LCID Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 53 trades in period
-40.87%
Last 6 Months Return
$11,333.43
Current Value
28%
Win Rate
$19,165.55
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
16
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
9.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
15.8/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 15.6
30-Day Momentum
9
-14.5%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,229
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$19,165.55
Current Value
$11,333.43
Period P&L
$-7,832.09
Max Drawdown
-38.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.23
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
53
Winners / Losers
15 /
38
Best Trade
+6.38%
Worst Trade
-5.18%
Avg Trade Return
-0.91%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,596,459.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-7,832.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$-7,832.09
Gross Return
-40.87%
Net Return (after fees)
-40.87%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 53 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $19,165.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 12:35pm ET | $17.19 | 1,114 | $19,149.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $16.50 | 1,114 | $18,381.00 | $18,396.86 |
$-768.66 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 10:00am ET | $15.98 | 1,151 | $18,392.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 12:00pm ET | $15.49 | 1,151 | $17,828.99 | $17,832.87 |
$-563.99 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 12:45pm ET | $14.58 | 1,223 | $17,825.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $13.82 | 1,223 | $16,901.86 | $16,909.50 |
$-923.36 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 10:35am ET | $12.58 | 1,344 | $16,900.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 12:10pm ET | $12.18 | 1,344 | $16,369.92 | $16,378.49 |
$-531.01 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 2:45pm ET | $12.45 | 1,315 | $16,377.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 3:35pm ET | $13.20 | 1,315 | $17,351.43 | $17,351.98 |
+$973.49 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 12:40pm ET | $13.50 | 1,285 | $17,341.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 9:45am ET | $13.09 | 1,285 | $16,820.39 | $16,831.30 |
$-520.68 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 1:30pm ET | $12.83 | 1,311 | $16,820.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 2:55pm ET | $13.49 | 1,311 | $17,678.84 | $17,690.01 |
+$858.70 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 10:50am ET | $13.89 | 1,273 | $17,681.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 12:05pm ET | $13.44 | 1,273 | $17,109.12 | $17,117.16 |
$-572.85 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 9:50am ET | $12.26 | 1,396 | $17,114.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 12:15pm ET | $12.88 | 1,396 | $17,980.34 | $17,982.54 |
+$865.38 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 1:45pm ET | $12.80 | 1,404 | $17,971.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 9:50am ET | $12.40 | 1,404 | $17,413.11 | $17,424.45 |
$-558.09 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:50am ET | $11.81 | 1,475 | $17,419.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 12:40pm ET | $11.46 | 1,475 | $16,896.13 | $16,900.82 |
$-523.63 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 2:05pm ET | $11.27 | 1,500 | $16,897.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 9:55am ET | $11.86 | 1,500 | $17,782.50 | $17,785.82 |
+$885.00 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 10:10am ET | $11.41 | 1,558 | $17,783.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $12.14 | 1,558 | $18,906.80 | $18,908.83 |
+$1,123.01 (+6.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $12.07 | 1,567 | $18,905.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 12:55pm ET | $11.69 | 1,567 | $18,316.19 | $18,319.17 |
$-589.66 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 9:40am ET | $11.53 | 1,588 | $18,309.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 10:25am ET | $11.18 | 1,588 | $17,753.84 | $17,763.37 |
$-555.80 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 10:25am ET | $11.00 | 1,615 | $17,756.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 12:05pm ET | $10.66 | 1,615 | $17,218.97 | $17,225.41 |
$-537.96 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 12:45pm ET | $10.93 | 1,575 | $17,214.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $11.49 | 1,575 | $18,096.75 | $18,107.41 |
+$882.00 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:45am ET | $11.69 | 1,548 | $18,095.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $11.28 | 1,548 | $17,461.44 | $17,472.89 |
$-634.53 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:05pm ET | $11.32 | 1,544 | $17,470.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $10.96 | 1,544 | $16,914.52 | $16,917.05 |
$-555.84 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 11:00am ET | $10.85 | 1,559 | $16,907.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:10am ET | $10.47 | 1,559 | $16,314.94 | $16,324.63 |
$-592.42 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.66 | 1,690 | $16,316.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.22 | 1,690 | $17,271.80 | $17,279.48 |
+$954.85 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 12:25pm ET | $11.89 | 1,453 | $17,268.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:50pm ET | $11.51 | 1,453 | $16,716.77 | $16,727.34 |
$-552.14 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 11:15am ET | $10.99 | 1,522 | $16,726.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 3:30pm ET | $10.65 | 1,522 | $16,201.69 | $16,202.25 |
$-525.09 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:55am ET | $11.36 | 1,426 | $16,199.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET | $10.94 | 1,426 | $15,600.44 | $15,603.33 |
$-598.92 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 11:20am ET | $11.00 | 1,419 | $15,601.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $10.65 | 1,419 | $15,112.49 | $15,113.91 |
$-489.41 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 11:10am ET | $10.22 | 1,478 | $15,104.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $9.90 | 1,478 | $14,639.59 | $14,648.64 |
$-465.27 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:50pm ET | $11.04 | 1,326 | $14,639.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $11.11 | 1,326 | $14,736.37 | $14,745.97 |
+$97.33 (+0.7%) |
📅 Sim Ended
2.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.81 | 1,364 | $14,744.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:00am ET | $10.43 | 1,364 | $14,219.70 | $14,220.83 |
$-525.14 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.28 | 1,383 | $14,217.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $9.95 | 1,383 | $13,760.85 | $13,764.44 |
$-456.39 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 11:45am ET | $9.99 | 1,377 | $13,756.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.68 | 1,377 | $13,329.36 | $13,337.57 |
$-426.87 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 11:40am ET | $9.72 | 1,372 | $13,334.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:05am ET | $9.41 | 1,372 | $12,917.38 | $12,920.48 |
$-417.09 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 11:25am ET | $9.49 | 1,360 | $12,913.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:45am ET | $10.08 | 1,360 | $13,708.80 | $13,716.08 |
+$795.60 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 12:00pm ET | $10.20 | 1,344 | $13,715.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 10:05am ET | $9.89 | 1,344 | $13,295.25 | $13,295.81 |
$-420.27 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.11 | 1,315 | $13,294.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 11:05am ET | $9.78 | 1,315 | $12,867.27 | $12,868.44 |
$-427.37 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.55 | 1,347 | $12,863.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $10.05 | 1,347 | $13,530.62 | $13,535.20 |
+$666.76 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 11:50am ET | $10.65 | 1,271 | $13,529.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $10.30 | 1,271 | $13,091.30 | $13,096.70 |
$-438.50 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $10.14 | 1,291 | $13,090.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:00am ET | $9.81 | 1,291 | $12,664.58 | $12,670.54 |
$-426.16 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 11:40am ET | $9.85 | 1,287 | $12,670.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 3:40pm ET | $10.36 | 1,287 | $13,336.54 | $13,336.56 |
+$666.02 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 3:40pm ET | $10.10 | 1,319 | $13,328.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $10.75 | 1,319 | $14,179.25 | $14,187.32 |
+$850.76 (+6.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.7d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $10.35 | 1,370 | $14,179.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:40pm ET | $9.98 | 1,370 | $13,672.60 | $13,680.42 |
$-506.90 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:55pm ET | $9.61 | 1,423 | $13,678.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET | $9.31 | 1,423 | $13,255.24 | $13,257.36 |
$-423.06 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 10:40am ET | $9.58 | 1,383 | $13,249.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $9.29 | 1,383 | $12,848.07 | $12,856.29 |
$-401.07 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 1:10pm ET | $8.73 | 1,472 | $12,850.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.24 | 1,472 | $13,597.90 | $13,603.63 |
+$747.34 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $8.74 | 1,556 | $13,599.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.45 | 1,556 | $13,151.31 | $13,155.50 |
$-448.13 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 10:40am ET | $8.78 | 1,497 | $13,151.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $8.52 | 1,497 | $12,746.96 | $12,751.31 |
$-404.19 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $7.98 | 1,597 | $12,744.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:05am ET | $7.71 | 1,597 | $12,312.87 | $12,319.96 |
$-431.35 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:40am ET | $7.68 | 1,604 | $12,318.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:30pm ET | $7.40 | 1,604 | $11,869.76 | $11,871.00 |
$-448.96 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:20pm ET | $6.87 | 1,727 | $11,864.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.24 | 1,727 | $12,494.85 | $12,501.36 |
+$630.36 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $6.93 | 1,802 | $12,496.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.66 | 1,802 | $12,000.78 | $12,005.27 |
$-496.09 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 2:50pm ET | $6.33 | 1,896 | $12,001.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $6.07 | 1,896 | $11,507.20 | $11,510.98 |
$-494.29 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $5.95 | 1,933 | $11,506.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $5.76 | 1,933 | $11,134.08 | $11,138.88 |
$-372.10 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 1:55pm ET | $6.07 | 1,833 | $11,135.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $6.39 | 1,833 | $11,712.69 | $11,716.09 |
+$577.21 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.7h held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 12:15pm ET | $6.59 | 1,779 | $11,714.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $6.37 | 1,779 | $11,332.05 | $11,333.43 |
$-382.66 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,333.43
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,333.43
Total Return:
+13.33%