CRWD Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 28 trades in period
+1.19%
Last 6 Months Return
$25,470.31
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$25,171.78
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
51
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
21.9/35
Total Return
18.2/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality
51.5/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 51.3
30-Day Momentum
69
+25.9%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
6
Trades
5.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 93.0
Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+18 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,711
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$25,171.78
Current Value
$25,470.31
Period P&L
$298.53
Max Drawdown
-24.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
12 /
16
Best Trade
+6.05%
Worst Trade
-6.30%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,293,917.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$298.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$298.53
Gross Return
+1.19%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.19%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 28 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $25,171.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $531.41 | 47 | $24,976.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 3:40pm ET | $558.35 | 47 | $26,242.45 | $26,437.95 |
+$1,266.18 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.3d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 11:45am ET | $547.34 | 48 | $26,272.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 1:00pm ET | $530.00 | 48 | $25,440.00 | $25,605.63 |
$-832.32 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 3:40pm ET | $538.62 | 47 | $25,315.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 9:40am ET | $520.81 | 47 | $24,478.07 | $24,768.56 |
$-837.07 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 11:10am ET | $517.34 | 47 | $24,314.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 2:00pm ET | $501.41 | 47 | $23,566.27 | $24,019.90 |
$-748.66 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 3:30pm ET | $491.77 | 48 | $23,604.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 9:45am ET | $517.03 | 48 | $24,817.44 | $25,232.38 |
+$1,212.48 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 9:45am ET | $493.70 | 51 | $25,178.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 3:45pm ET | $519.99 | 51 | $26,519.49 | $26,573.31 |
+$1,340.93 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 3:50pm ET | $512.31 | 51 | $26,127.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 10:20am ET | $495.68 | 51 | $25,279.87 | $25,725.37 |
$-847.94 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:15am ET | $482.56 | 53 | $25,575.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $466.66 | 53 | $24,732.98 | $24,882.67 |
$-842.70 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 11:55am ET | $463.68 | 53 | $24,575.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $447.14 | 53 | $23,698.16 | $24,005.79 |
$-876.89 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $445.49 | 53 | $23,610.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 12:35pm ET | $467.90 | 53 | $24,798.70 | $25,193.52 |
+$1,187.73 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 12:55pm ET | $477.51 | 52 | $24,830.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $447.43 | 52 | $23,266.10 | $23,629.36 |
$-1,564.16 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 3:00pm ET | $440.50 | 53 | $23,346.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:50am ET | $424.29 | 53 | $22,487.37 | $22,770.23 |
$-859.13 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $405.24 | 56 | $22,693.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 2:25pm ET | $392.85 | 56 | $21,999.60 | $22,076.39 |
$-693.84 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $422.11 | 52 | $21,949.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $409.42 | 52 | $21,289.58 | $21,416.25 |
$-660.14 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET | $424.16 | 50 | $21,208.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 1:15pm ET | $402.72 | 50 | $20,136.00 | $20,344.25 |
$-1,072.00 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 2:20pm ET | $345.13 | 58 | $20,017.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 2:35pm ET | $362.60 | 58 | $21,030.80 | $21,357.26 |
+$1,013.01 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $368.35 | 57 | $20,995.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 11:25am ET | $387.15 | 57 | $22,067.61 | $22,428.92 |
+$1,071.66 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 11:00am ET | $420.15 | 53 | $22,267.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $445.55 | 53 | $23,614.15 | $23,775.12 |
+$1,346.20 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 11:50am ET | $438.63 | 54 | $23,686.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $424.82 | 54 | $22,940.40 | $23,029.50 |
$-745.62 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 11:00am ET | $433.75 | 53 | $22,988.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $416.44 | 53 | $22,071.32 | $22,112.07 |
$-917.43 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:25pm ET | $411.16 | 53 | $21,791.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $394.80 | 53 | $20,924.40 | $21,244.99 |
$-867.08 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:20am ET | $389.14 | 54 | $21,013.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $370.43 | 54 | $20,003.22 | $20,234.92 |
$-1,010.07 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET | $385.16 | 52 | $20,028.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 2:40pm ET | $405.98 | 52 | $21,110.96 | $21,317.56 |
+$1,082.64 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $415.58 | 51 | $21,194.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:05am ET | $403.01 | 51 | $20,553.52 | $20,676.24 |
$-641.32 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:05am ET | $365.91 | 56 | $20,490.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $387.05 | 56 | $21,675.08 | $21,860.36 |
+$1,184.12 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $400.92 | 54 | $21,649.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $422.51 | 54 | $22,815.32 | $23,025.74 |
+$1,165.38 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:40am ET | $423.57 | 54 | $22,872.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $446.24 | 54 | $24,096.96 | $24,249.92 |
+$1,224.18 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $448.74 | 54 | $24,231.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 10:50am ET | $471.34 | 54 | $25,452.36 | $25,470.31 |
+$1,220.39 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$25,470.31
Net Profit/Loss:
+$15,470.31
Total Return:
+154.70%