +$969.85
(+6.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
19 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $175.90 86 $15,127.83
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $232.90 86 $20,029.40 $20,168.93 +$4,901.57
(+32.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
20 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 11:40am ET $249.40 80 $19,952.00
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $264.00 80 $21,120.00 $21,336.93 +$1,168.00
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $265.68 80 $21,254.40
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:25am ET $256.13 80 $20,490.40 $20,572.93 $-764.00
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:25am ET $248.78 82 $20,399.96
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:55am ET $240.04 82 $19,683.28 $19,856.25 $-716.68
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:30pm ET $241.32 82 $19,787.83
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $232.79 82 $19,088.37 $19,156.79 $-699.46
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 2:55pm ET $242.33 79 $19,144.07
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:40am ET $235.02 79 $18,566.58 $18,579.30 $-577.49
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET $236.85 78 $18,474.30
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET $222.92 78 $17,387.76 $17,492.76 $-1,086.54
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:45am ET $232.50 75 $17,437.50
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET $223.29 75 $16,746.38 $16,801.64 $-691.12
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,801.64
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,801.64
Total Return: +68.02%
Back to Marcus Reversal