Compendium › Marcus Reversal › CMCSA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CMCSA
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 18 trades in period

-15.74%
Last 6 Months Return
$5,980.19
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$7,097.47
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:58:23

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
68.5 neutral
20d Trend
+6.3%
5d Trend
+4.4%
EMA20 Dist
+5.2%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 5.4/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 4.7

30-Day Momentum

1
-5.9%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,281
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
134 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,097.47
Current Value
$5,980.19
Period P&L
$-1,117.29
Max Drawdown
-36.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
7 / 11
Best Trade
+5.18%
Worst Trade
-6.36%
Avg Trade Return
-0.68%
Avg Hold Time
9.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$247,751.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,117.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,117.29
Gross Return
-15.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-15.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CMCSA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 134 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $7,097.47 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 9:55am ET $27.00 254 $6,858.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 9:55am ET $27.21 254 $6,910.07 $6,936.64 +$52.07
(+0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 2:30pm ET $27.23 254 $6,916.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 9:50am ET $28.61 254 $7,265.67 $7,285.89 +$349.25
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $30.06 242 $7,273.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 9:35am ET $29.12 242 $7,047.06 $7,059.64 $-226.25
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 11:15am ET $29.64 238 $7,053.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $27.75 238 $6,604.50 $6,611.01 $-448.63
(-6.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $27.81 237 $6,589.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 12:20pm ET $29.25 237 $6,931.07 $6,952.29 +$341.28
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 1:15pm ET $28.56 243 $6,940.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:35am ET $27.70 243 $6,729.89 $6,742.10 $-210.20
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $28.18 239 $6,735.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET $29.60 239 $7,073.21 $7,080.28 +$338.19
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 12:05pm ET $29.32 241 $7,064.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:20am ET $30.80 241 $7,421.60 $7,436.96 +$356.68
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:20am ET $30.56 243 $7,424.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $31.66 243 $7,693.38 $7,705.48 +$268.51
(+3.6%) 		📅 Sim Ended
4.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $31.73 242 $7,677.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 2:40pm ET $30.76 242 $7,445.13 $7,473.16 $-232.32
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 2:50pm ET $30.91 241 $7,448.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $29.95 241 $7,217.95 $7,243.01 $-230.15
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.7d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 2:50pm ET $30.91 241 $7,448.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $28.97 241 $6,980.57 $6,775.47 $-467.54
(-6.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
24.7d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 12:00pm ET $29.52 229 $6,760.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:25am ET $28.63 229 $6,555.13 $6,570.51 $-204.96
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 12:05pm ET $28.80 228 $6,565.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:15am ET $27.86 228 $6,352.08 $6,357.33 $-213.18
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 3:35pm ET $27.89 227 $6,329.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $29.28 227 $6,647.69 $6,675.13 +$317.80
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:40pm ET $29.95 222 $6,648.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:00pm ET $29.01 222 $6,441.33 $6,467.56 $-207.57
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $31.77 203 $6,450.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $30.29 203 $6,148.87 $6,166.11 $-301.45
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $27.43 224 $6,144.32 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:50am ET $26.60 224 $5,958.40 $5,980.19 $-185.92
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,980.19
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,019.81
Total Return: -40.20%
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