Simulated with $10,000 starting capital

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 6.5/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 6.1

30-Day Momentum

11
+0.9%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.0 Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,832
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
133 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,374.74
Current Value
$9,145.76
Period P&L
$-3,228.98
Max Drawdown
-35.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.22

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
7 / 13
Best Trade
+9.65%
Worst Trade
-16.95%
Avg Trade Return
-1.32%
Avg Hold Time
6.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$405,126.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,228.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,228.98
Gross Return
-26.09%
Net Return (after fees)
-26.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PYPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 133 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $12,374.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 11:00am ET $66.20 186 $12,313.20
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $63.06 186 $11,728.23 $11,789.76 $-584.97
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 2:30pm ET $61.83 190 $11,747.70
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET $59.29 190 $11,264.15 $11,306.21 $-483.55
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 10:35am ET $58.30 193 $11,250.94
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $61.47 193 $11,863.71 $11,918.98 +$612.77
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 11:00am ET $61.82 192 $11,869.44
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $59.93 192 $11,506.56 $11,556.10 $-362.88
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 12:55pm ET $59.47 194 $11,537.18
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 9:50am ET $57.60 194 $11,174.40 $11,193.32 $-362.78
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:50am ET $56.98 196 $11,168.08
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:50am ET $55.20 196 $10,818.22 $10,843.46 $-349.86
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET $55.41 195 $10,803.98
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET $53.71 195 $10,473.45 $10,512.94 $-330.53
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:45am ET $52.52 200 $10,504.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $43.62 200 $8,724.00 $8,732.94 $-1,780.00
(-16.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $40.42 216 $8,730.72
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET $39.13 216 $8,452.08 $8,454.30 $-278.64
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $40.11 210 $8,423.10
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $41.16 210 $8,643.60 $8,674.80 +$220.50
(+2.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:40am ET $40.53 214 $8,673.42
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 10:05am ET $42.58 214 $9,111.05 $9,112.43 +$437.63
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:30am ET $40.63 224 $9,100.00
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 11:30am ET $44.54 224 $9,978.08 $9,990.51 +$878.08
(+9.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 10:50am ET $46.54 214 $9,960.63
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 12:20pm ET $45.12 214 $9,655.68 $9,685.56 $-304.95
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 1:35pm ET $45.87 211 $9,677.79
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $44.23 211 $9,332.53 $9,340.30 $-345.26
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 1:50pm ET $45.41 205 $9,309.07
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:10am ET $44.04 205 $9,028.20 $9,059.43 $-280.87
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:15am ET $44.06 205 $9,031.28
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:45am ET $46.27 205 $9,485.35 $9,513.51 +$454.08
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
17d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:45am ET $44.66 213 $9,512.58
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:15pm ET $46.90 213 $9,988.64 $9,989.57 +$476.06
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:10pm ET $48.09 207 $9,954.63
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $50.54 207 $10,461.78 $10,496.72 +$507.15
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:40am ET $51.42 204 $10,489.68
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:55am ET $49.61 204 $10,120.44 $10,127.48 $-369.24
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $50.10 202 $10,120.20
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $45.24 202 $9,138.48 $9,145.76 $-981.72
(-9.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,145.76
Net Profit/Loss: $-854.24
Total Return: -8.54%
Back to Marcus Reversal