Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 19:57:39

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
70 neutral
20d Trend
+11.0%
5d Trend
+2.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.4%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
76%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 5.3/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 4.9

30-Day Momentum

0
-9.3%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,826.81
Current Value
$9,637.62
Period P&L
$-2,189.22
Max Drawdown
-24.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.53

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
2 / 9
Best Trade
+5.62%
Worst Trade
-4.56%
Avg Trade Return
-1.79%
Avg Hold Time
6.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$229,861.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,189.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,189.22
Gross Return
-18.51%
Net Return (after fees)
-18.51%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $11,826.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 1:00pm ET $61.11 193 $11,794.23
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:05am ET $59.17 193 $11,420.77 $11,453.38 $-373.46
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $59.51 192 $11,426.88
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $56.80 192 $10,905.60 $10,932.10 $-521.28
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:10am ET $58.59 186 $10,897.74
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:20am ET $56.68 186 $10,542.48 $10,576.84 $-355.26
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:40am ET $57.10 185 $10,564.42
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET $55.39 185 $10,247.15 $10,259.56 $-317.28
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $56.47 181 $10,220.17
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $54.39 181 $9,844.95 $9,884.35 $-375.21
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 12:05pm ET $55.40 178 $9,860.31
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $58.51 178 $10,414.78 $10,438.82 +$554.47
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $59.37 175 $10,388.88
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $57.46 175 $10,055.50 $10,105.44 $-333.38
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
8 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $55.74 181 $10,088.04
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $58.60 181 $10,605.70 $10,623.10 +$517.66
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
9 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:35am ET $58.76 180 $10,575.90
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $56.93 180 $10,247.42 $10,294.62 $-328.48
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
10 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 12:30pm ET $57.08 180 $10,274.40
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $55.26 180 $9,945.90 $9,966.12 $-328.50
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:35am ET $55.19 180 $9,934.20
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:45am ET $53.37 180 $9,605.70 $9,637.62 $-328.50
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,637.62
Net Profit/Loss: $-362.38
Total Return: -3.62%
Back to Marcus Reversal