Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:23:32

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 4.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.1

30-Day Momentum

7
-25.9%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,406
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,977.76
Current Value
$3,618.04
Period P&L
$-3,359.72
Max Drawdown
-58.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.24

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
62
Winners / Losers
17 / 45
Best Trade
+7.84%
Worst Trade
-5.85%
Avg Trade Return
-0.97%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$731,866.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,359.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,359.72
Gross Return
-48.15%
Net Return (after fees)
-48.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 62 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $6,977.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:50am ET $16.76 416 $6,970.08
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 11:30am ET $16.23 416 $6,749.60 $6,757.28 $-220.48
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 11:35am ET $14.91 453 $6,754.23
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 2:40pm ET $15.71 453 $7,114.37 $7,117.42 +$360.14
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $15.01 474 $7,114.41
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 3:30pm ET $14.50 474 $6,874.47 $6,877.48 $-239.94
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 10:30am ET $13.74 500 $6,867.50
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 12:40pm ET $13.31 500 $6,654.80 $6,664.78 $-212.70
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 12:45pm ET $12.41 537 $6,664.22
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 3:55pm ET $11.99 537 $6,438.63 $6,439.18 $-225.59
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 12:20pm ET $11.71 549 $6,428.79
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 10:45am ET $11.24 549 $6,170.76 $6,181.15 $-258.03
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:10am ET $11.12 556 $6,179.94
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:55am ET $10.78 556 $5,990.90 $5,992.11 $-189.04
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 1:15pm ET $10.03 597 $5,984.93
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $10.60 597 $6,326.97 $6,334.16 +$342.05
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:40am ET $10.69 592 $6,328.48
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 9:35am ET $11.27 592 $6,671.78 $6,677.46 +$343.30
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 11:25am ET $11.65 573 $6,672.59
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $11.08 573 $6,345.98 $6,350.85 $-326.61
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 11:25am ET $11.86 535 $6,343.33
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 2:50pm ET $12.49 535 $6,683.92 $6,691.43 +$340.58
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET $12.09 553 $6,685.77
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 11:45am ET $11.71 553 $6,477.73 $6,483.40 $-208.04
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 12:40pm ET $11.79 549 $6,472.05
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 10:55am ET $12.39 549 $6,802.11 $6,813.45 +$330.06
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $11.46 594 $6,804.27
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 9:35am ET $12.10 594 $7,184.49 $7,193.67 +$380.22
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:35am ET $11.20 642 $7,187.19
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 9:50am ET $10.84 642 $6,956.07 $6,962.55 $-231.12
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 12:05pm ET $10.70 651 $6,962.45
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:55am ET $10.29 651 $6,695.54 $6,695.64 $-266.91
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 11:45am ET $9.98 670 $6,686.60
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 2:40pm ET $9.67 670 $6,478.90 $6,487.94 $-207.70
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 11:15am ET $10.35 627 $6,486.32
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 3:20pm ET $10.03 627 $6,285.68 $6,287.30 $-200.64
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 9:35am ET $9.64 652 $6,282.02
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 3:50pm ET $9.34 652 $6,086.62 $6,091.90 $-195.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3d held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 3:50pm ET $8.95 680 $6,086.14
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:00am ET $9.43 680 $6,412.40 $6,418.16 +$326.26
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 12:10pm ET $10.36 619 $6,412.84
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 12:50pm ET $10.05 619 $6,217.86 $6,223.18 $-194.99
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:15pm ET $10.14 614 $6,222.89
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 12:50pm ET $10.65 614 $6,539.10 $6,539.39 +$316.21
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 1:30pm ET $10.22 640 $6,538.30
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 11:25am ET $10.77 640 $6,889.60 $6,890.68 +$351.30
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 12:05pm ET $10.67 645 $6,882.15
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:45am ET $11.31 645 $7,291.73 $7,300.26 +$409.58
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 1:35pm ET $11.02 662 $7,292.00
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $10.68 662 $7,070.16 $7,078.42 $-221.84
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $10.40 680 $7,068.60
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $10.95 680 $7,445.39 $7,455.21 +$376.79
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 12:15pm ET $10.36 719 $7,450.57
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:45am ET $10.02 719 $7,200.79 $7,205.43 $-249.78
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:45am ET $10.23 704 $7,201.92
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 11:15am ET $9.91 704 $6,973.12 $6,976.63 $-228.80
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:45pm ET $10.13 689 $6,976.13
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET $9.77 689 $6,728.09 $6,728.59 $-248.04
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $9.37 718 $6,724.07
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:40am ET $9.07 718 $6,515.85 $6,520.37 $-208.22
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 12:05pm ET $9.24 705 $6,514.13
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:05pm ET $8.94 705 $6,306.22 $6,312.47 $-207.90
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 1:05pm ET $7.91 798 $6,308.19
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 2:55pm ET $8.36 798 $6,675.27 $6,679.55 +$367.08
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $6.91 965 $6,672.97
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:30pm ET $6.68 965 $6,441.38 $6,447.95 $-231.60
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $7.82 824 $6,447.80
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $8.30 824 $6,835.08 $6,835.23 +$387.28
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 12:20pm ET $7.94 860 $6,828.40
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:30pm ET $7.70 860 $6,622.00 $6,628.83 $-206.40
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $7.68 863 $6,623.53
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 10:35am ET $7.43 863 $6,412.09 $6,417.39 $-211.44
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 1:05pm ET $7.63 841 $6,412.63
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:35am ET $7.35 841 $6,184.71 $6,189.48 $-227.91
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 11:35am ET $7.94 779 $6,185.26
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 12:35pm ET $7.68 779 $5,986.61 $5,990.83 $-198.65
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $7.99 749 $5,984.51
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $8.39 749 $6,284.11 $6,290.43 +$299.60
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $8.42 746 $6,282.81
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 1:30pm ET $8.15 746 $6,076.17 $6,083.79 $-206.64
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $9.14 665 $6,078.03
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $8.60 665 $5,722.32 $5,728.08 $-355.71
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $9.03 634 $5,725.02
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:25am ET $8.66 634 $5,490.44 $5,493.50 $-234.58
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 12:05pm ET $9.23 594 $5,485.59
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:40am ET $8.87 594 $5,268.78 $5,276.69 $-216.81
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:40am ET $8.40 627 $5,269.31
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 11:10am ET $8.14 627 $5,103.59 $5,110.97 $-165.72
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $8.64 591 $5,107.78
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:25am ET $8.33 591 $4,923.03 $4,926.23 $-184.75
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 12:15pm ET $9.42 522 $4,917.24
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:35am ET $9.10 522 $4,752.81 $4,761.80 $-164.43
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 12:05pm ET $8.98 530 $4,756.75
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $8.52 530 $4,515.60 $4,520.65 $-241.15
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:55am ET $8.92 506 $4,513.47
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 1:40pm ET $8.63 506 $4,366.78 $4,373.96 $-146.69
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $8.86 493 $4,367.98
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:20am ET $8.56 493 $4,220.08 $4,226.06 $-147.90
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET $8.32 507 $4,218.29
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $8.97 507 $4,549.06 $4,556.83 +$330.77
(+7.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $8.29 549 $4,551.21
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $8.00 549 $4,392.00 $4,397.62 $-159.21
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:40am ET $7.88 558 $4,397.04
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:00am ET $8.27 558 $4,617.45 $4,618.03 +$220.41
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:00am ET $7.81 591 $4,615.77
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:45am ET $8.26 591 $4,878.71 $4,880.97 +$262.94
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $8.83 552 $4,874.10
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:50am ET $8.56 552 $4,727.88 $4,734.75 $-146.22
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:05pm ET $9.60 493 $4,730.34
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $9.31 493 $4,587.37 $4,591.78 $-142.97
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 11:35am ET $10.73 428 $4,590.30
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $10.37 428 $4,438.40 $4,439.88 $-151.90
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:10pm ET $11.74 378 $4,435.94
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $11.30 378 $4,272.80 $4,276.74 $-163.14
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $11.45 373 $4,272.71
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $11.10 373 $4,139.96 $4,143.99 $-132.75
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:15pm ET $11.81 350 $4,135.25
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:30am ET $11.41 350 $3,995.25 $4,003.99 $-140.00
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 11:25am ET $11.18 358 $4,002.40
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $10.77 358 $3,855.66 $3,857.25 $-146.74
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $10.73 359 $3,850.28
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:05am ET $10.39 359 $3,729.97 $3,736.95 $-120.30
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 2:10pm ET $11.87 314 $3,727.21
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:45pm ET $11.49 314 $3,608.30 $3,618.04 $-118.91
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $3,618.04
Net Profit/Loss: $-6,381.96
Total Return: -63.82%
Back to Marcus Reversal