RIVN Marcus Reversal's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-08-14 to present • 45 trades in period
-20.82%
Last 6 Months Return
$4,942.17
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$6,242.07
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,772
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-08-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
141 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$6,242.07
Current Value
$4,942.17
Period P&L
$-1,299.86
Max Drawdown
-51.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
45
Winners / Losers
17 /
28
Best Trade
+6.88%
Worst Trade
-7.90%
Avg Trade Return
-0.36%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$568,412.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,299.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,299.86
Gross Return
-20.82%
Net Return (after fees)
-20.82%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 141 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 45 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $6,242.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2025 11:05am ET | $11.90 | 509 | $6,055.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 10:05am ET | $12.52 | 509 | $6,370.14 | $6,371.82 |
+$314.36 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 11:15am ET | $13.10 | 486 | $6,364.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $13.77 | 486 | $6,690.62 | $6,698.26 |
+$326.45 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $13.16 | 508 | $6,685.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2025 3:20pm ET | $13.85 | 508 | $7,033.26 | $7,046.24 |
+$347.98 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2025 3:20pm ET | $14.55 | 484 | $7,042.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2025 9:40am ET | $13.98 | 484 | $6,763.90 | $6,767.94 |
$-278.30 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 2:05pm ET | $14.35 | 471 | $6,756.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2025 9:40am ET | $13.89 | 471 | $6,539.84 | $6,551.28 |
$-216.66 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2025 10:40am ET | $13.81 | 474 | $6,545.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2025 9:40am ET | $14.51 | 474 | $6,875.37 | $6,880.71 |
+$329.43 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 12, 2025 9:40am ET | $13.40 | 513 | $6,871.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2025 9:50am ET | $14.12 | 513 | $7,241.66 | $7,250.74 |
+$370.03 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2025 12:55pm ET | $14.37 | 504 | $7,239.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2025 1:40pm ET | $15.13 | 504 | $7,624.41 | $7,635.19 |
+$384.45 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2025 2:20pm ET | $15.34 | 497 | $7,623.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 10:10am ET | $14.84 | 497 | $7,375.48 | $7,386.69 |
$-248.50 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 3:05pm ET | $14.62 | 505 | $7,380.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $13.46 | 505 | $6,797.30 | $6,803.42 |
$-583.28 (-7.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 10:50am ET | $13.41 | 507 | $6,796.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $12.99 | 507 | $6,586.08 | $6,593.16 |
$-210.25 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:05am ET | $12.93 | 509 | $6,581.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 11:20am ET | $13.61 | 509 | $6,929.07 | $6,940.81 |
+$347.65 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 11:50am ET | $13.17 | 527 | $6,940.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 9:50am ET | $12.77 | 527 | $6,727.16 | $6,727.37 |
$-213.44 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 12:55pm ET | $13.35 | 503 | $6,715.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 11:15am ET | $12.95 | 503 | $6,511.34 | $6,523.66 |
$-203.72 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 12:10pm ET | $12.96 | 503 | $6,518.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 1:55pm ET | $13.61 | 503 | $6,845.83 | $6,850.61 |
+$326.95 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 2:40pm ET | $13.52 | 506 | $6,838.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 11:30am ET | $13.08 | 506 | $6,618.48 | $6,630.40 |
$-220.21 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 11:50am ET | $13.24 | 500 | $6,620.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $12.69 | 500 | $6,342.50 | $6,352.90 |
$-277.50 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 9:35am ET | $15.10 | 420 | $6,342.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 11:10am ET | $14.63 | 420 | $6,142.50 | $6,153.40 |
$-199.50 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 11:45am ET | $14.54 | 423 | $6,148.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 3:35pm ET | $15.33 | 423 | $6,484.63 | $6,489.18 |
+$335.78 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 12:30pm ET | $17.36 | 373 | $6,473.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 10:10am ET | $16.80 | 373 | $6,264.57 | $6,280.33 |
$-208.84 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 10:35am ET | $16.79 | 374 | $6,277.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 2:10pm ET | $16.23 | 374 | $6,068.15 | $6,070.89 |
$-209.44 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 2:20pm ET | $15.17 | 400 | $6,068.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 9:35am ET | $14.58 | 400 | $5,833.40 | $5,836.29 |
$-234.60 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 9:35am ET | $14.52 | 402 | $5,835.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $15.52 | 402 | $6,237.03 | $6,237.73 |
+$401.44 (+6.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 9:35am ET | $14.73 | 423 | $6,230.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 10:25am ET | $14.22 | 423 | $6,012.99 | $6,019.93 |
$-217.80 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 11:15am ET | $14.90 | 404 | $6,017.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 9:35am ET | $15.69 | 404 | $6,338.76 | $6,341.11 |
+$321.18 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 2:20pm ET | $17.38 | 364 | $6,324.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 9:35am ET | $18.25 | 364 | $6,641.18 | $6,657.79 |
+$316.68 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 9:35am ET | $17.48 | 380 | $6,640.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 10:25am ET | $18.38 | 380 | $6,984.40 | $7,001.69 |
+$343.90 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 10:25am ET | $16.52 | 423 | $6,986.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 1:15pm ET | $16.00 | 423 | $6,768.00 | $6,783.21 |
$-218.48 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 1:20pm ET | $18.82 | 360 | $6,775.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 10:20am ET | $17.92 | 360 | $6,451.16 | $6,459.17 |
$-324.04 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 1:15pm ET | $17.97 | 359 | $6,452.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 9:35am ET | $18.88 | 359 | $6,777.92 | $6,785.00 |
+$325.83 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 3:00pm ET | $22.11 | 306 | $6,764.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 9:40am ET | $21.27 | 306 | $6,508.62 | $6,529.49 |
$-255.51 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 9:45am ET | $20.94 | 311 | $6,512.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $20.23 | 311 | $6,291.53 | $6,308.68 |
$-220.81 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 2:25pm ET | $19.73 | 319 | $6,292.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:55am ET | $19.11 | 319 | $6,095.61 | $6,111.41 |
$-197.27 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 1:05pm ET | $19.60 | 311 | $6,095.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $18.89 | 311 | $5,874.79 | $5,890.60 |
$-220.81 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $18.78 | 313 | $5,878.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 11:15am ET | $19.78 | 313 | $6,189.58 | $6,202.04 |
+$311.43 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 1:10pm ET | $20.51 | 302 | $6,192.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:30pm ET | $19.79 | 302 | $5,975.07 | $5,984.60 |
$-217.44 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 12:55pm ET | $19.04 | 314 | $5,978.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.88 | 314 | $5,612.75 | $5,618.79 |
$-365.81 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 11:25am ET | $17.22 | 326 | $5,612.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 12:25pm ET | $16.70 | 326 | $5,442.57 | $5,449.27 |
$-169.52 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:15pm ET | $16.09 | 338 | $5,436.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:10am ET | $16.93 | 338 | $5,720.65 | $5,733.19 |
+$283.92 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:10am ET | $16.06 | 357 | $5,731.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $15.47 | 357 | $5,522.79 | $5,524.34 |
$-208.85 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 11:25am ET | $15.17 | 364 | $5,520.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 1:10pm ET | $14.67 | 364 | $5,338.06 | $5,342.34 |
$-182.00 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 1:25pm ET | $14.63 | 365 | $5,338.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET | $14.18 | 365 | $5,173.88 | $5,178.09 |
$-164.25 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 12:25pm ET | $14.19 | 364 | $5,166.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET | $13.76 | 364 | $5,008.86 | $5,019.97 |
$-158.12 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.48 | 346 | $5,010.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $14.70 | 346 | $5,087.93 | $5,097.82 |
+$77.85 (+1.6%) |
📅 Sim Ended
6.4h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $14.95 | 340 | $5,084.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 11:50am ET | $14.50 | 340 | $4,929.05 | $4,942.17 |
$-155.65 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$4,942.17
Net Profit/Loss:
$-5,057.83
Total Return:
-50.58%