Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 13:26:35

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
15.5 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-20.2%
EMA20 Dist
-19.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.1/35
Total Return
13.2/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 22.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 22.8

30-Day Momentum

7
-4.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,887
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$16,542.03
Current Value
$13,396.91
Period P&L
$-3,145.09
Max Drawdown
-43.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.26

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
6 / 16
Best Trade
+5.76%
Worst Trade
-6.97%
Avg Trade Return
-1.08%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$681,032.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,145.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,145.09
Gross Return
-19.01%
Net Return (after fees)
-19.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SNOW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $16,542.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:05pm ET $160.64 107 $17,188.48
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 12:30pm ET $169.89 107 $18,178.23 $18,283.96 +$989.75
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $177.68 102 $18,123.87
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:35am ET $172.04 102 $17,548.08 $17,708.17 $-575.79
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 3:30pm ET $178.05 99 $17,626.95
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $172.57 99 $17,084.43 $17,165.65 $-542.52
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $160.76 106 $17,040.56
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 1:15pm ET $169.00 106 $17,914.00 $18,039.09 +$873.44
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:45am ET $167.31 107 $17,902.17
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET $162.20 107 $17,355.40 $17,492.32 $-546.77
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET $165.90 105 $17,419.50
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:50am ET $174.55 105 $18,327.24 $18,400.06 +$907.74
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $180.70 101 $18,250.70
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:10am ET $175.14 101 $17,688.79 $17,838.15 $-561.91
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 12:10pm ET $178.28 100 $17,828.01
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:10am ET $171.28 100 $17,128.00 $17,138.14 $-700.01
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 11:15am ET $171.98 99 $17,026.02
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $166.73 99 $16,505.78 $16,617.90 $-520.24
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:45am ET $160.40 103 $16,521.20
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET $155.52 103 $16,018.06 $16,114.76 $-503.14
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:55pm ET $156.78 102 $15,991.56
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $145.86 102 $14,877.72 $15,000.92 $-1,113.84
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:15pm ET $154.18 97 $14,955.46
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $149.01 97 $14,453.97 $14,499.43 $-501.49
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $150.51 96 $14,449.44
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 11:05am ET $145.88 96 $14,004.48 $14,054.47 $-444.96
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:35am ET $153.27 91 $13,947.57
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $145.38 91 $13,229.58 $13,336.48 $-717.99
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $128.74 103 $13,259.71
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $124.86 103 $12,860.58 $12,937.36 $-399.12
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 3:20pm ET $131.52 98 $12,888.96
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $139.01 98 $13,623.47 $13,671.87 +$734.51
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:40am ET $145.44 94 $13,671.36
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $153.13 94 $14,394.69 $14,395.20 +$723.33
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $146.93 97 $14,252.21
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $142.52 97 $13,824.44 $13,967.43 $-427.77
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:20pm ET $144.66 96 $13,887.36
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $140.11 96 $13,450.56 $13,530.63 $-436.80
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $139.16 97 $13,498.52
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $134.49 97 $13,045.53 $13,077.64 $-452.99
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
21 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:50am ET $139.51 93 $12,973.97
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:30am ET $147.47 93 $13,714.71 $13,818.38 +$740.74
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
22 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:15pm ET $141.87 97 $13,761.39
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:40am ET $137.52 97 $13,339.92 $13,396.91 $-421.47
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,396.91
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,396.91
Total Return: +33.97%
Back to Marcus Reversal