NIO Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-08-14 to present • 42 trades in period
-14.03%
Last 6 Months Return
$5,690.32
Current Value
36%
Win Rate
$6,619.21
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
22,759
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-08-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
141 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$6,619.21
Current Value
$5,690.32
Period P&L
$-928.93
Max Drawdown
-51.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
15 /
27
Best Trade
+11.36%
Worst Trade
-8.11%
Avg Trade Return
-0.24%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$584,531.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-928.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$-928.93
Gross Return
-14.03%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.03%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 141 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $6,619.21 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2025 9:35am ET | $4.49 | 1,474 | $6,615.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2025 9:45am ET | $4.77 | 1,474 | $7,030.54 | $7,034.16 |
+$414.93 (+6.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2025 11:45am ET | $4.83 | 1,456 | $7,032.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2025 10:20am ET | $5.18 | 1,456 | $7,542.08 | $7,543.76 |
+$509.60 (+7.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2025 10:50am ET | $4.98 | 1,514 | $7,542.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $5.32 | 1,514 | $8,046.91 | $8,048.53 |
+$504.77 (+6.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 1:30pm ET | $6.46 | 1,245 | $8,044.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2025 12:10pm ET | $6.26 | 1,245 | $7,793.82 | $7,797.91 |
$-250.62 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2025 3:35pm ET | $6.67 | 1,169 | $7,797.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2025 10:25am ET | $6.47 | 1,169 | $7,557.59 | $7,558.27 |
$-239.65 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2025 11:45am ET | $6.29 | 1,202 | $7,554.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2025 3:45pm ET | $6.61 | 1,202 | $7,941.85 | $7,945.55 |
+$387.28 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2025 9:45am ET | $6.04 | 1,315 | $7,942.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $5.64 | 1,315 | $7,410.03 | $7,412.98 |
$-532.58 (-6.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2025 11:35am ET | $6.03 | 1,229 | $7,410.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $6.72 | 1,229 | $8,252.74 | $8,254.84 |
+$841.87 (+11.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2025 1:10pm ET | $7.21 | 1,145 | $8,249.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2025 12:15pm ET | $6.98 | 1,145 | $7,986.38 | $7,991.49 |
$-263.35 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2025 1:30pm ET | $7.02 | 1,138 | $7,988.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 10:00am ET | $7.40 | 1,138 | $8,416.08 | $8,418.81 |
+$427.32 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 10:00am ET | $7.15 | 1,178 | $8,416.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 9:35am ET | $7.69 | 1,178 | $9,052.93 | $9,054.93 |
+$636.12 (+7.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 1:15pm ET | $7.63 | 1,186 | $9,049.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 9:50am ET | $7.39 | 1,186 | $8,761.10 | $8,766.85 |
$-288.08 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $7.59 | 1,155 | $8,766.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $7.28 | 1,155 | $8,408.40 | $8,408.92 |
$-357.93 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 3:40pm ET | $7.12 | 1,181 | $8,402.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 9:35am ET | $6.90 | 1,181 | $8,148.90 | $8,155.00 |
$-253.92 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 10:50am ET | $6.93 | 1,176 | $8,149.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $6.53 | 1,176 | $7,679.40 | $7,684.72 |
$-470.28 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $6.57 | 1,170 | $7,681.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 9:50am ET | $6.90 | 1,170 | $8,067.97 | $8,071.64 |
+$386.92 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 9:50am ET | $6.83 | 1,181 | $8,064.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $7.19 | 1,181 | $8,489.62 | $8,496.44 |
+$424.81 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 11:00am ET | $7.11 | 1,195 | $8,490.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 9:35am ET | $6.87 | 1,195 | $8,211.08 | $8,217.05 |
$-279.39 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 10:55am ET | $7.32 | 1,122 | $8,213.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $7.10 | 1,122 | $7,960.59 | $7,964.27 |
$-252.79 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 11:15am ET | $7.20 | 1,105 | $7,958.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $6.92 | 1,105 | $7,645.05 | $7,650.56 |
$-313.71 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 11:15am ET | $6.93 | 1,103 | $7,643.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 2:40pm ET | $6.71 | 1,103 | $7,401.13 | $7,407.90 |
$-242.66 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 2:55pm ET | $6.62 | 1,119 | $7,407.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 9:35am ET | $6.42 | 1,119 | $7,183.98 | $7,184.10 |
$-223.80 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 10:55am ET | $6.28 | 1,144 | $7,184.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $6.06 | 1,144 | $6,937.56 | $6,937.57 |
$-246.53 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $6.07 | 1,142 | $6,932.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 10:00am ET | $5.85 | 1,142 | $6,682.18 | $6,687.70 |
$-249.87 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 10:00am ET | $5.92 | 1,130 | $6,687.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 12:35pm ET | $5.73 | 1,130 | $6,475.13 | $6,475.71 |
$-211.99 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 12:35pm ET | $5.48 | 1,181 | $6,472.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $5.78 | 1,181 | $6,826.18 | $6,829.77 |
+$354.06 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $5.50 | 1,242 | $6,824.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 1:05pm ET | $5.31 | 1,242 | $6,588.81 | $6,593.79 |
$-235.98 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 9:35am ET | $5.35 | 1,232 | $6,591.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 10:20am ET | $5.17 | 1,232 | $6,369.56 | $6,372.15 |
$-221.64 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 10:20am ET | $5.08 | 1,255 | $6,371.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $4.88 | 1,255 | $6,124.40 | $6,125.30 |
$-246.86 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 11:15am ET | $5.07 | 1,209 | $6,125.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 9:45am ET | $4.91 | 1,209 | $5,938.37 | $5,938.63 |
$-186.67 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET | $5.16 | 1,150 | $5,934.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 9:35am ET | $5.01 | 1,150 | $5,755.75 | $5,760.38 |
$-178.25 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 12:40pm ET | $4.97 | 1,160 | $5,759.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $5.25 | 1,160 | $6,087.10 | $6,088.08 |
+$327.70 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 11:30am ET | $5.61 | 1,085 | $6,086.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $5.16 | 1,085 | $5,593.18 | $5,594.40 |
$-493.68 (-8.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 12:40pm ET | $5.15 | 1,087 | $5,592.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.97 | 1,087 | $5,396.96 | $5,398.74 |
$-195.66 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:45am ET | $4.90 | 1,101 | $5,394.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 3:20pm ET | $4.75 | 1,101 | $5,229.75 | $5,233.59 |
$-165.15 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $4.78 | 1,094 | $5,229.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $4.63 | 1,094 | $5,059.75 | $5,064.02 |
$-169.57 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 12:55pm ET | $4.87 | 1,040 | $5,059.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $4.71 | 1,040 | $4,898.40 | $4,902.82 |
$-161.20 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:05am ET | $4.63 | 1,060 | $4,902.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $4.86 | 1,060 | $5,151.49 | $5,151.82 |
+$248.99 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $4.66 | 1,105 | $5,149.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.94 | 1,105 | $5,454.28 | $5,456.80 |
+$304.98 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $4.81 | 1,135 | $5,453.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.53 | 1,135 | $5,141.55 | $5,144.67 |
$-312.12 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 12:00pm ET | $4.53 | 1,136 | $5,140.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.76 | 1,136 | $5,413.04 | $5,417.31 |
+$272.64 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.76 | 1,138 | $5,416.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:45am ET | $5.00 | 1,138 | $5,689.54 | $5,690.32 |
+$273.01 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$5,690.32
Net Profit/Loss:
$-4,309.68
Total Return:
-43.10%