Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:01:50

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
59.7 neutral
20d Trend
+6.8%
5d Trend
+1.4%
EMA20 Dist
+2.2%
ATR%
3.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.4/35
Total Return
14.4/25
Win Rate
1.4/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 32.6/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 30.5

30-Day Momentum

29
+6.8%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 46.6 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,986
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,203.00
Current Value
$15,311.63
Period P&L
$4,108.66
Max Drawdown
-22.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.33

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
12 / 10
Best Trade
+12.85%
Worst Trade
-3.55%
Avg Trade Return
+1.55%
Avg Hold Time
6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$594,237.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,108.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,108.66
Gross Return
+36.67%
Net Return (after fees)
+36.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $11,203.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 12:55pm ET $36.61 305 $11,164.53
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 11:00am ET $35.49 305 $10,822.93 $10,832.40 $-341.60
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 2:30pm ET $35.79 302 $10,807.07
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 2:55pm ET $37.63 302 $11,362.75 $11,388.08 +$555.68
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 2:55pm ET $37.94 300 $11,382.00
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 3:00pm ET $39.85 300 $11,955.00 $11,961.08 +$573.00
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 3:10pm ET $40.34 296 $11,939.16
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 9:35am ET $39.05 296 $11,558.80 $11,580.72 $-380.36
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 9:45am ET $38.49 300 $11,547.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $43.44 300 $13,030.50 $13,064.22 +$1,483.50
(+12.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
20d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 12:15pm ET $43.72 298 $13,028.56
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 12:45pm ET $42.37 298 $12,626.56 $12,662.21 $-402.00
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 2:50pm ET $44.80 282 $12,633.60
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET $47.08 282 $13,276.56 $13,305.17 +$642.96
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET $46.32 287 $13,293.84
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET $48.83 287 $14,014.18 $14,025.51 +$720.34
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:40am ET $49.83 281 $14,000.83
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $48.12 281 $13,521.72 $13,546.41 $-479.11
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:45am ET $47.65 284 $13,532.60
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $50.24 284 $14,266.74 $14,280.55 +$734.14
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $49.69 287 $14,262.46
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $50.65 287 $14,537.98 $14,556.07 +$275.52
(+1.9%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.3d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET $50.04 290 $14,511.60
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 2:45pm ET $48.32 290 $14,012.80 $14,057.27 $-498.80
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.2d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:15am ET $47.29 297 $14,045.13
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:50am ET $45.61 297 $13,546.17 $13,558.31 $-498.96
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:45am ET $47.40 286 $13,556.40
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:10am ET $45.90 286 $13,127.40 $13,129.31 $-429.00
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $44.57 294 $13,103.58
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:45am ET $46.87 294 $13,779.78 $13,805.51 +$676.20
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 1:10pm ET $47.41 291 $13,796.31
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 10:40am ET $49.81 291 $14,494.71 $14,503.91 +$698.40
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 12:25pm ET $50.68 286 $14,494.48
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 11:50am ET $53.34 286 $15,255.21 $15,264.64 +$760.73
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:05pm ET $53.01 287 $15,212.44
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:25pm ET $51.40 287 $14,750.37 $14,802.57 $-462.07
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $50.80 291 $14,783.67
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 11:55am ET $49.19 291 $14,314.29 $14,333.19 $-469.38
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:05pm ET $49.58 289 $14,330.06
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:30pm ET $52.17 289 $15,075.69 $15,078.81 +$745.62
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:50am ET $52.52 287 $15,073.24
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $50.78 287 $14,573.86 $14,579.43 $-499.38
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $51.97 280 $14,551.60
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:10am ET $54.58 280 $15,283.80 $15,311.63 +$732.20
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,311.63
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,311.63
Total Return: +53.12%
Back to Marcus Reversal