Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:23:49

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
36.8 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.3%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
26%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.7/35
Total Return
13.2/25
Win Rate
3.4/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality 32.9/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 28.0

30-Day Momentum

30
+7.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 49.3 Conf: 0.61×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,886
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,484.95
Current Value
$13,771.47
Period P&L
$286.52
Max Drawdown
-17.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
7 / 8
Best Trade
+5.89%
Worst Trade
-3.75%
Avg Trade Return
+0.26%
Avg Hold Time
9.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$387,419.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$286.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$286.52
Gross Return
+2.12%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,484.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 9:35am ET $1,071.34 12 $12,856.08
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 1:00pm ET $1,036.53 12 $12,438.36 $13,011.31 $-417.72
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 11:00am ET $1,014.77 12 $12,177.24
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 12:20pm ET $1,065.87 12 $12,790.38 $13,624.45 +$613.14
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 2:45pm ET $1,077.13 12 $12,925.50
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $1,099.07 12 $13,188.84 $13,887.79 +$263.34
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
31.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $1,119.00 12 $13,427.94
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:15am ET $1,083.79 12 $13,005.42 $13,465.27 $-422.52
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET $1,081.14 12 $12,973.68
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $1,144.81 12 $13,737.72 $14,229.31 +$764.04
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 12:25pm ET $1,170.42 12 $14,045.04
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:50am ET $1,131.96 12 $13,583.52 $13,767.79 $-461.52
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:50am ET $1,122.23 12 $13,466.76
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 11:35am ET $1,087.23 12 $13,046.76 $13,347.79 $-420.00
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 1:20pm ET $1,065.48 12 $12,785.76
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,081.99 12 $12,983.94 $13,545.97 +$198.18
(+1.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
5.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:40am ET $1,061.29 12 $12,735.42
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 11:10am ET $1,029.24 12 $12,350.88 $13,161.43 $-384.54
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 12:55pm ET $955.76 13 $12,424.90
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:50am ET $921.02 13 $11,973.26 $12,709.79 $-451.64
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $969.11 13 $12,598.43
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $932.75 13 $12,125.75 $12,237.11 $-472.68
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 12:20pm ET $929.82 13 $12,087.66
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:55am ET $977.78 13 $12,711.14 $12,860.59 +$623.48
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:55am ET $959.80 13 $12,477.37
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET $1,010.40 13 $13,135.20 $13,518.42 +$657.83
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
15d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:45am ET $992.30 13 $12,899.96
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $1,045.00 13 $13,585.00 $14,203.46 +$685.04
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 1:45pm ET $1,050.53 13 $13,656.89
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $1,017.30 13 $13,224.90 $13,771.47 $-431.99
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,771.47
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,771.47
Total Return: +37.71%
Back to Marcus Reversal