Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:07:44

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 4.3/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 3.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,773
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,497.50
Current Value
$8,582.09
Period P&L
$-915.44
Max Drawdown
-28.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.27

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+5.24%
Worst Trade
-10.63%
Avg Trade Return
-1.40%
Avg Hold Time
9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$126,841.88
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-915.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$-915.44
Gross Return
-9.64%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.64%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $9,497.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 2:05pm ET $548.82 17 $9,329.86
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $546.86 17 $9,296.62 $9,514.87 $-33.24
(-0.4%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $539.72 17 $9,175.24
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 12:10pm ET $523.20 17 $8,894.40 $9,234.03 $-280.84
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $499.88 18 $8,997.75
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:25am ET $484.66 18 $8,723.88 $8,960.16 $-273.87
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 10:25am ET $469.92 19 $8,928.57
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 2:40pm ET $494.07 19 $9,387.33 $9,418.92 +$458.76
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 3:25pm ET $489.99 19 $9,309.81
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:10am ET $475.04 19 $9,025.76 $9,134.87 $-284.05
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:50am ET $482.41 18 $8,683.38
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:50pm ET $507.67 18 $9,137.97 $9,589.46 +$454.59
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:55pm ET $526.63 18 $9,479.34
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $470.67 18 $8,471.97 $8,582.09 $-1,007.37
(-10.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,582.09
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,417.91
Total Return: -14.18%
Back to Marcus Reversal