Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:08:11

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
53.7 neutral
20d Trend
+13.0%
5d Trend
-4.5%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
5.5%
Range Pos
67%
Bounce Ratio
1.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.1/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
0.4/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 26.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 26.5

30-Day Momentum

29
+7.4%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 41.4 Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,144
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,107.57
Current Value
$15,562.00
Period P&L
$2,454.44
Max Drawdown
-32.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
11 / 13
Best Trade
+6.03%
Worst Trade
-4.54%
Avg Trade Return
+0.75%
Avg Hold Time
5.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$680,966.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,454.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,454.44
Gross Return
+18.73%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.73%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GME Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,107.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 3:50pm ET $22.34 595 $13,292.30
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 11:40am ET $21.64 595 $12,872.88 $12,878.55 $-419.42
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 11:50am ET $21.28 605 $12,871.38
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 10:10am ET $20.58 605 $12,452.11 $12,459.29 $-419.26
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 11:15am ET $20.49 607 $12,439.55
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 10:35am ET $21.53 607 $13,068.71 $13,088.44 +$629.16
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $22.35 585 $13,074.75
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 11:15am ET $23.47 585 $13,729.95 $13,743.64 +$655.20
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 9:30am ET $22.09 622 $13,739.98
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET $21.42 622 $13,320.13 $13,323.79 $-419.85
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 3:10pm ET $22.17 600 $13,302.00
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:05am ET $21.47 600 $12,882.00 $12,903.79 $-420.00
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 9:30am ET $21.33 604 $12,883.32
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 12:20pm ET $20.66 604 $12,478.64 $12,499.11 $-404.68
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 1:00pm ET $20.56 607 $12,479.92
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:40am ET $21.63 607 $13,129.41 $13,148.60 +$649.49
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $21.27 618 $13,141.77
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET $22.38 618 $13,827.75 $13,834.58 +$685.98
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:35am ET $22.85 605 $13,824.19
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 11:45am ET $24.17 605 $14,621.21 $14,631.61 +$797.03
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET $23.82 614 $14,625.85
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:50am ET $23.11 614 $14,186.65 $14,192.42 $-439.19
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 12:50pm ET $23.64 600 $14,181.00
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:35am ET $25.06 600 $15,036.00 $15,047.42 +$855.00
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET $24.70 609 $15,042.30
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:25pm ET $23.88 609 $14,539.88 $14,544.99 $-502.43
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:35pm ET $24.83 585 $14,525.61
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $24.72 585 $14,463.95 $14,483.33 $-61.66
(-0.4%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:40am ET $23.36 620 $14,483.20
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 11:15am ET $24.55 620 $15,217.90 $15,218.03 +$734.70
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $24.71 615 $15,196.59
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 12:30pm ET $23.91 615 $14,704.65 $14,726.09 $-491.94
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:45pm ET $23.47 627 $14,715.69
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 1:50pm ET $22.72 627 $14,245.44 $14,255.84 $-470.25
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $22.99 620 $14,250.70
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 1:40pm ET $22.21 620 $13,768.84 $13,773.98 $-481.86
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:40pm ET $22.18 620 $13,754.70
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:45pm ET $23.34 620 $14,470.68 $14,489.96 +$715.98
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $23.07 628 $14,487.96
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:40am ET $24.25 628 $15,229.00 $15,231.00 +$741.04
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $24.56 620 $15,224.10
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $25.85 620 $16,027.00 $16,033.90 +$802.90
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:45am ET $24.84 645 $16,021.80
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:10am ET $24.03 645 $15,502.57 $15,514.67 $-519.23
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $24.55 632 $15,512.44
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:50pm ET $25.79 632 $16,299.28 $16,301.51 +$786.84
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
24 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 2:50pm ET $24.26 671 $16,279.94
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $23.16 671 $15,540.43 $15,562.00 $-739.51
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,562.00
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,562.00
Total Return: +55.62%
Back to Marcus Reversal