Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:07:52

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
53.6 neutral
20d Trend
-3.7%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
2.8%
Range Pos
81%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 4.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,028
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
129 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,282.09
Current Value
$6,705.98
Period P&L
$-576.14
Max Drawdown
-50.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
21
Winners / Losers
8 / 13
Best Trade
+5.95%
Worst Trade
-6.73%
Avg Trade Return
-0.30%
Avg Hold Time
7.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$311,649.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-576.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$-576.14
Gross Return
-7.91%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.91%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 REGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 129 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 21 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $7,282.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 10:40am ET $636.32 11 $6,999.52
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 12:20pm ET $668.24 11 $7,350.67 $7,617.99 +$351.15
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 1:25pm ET $705.00 10 $7,050.00
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 10:20am ET $741.99 10 $7,419.90 $7,987.89 +$369.90
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET $755.54 10 $7,555.40
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 10:20am ET $732.00 10 $7,320.00 $7,752.49 $-235.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 11:25am ET $725.18 10 $7,251.80
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 3:45pm ET $703.00 10 $7,029.95 $7,530.64 $-221.85
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 12:45pm ET $712.11 10 $7,121.05
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 10:15am ET $749.51 10 $7,495.10 $7,904.69 +$374.05
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 12:20pm ET $737.14 10 $7,371.35
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:40am ET $774.34 10 $7,743.43 $8,276.76 +$372.08
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 2:40pm ET $782.11 10 $7,821.05
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:55am ET $757.31 10 $7,573.10 $8,028.81 $-247.95
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:50am ET $776.20 10 $7,762.00
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 11:20am ET $815.70 10 $8,157.00 $8,423.81 +$395.00
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 11:20am ET $802.90 10 $8,029.00
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 12:30pm ET $777.77 10 $7,777.65 $8,172.46 $-251.35
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:45am ET $756.26 10 $7,562.60
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 11:00am ET $733.20 10 $7,331.95 $7,941.81 $-230.65
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 2:35pm ET $730.52 10 $7,305.20
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $774.01 10 $7,740.05 $8,376.66 +$434.85
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:40am ET $754.00 11 $8,294.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $779.50 11 $8,574.50 $8,657.16 +$280.50
(+3.4%)
📅 Sim Ended
12.3d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:50am ET $791.56 10 $7,915.60
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:10am ET $766.59 10 $7,665.90 $8,407.46 $-249.70
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $780.69 10 $7,806.90
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $751.91 10 $7,519.10 $8,119.66 $-287.80
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 1:45pm ET $768.01 10 $7,680.10
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 11:25am ET $743.76 10 $7,437.60 $7,877.16 $-242.50
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:10am ET $761.83 10 $7,618.30
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:55am ET $738.94 10 $7,389.40 $7,648.26 $-228.90
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $780.69 10 $7,806.90
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $740.50 10 $7,405.00 $7,246.36 $-401.90
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $728.51 9 $6,556.59
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:45am ET $765.42 9 $6,888.78 $7,578.55 +$332.19
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $773.23 9 $6,959.07
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 11:25am ET $749.94 9 $6,749.46 $7,368.94 $-209.61
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $761.54 9 $6,853.89
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:35pm ET $738.65 9 $6,647.85 $7,162.91 $-206.03
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 1:30pm ET $753.86 9 $6,784.74
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $703.09 9 $6,327.81 $6,705.98 $-456.93
(-6.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,705.98
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,294.02
Total Return: -32.94%
Back to Marcus Reversal