AMD Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 39 trades in period
+50.78%
Last 6 Months Return
$19,803.35
Current Value
51%
Win Rate
$13,133.61
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
28
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.2/35
Total Return
15.1/25
Win Rate
1.3/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
27.9/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 27.8
30-Day Momentum
68
+29.5%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
8
Trades
2.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 83.8
Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+40 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,255
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$13,133.61
Current Value
$19,803.35
Period P&L
$6,669.73
Max Drawdown
-43.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
20 /
19
Best Trade
+20.82%
Worst Trade
-12.08%
Avg Trade Return
+1.24%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$992,376.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,669.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,669.73
Gross Return
+50.78%
Net Return (after fees)
+50.78%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,133.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 3:35pm ET | $239.21 | 54 | $12,917.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $230.26 | 54 | $12,434.04 | $12,650.57 |
$-483.03 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 11:30am ET | $243.60 | 51 | $12,423.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $257.00 | 51 | $13,107.00 | $13,333.97 |
+$683.40 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 12:15pm ET | $252.14 | 52 | $13,111.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $236.25 | 52 | $12,284.92 | $12,507.75 |
$-826.23 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $243.95 | 51 | $12,441.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $234.49 | 51 | $11,958.98 | $12,025.28 |
$-482.47 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $228.74 | 52 | $11,894.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 1:15pm ET | $221.64 | 52 | $11,525.21 | $11,656.01 |
$-369.27 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 2:20pm ET | $209.56 | 55 | $11,525.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 9:35am ET | $203.18 | 55 | $11,174.63 | $11,304.83 |
$-351.18 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $198.07 | 57 | $11,289.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $210.50 | 57 | $11,998.50 | $12,013.34 |
+$708.51 (+6.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 11:00am ET | $216.17 | 55 | $11,889.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 11:35am ET | $209.45 | 55 | $11,519.75 | $11,643.79 |
$-369.56 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 3:00pm ET | $209.27 | 55 | $11,509.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:45am ET | $202.80 | 55 | $11,154.00 | $11,287.94 |
$-355.85 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $213.51 | 52 | $11,102.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $224.35 | 52 | $11,666.31 | $11,851.73 |
+$563.79 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.7d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:40am ET | $224.78 | 52 | $11,688.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $217.34 | 52 | $11,301.68 | $11,464.85 |
$-386.88 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $208.23 | 55 | $11,452.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $220.35 | 55 | $12,119.36 | $12,131.54 |
+$666.69 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $217.25 | 55 | $11,948.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $233.79 | 55 | $12,858.45 | $13,041.24 |
+$909.70 (+7.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $229.91 | 56 | $12,874.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:50am ET | $242.55 | 56 | $13,582.80 | $13,749.08 |
+$707.84 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 1:50pm ET | $253.03 | 54 | $13,663.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET | $244.69 | 54 | $13,213.26 | $13,298.71 |
$-450.37 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 11:25am ET | $240.75 | 55 | $13,241.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.66 | 55 | $11,641.30 | $11,698.76 |
$-1,599.95 (-12.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $193.49 | 60 | $11,609.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $204.66 | 60 | $12,279.60 | $12,368.96 |
+$670.20 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $215.91 | 57 | $12,306.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $216.25 | 57 | $12,326.11 | $12,388.20 |
+$19.24 (+0.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
24m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $202.15 | 61 | $12,330.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $195.66 | 61 | $11,935.56 | $11,992.92 |
$-395.28 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 11:50am ET | $201.28 | 59 | $11,875.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:05am ET | $195.22 | 59 | $11,517.98 | $11,635.38 |
$-357.54 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 2:30pm ET | $213.47 | 54 | $11,527.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $205.08 | 54 | $11,074.32 | $11,182.18 |
$-453.20 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $199.98 | 55 | $10,998.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $193.81 | 55 | $10,659.55 | $10,842.83 |
$-339.35 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.43 | 56 | $10,719.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 1:00pm ET | $201.13 | 56 | $11,263.11 | $11,386.14 |
+$543.31 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 1:00pm ET | $195.43 | 58 | $11,334.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $189.15 | 58 | $10,970.41 | $11,021.61 |
$-364.53 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 12:10pm ET | $203.97 | 54 | $11,014.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 11:00am ET | $197.53 | 54 | $10,666.62 | $10,673.85 |
$-347.76 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET | $195.62 | 54 | $10,563.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 3:50pm ET | $205.61 | 54 | $11,102.94 | $11,213.32 |
+$539.47 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $203.54 | 55 | $11,194.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $215.90 | 55 | $11,874.50 | $11,893.12 |
+$679.80 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $217.51 | 54 | $11,745.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:45am ET | $209.96 | 54 | $11,337.84 | $11,485.42 |
$-407.70 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 10:45am ET | $198.01 | 58 | $11,484.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $207.98 | 58 | $12,063.02 | $12,063.86 |
+$578.44 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.05 | 59 | $12,038.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 11:20am ET | $214.54 | 59 | $12,657.57 | $12,682.48 |
+$618.62 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $219.36 | 57 | $12,503.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $232.37 | 57 | $13,245.09 | $13,424.05 |
+$741.57 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 1:10pm ET | $234.36 | 57 | $13,358.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $248.50 | 57 | $14,164.50 | $14,229.84 |
+$805.79 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.7h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:55am ET | $243.47 | 58 | $14,121.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 10:25am ET | $256.10 | 58 | $14,853.80 | $14,962.15 |
+$732.31 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 1:55pm ET | $275.28 | 54 | $14,865.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $291.27 | 54 | $15,728.58 | $15,825.61 |
+$863.46 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $304.32 | 52 | $15,824.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $336.83 | 52 | $17,515.42 | $17,516.39 |
+$1,690.78 (+10.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $338.27 | 51 | $17,251.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $311.88 | 51 | $15,905.63 | $16,170.25 |
$-1,346.14 (-7.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $321.40 | 50 | $16,070.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:50pm ET | $337.47 | 50 | $16,873.50 | $16,973.75 |
+$803.50 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 2:55pm ET | $351.85 | 48 | $16,888.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:25am ET | $340.30 | 48 | $16,334.64 | $16,419.59 |
$-554.16 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $353.24 | 46 | $16,249.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $426.80 | 46 | $19,632.80 | $19,803.35 |
+$3,383.76 (+20.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$19,803.35
Net Profit/Loss:
+$9,803.35
Total Return:
+98.03%