Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 20:11:34

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.0/35
Total Return
13.1/25
Win Rate
0.3/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 22.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 22.6

30-Day Momentum

5
+0.6%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.3 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$17,614.18
Current Value
$13,695.39
Period P&L
$-3,918.81
Max Drawdown
-32.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.35

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
4 / 12
Best Trade
+5.88%
Worst Trade
-8.89%
Avg Trade Return
-1.47%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$499,738.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,918.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,918.81
Gross Return
-22.25%
Net Return (after fees)
-22.25%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $17,614.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 2:40pm ET $34.46 511 $17,606.51
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:25pm ET $36.31 511 $18,551.86 $18,559.55 +$945.35
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $38.03 488 $18,558.64
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:30am ET $36.88 488 $17,999.88 $18,000.79 $-558.76
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:55am ET $34.78 517 $17,983.84
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $36.83 517 $19,041.11 $19,058.06 +$1,057.27
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $34.63 550 $19,046.50
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $31.55 550 $17,352.56 $17,364.11 $-1,693.95
(-8.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:00am ET $31.47 551 $17,337.27
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 1:40pm ET $30.52 551 $16,816.52 $16,843.36 $-520.75
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:40am ET $30.43 553 $16,827.79
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $28.94 553 $16,003.82 $16,019.39 $-823.97
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 1:50pm ET $29.33 546 $16,016.91
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 11:25am ET $28.43 546 $15,522.78 $15,525.26 $-494.13
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $29.42 527 $15,504.02
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $28.40 527 $14,966.85 $14,988.09 $-537.17
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:15am ET $28.61 523 $14,963.03
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:20am ET $27.69 523 $14,481.87 $14,506.93 $-481.16
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
10 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:20am ET $28.19 514 $14,489.66
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 12:20pm ET $27.27 514 $14,016.78 $14,034.05 $-472.88
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.1d held
11 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 10:20am ET $27.03 519 $14,028.57
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 3:30pm ET $26.22 519 $13,605.59 $13,611.06 $-422.99
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
12 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $25.69 529 $13,590.70
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:00am ET $24.92 529 $13,180.04 $13,200.40 $-410.66
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
13 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:00am ET $24.24 544 $13,188.30
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:10pm ET $25.47 544 $13,855.68 $13,867.78 +$667.38
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.2d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:50am ET $24.28 571 $13,866.73
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $25.65 571 $14,647.46 $14,648.51 +$780.73
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $25.78 568 $14,643.04
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $24.98 568 $14,185.80 $14,191.27 $-457.24
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $23.01 616 $14,177.24
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $22.21 616 $13,681.36 $13,695.39 $-495.88
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,695.39
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,695.39
Total Return: +36.95%
Back to Marcus Reversal